Handball · Germany Bundesliga · 25/10, 18:00

Prediction: Vfl Gummersbach vs SG Flensburg-Handewitt

Team pages: Vfl Gummersbach · SG Flensburg-Handewitt

Prediction summary

Estimated points

65.6Total

Vfl Gummersbach32.5

SG Flensburg-Handewitt33.2

1X2

42% 58%

Vfl Gummersbach SG Flensburg-Handewitt

Recent form · 10 last

Vfl Gummersbach 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWDLWWLD

SG Flensburg-Handewitt 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWDWWW

Head-to-head

Vfl Gummersbach 1–2–3 SG Flensburg-Handewitt (6 last)

Vfl Gummersbach33-26SG Flensburg-Handewitt
SG Flensburg-Handewitt37-37Vfl Gummersbach
SG Flensburg-Handewitt32-30Vfl Gummersbach
SG Flensburg-Handewitt35-30Vfl Gummersbach
Vfl Gummersbach31-36SG Flensburg-Handewitt
Vfl Gummersbach29-29SG Flensburg-Handewitt

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vfl Gummersbach 1536 · SG Flensburg-Handewitt 1612

	Vfl Gummersbach	SG Flensburg-Handewitt
Our model	49%	51%
Market	32%	56%

Estimated total (ours) 65.6 points · Bet365 line 63.5 · +2.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points65.6Vfl Gummersbach 32.5 · SG Flensburg-Handewitt 33.2

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SG Flensburg-Handewitt (rating 1536 vs 1612).
H2H favours SG Flensburg-Handewitt: 3-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Vfl Gummersbach	SG Flensburg-Handewitt
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.2 / 30.8	35.5 / 32.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31.2 / 30.6	34.6 / 31.4
Est. result	33	33

Est. total65.6

Line O/U63.5

Diff.2.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.90

X8.00

21.67

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.85

2 (-1.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 63.51.90

Under 63.51.85

Diff.: 1.4 · Est. total: 64.9

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 12:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 2.90▼	Bet365 2.90
X	8.50 → 8.00▼	Bet365 8.00
2	1.62 → 1.67▲	Bet365 1.67

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 6.9%

Time*	1	X	2
11:07 +9’	3.10	8.50	1.62
12:00 +18’	2.90▼	8.00▼	1.67▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Vfl Gummersbach 1–2–3 SG Flensburg-Handewitt

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/02/26 Germany Bundesliga	Vfl Gummersbach	33-26	SG Flensburg-Handewitt
29/11/25 Germany Bundesliga	SG Flensburg-Handewitt	37-37	Vfl Gummersbach
04/03/25 European League	SG Flensburg-Handewitt	32-30	Vfl Gummersbach
15/02/25 Germany Bundesliga	SG Flensburg-Handewitt	35-30	Vfl Gummersbach
11/02/25 European League	Vfl Gummersbach	31-36	SG Flensburg-Handewitt
06/10/24 Germany Bundesliga	Vfl Gummersbach	29-29	SG Flensburg-Handewitt

Standings · Germany Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SG Flensburg-Handewitt	9	8	1	0	317	280	17
2	THW Kiel	10	8	1	1	309	283	17
3	SC Magdeburg	9	8	0	1	301	266	16
4	TBV Lemgo	9	6	0	3	281	282	12
5	MT Melsungen	9	5	1	3	283	254	11
6	HC Erlangen	9	5	1	3	276	270	11
7	Fuchse Berlin	8	5	0	3	270	256	10
8	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	9	4	2	3	266	269	10
9	TVB 1898 Stuttgart	9	4	1	4	272	270	9
10	Vfl Gummersbach	8	3	2	3	249	243	8
11	Rhein Neckar Lowen	9	3	1	5	266	273	7
12	ThSV Eisenach	9	2	2	5	255	271	6
13	Frisch Auf Goppingen	9	3	0	6	248	277	6
14	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten	7	2	1	4	208	200	5
15	HSV Hamburg	9	2	1	6	274	285	5
16	SG BBM Bietigheim	9	2	0	7	260	292	4
17	Bergischer HC	8	1	0	7	223	256	2
18	HSG Wetzlar	9	0	2	7	272	303	2

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vfl Gummersbach	SG Flensburg-Handewitt
ThSV Eisenach	28-28 D	33-31 W
THW Kiel	26-29 L	31-31 D
Bergischer HC	38-30 W	34-29 W
Fuchse Berlin	28-33 L	34-33 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: SG Flensburg-Handewitt (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vfl Gummersbach

LWLWDLWWLD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
16/10	ThSV Eisenach Germany Bundesliga	28-28	D
03/10	THW Kiel Germany Bundesliga	26-29	L
27/09	Bergischer HC Germany Bundesliga	38-30	W
20/09	HSG Wetzlar Germany Bundesliga	36-33	W
13/09	Fuchse Berlin Germany Bundesliga	28-33	L
05/09	MT Melsungen Germany Bundesliga	31-31	D
02/09	Rhein Neckar Lowen Germany Bundesliga	31-26	W
30/08	SC Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga	31-33	L
07/06	Rhein Neckar Lowen Germany Bundesliga	28-27	W
03/06	SC Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga	35-38	L

SG Flensburg-Handewitt

LWWWWWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/10	Fuchse Berlin Germany Bundesliga	34-33	W
09/10	TSV Hannover Burgdorf Germany Bundesliga	39-32	W
03/10	Frisch Auf Goppingen Germany Bundesliga	32-27	W
26/09	THW Kiel Germany Bundesliga	31-31	D
20/09	HSV Hamburg Germany Bundesliga	37-34	W
10/09	TBV Lemgo Germany Bundesliga	39-30	W
05/09	HC Erlangen Germany Bundesliga	38-33	W
02/09	Bergischer HC Germany Bundesliga	34-29	W
28/08	ThSV Eisenach Germany Bundesliga	33-31	W
07/06	Fuchse Berlin Germany Bundesliga	38-43	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vfl Gummersbach vs SG Flensburg-Handewitt?

Our model gives 58% to SG Flensburg-Handewitt.

How many points are expected in Vfl Gummersbach vs SG Flensburg-Handewitt?

The model estimates 65.6 total points (Vfl Gummersbach 32.5 · SG Flensburg-Handewitt 33.2).