Handball · Germany Bundesliga · 25/10, 16:30

Prediction: Fuchse Berlin vs HSG Wetzlar

Team pages: Fuchse Berlin · HSG Wetzlar

Prediction summary

Estimated points

66Total

Fuchse Berlin35.9

HSG Wetzlar30.2

1X2

88% 12%

Fuchse Berlin HSG Wetzlar

Recent form · 10 last

Fuchse Berlin 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWWLWWWWLL

HSG Wetzlar 0-2-8 (W-D-L)

LLLDLLLDLL

Head-to-head

Fuchse Berlin 6–0 HSG Wetzlar (6 last)

HSG Wetzlar27-41Fuchse Berlin
Fuchse Berlin35-28HSG Wetzlar
Fuchse Berlin35-30HSG Wetzlar
Fuchse Berlin38-29HSG Wetzlar
HSG Wetzlar25-34Fuchse Berlin
Fuchse Berlin32-30HSG Wetzlar

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fuchse Berlin 1567 · HSG Wetzlar 1394

	Fuchse Berlin	HSG Wetzlar
Our model	80%	20%
Market	89%	6%

Estimated total (ours) 66 points · Bet365 line 65.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points66Fuchse Berlin 35.9 · HSG Wetzlar 30.2

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fuchse Berlin (rating 1567 vs 1394).
Fuchse Berlin is a clear favourite (88% market).
H2H favours Fuchse Berlin: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Fuchse Berlin	HSG Wetzlar
Points F\|A (Last 10)	35.2 / 32.2	30.2 / 33.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	34.2 / 31.2	30.2 / 33.6
Est. result	36	30

Est. total66

Line O/U65.5

Diff.0.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.06

X20.00

215.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-7.5)1.88

2 (+7.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 65.51.88

Under 65.51.88

Diff.: 0 · Est. total: 65.5

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 13:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.04 → 1.06▲	Bet365 1.06
X	22.00 → 20.00▼	Bet365 20.00
2	20.00 → 15.00▼	Bet365 15.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 6%

Time*	1	X	2
12:15 +2’	1.04	22.00	20.00
12:58 +18’	1.06▲	20.00▼	15.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fuchse Berlin 6–0–0 HSG Wetzlar

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/02/26 Germany Bundesliga	HSG Wetzlar	27-41	Fuchse Berlin
14/12/25 Germany Bundesliga	Fuchse Berlin	35-28	HSG Wetzlar
01/10/25 Germany DHB Pokal	Fuchse Berlin	35-30	HSG Wetzlar
09/03/25 Germany Bundesliga	Fuchse Berlin	38-29	HSG Wetzlar
06/10/24 Germany Bundesliga	HSG Wetzlar	25-34	Fuchse Berlin
31/03/24 Germany Bundesliga	Fuchse Berlin	32-30	HSG Wetzlar

Standings · Germany Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SG Flensburg-Handewitt	9	8	1	0	317	280	17
2	THW Kiel	10	8	1	1	309	283	17
3	SC Magdeburg	9	8	0	1	301	266	16
4	TBV Lemgo	9	6	0	3	281	282	12
5	MT Melsungen	9	5	1	3	283	254	11
6	HC Erlangen	9	5	1	3	276	270	11
7	Fuchse Berlin	8	5	0	3	270	256	10
8	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	9	4	2	3	266	269	10
9	TVB 1898 Stuttgart	9	4	1	4	272	270	9
10	Vfl Gummersbach	8	3	2	3	249	243	8
11	Rhein Neckar Lowen	9	3	1	5	266	273	7
12	ThSV Eisenach	9	2	2	5	255	271	6
13	Frisch Auf Goppingen	9	3	0	6	248	277	6
14	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten	7	2	1	4	208	200	5
15	HSV Hamburg	9	2	1	6	274	285	5
16	SG BBM Bietigheim	9	2	0	7	260	292	4
17	Bergischer HC	8	1	0	7	223	256	2
18	HSG Wetzlar	9	0	2	7	272	303	2

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fuchse Berlin	HSG Wetzlar
TBV Lemgo	36-37 L	27-31 L
SG BBM Bietigheim	32-31 W	33-35 L
Vfl Gummersbach	33-28 W	33-36 L
TVB 1898 Stuttgart	34-33 W	26-31 L
SC Magdeburg	32-36 L	30-38 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Fuchse Berlin (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fuchse Berlin

WWWLWWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/10	SG Flensburg-Handewitt Germany Bundesliga	33-34	L
11/10	TBV Lemgo Germany Bundesliga	36-37	L
03/10	SG BBM Bietigheim Germany Bundesliga	32-31	W
20/09	Bergischer HC Germany Bundesliga	37-26	W
13/09	Vfl Gummersbach Germany Bundesliga	33-28	W
06/09	TVB 1898 Stuttgart Germany Bundesliga	34-33	W
03/09	SC Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga	32-36	L
27/08	MT Melsungen Germany Bundesliga	33-31	W
07/06	SG Flensburg-Handewitt Germany Bundesliga	43-38	W
04/06	MT Melsungen Germany Bundesliga	39-28	W

HSG Wetzlar

LLLDLLLDLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
15/10	HC Erlangen Germany Bundesliga	30-34	L
08/10	TVB 1898 Stuttgart Germany Bundesliga	26-31	L
02/10	Rhein Neckar Lowen Germany Bundesliga	30-30	D
27/09	HSV Hamburg Germany Bundesliga	32-37	L
20/09	Vfl Gummersbach Germany Bundesliga	33-36	L
13/09	SC Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga	30-38	L
07/09	ThSV Eisenach Germany Bundesliga	31-31	D
03/09	TBV Lemgo Germany Bundesliga	27-31	L
30/08	SG BBM Bietigheim Germany Bundesliga	33-35	L
07/06	SC Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga	30-31	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fuchse Berlin vs HSG Wetzlar?

Our model gives 88% to Fuchse Berlin.

How many points are expected in Fuchse Berlin vs HSG Wetzlar?

The model estimates 66 total points (Fuchse Berlin 35.9 · HSG Wetzlar 30.2).