Handball · Germany Bundesliga · 23/10, 20:00

Prediction: TSV Hannover Burgdorf vs TBV Lemgo

Team pages: TSV Hannover Burgdorf · TBV Lemgo

Prediction summary

Estimated points

61.1Total

TSV Hannover Burgdorf30.8

TBV Lemgo30.4

1X2

60% 40%

TSV Hannover Burgdorf TBV Lemgo

Recent form · 10 last

TSV Hannover Burgdorf 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWDWLWWLLD

TBV Lemgo 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWLLWWWW

Head-to-head

TSV Hannover Burgdorf 4–1–1 TBV Lemgo (6 last)

TSV Hannover Burgdorf30-30TBV Lemgo
TBV Lemgo29-30TSV Hannover Burgdorf
TSV Hannover Burgdorf30-29TBV Lemgo
TBV Lemgo22-31TSV Hannover Burgdorf
TBV Lemgo28-23TSV Hannover Burgdorf
TSV Hannover Burgdorf34-32TBV Lemgo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TSV Hannover Burgdorf 1515 · TBV Lemgo 1524

	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	TBV Lemgo
Our model	59%	41%
Market	54%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 61.1 points · Bet365 line 59.5 · +1.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points61.1TSV Hannover Burgdorf 30.8 · TBV Lemgo 30.4

Match keys

H2H favours TSV Hannover Burgdorf: 4-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	TBV Lemgo
Points F\|A (Last 10)	29.8 / 30.1	31.5 / 31.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30 / 30.6	31.4 / 30.4
Est. result	31	30

Est. total61.1

Line O/U59.5

Diff.1.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.75

X8.00

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)2.05

2 (+1.5)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 59.51.88

Under 59.51.88

Diff.: 1.85 · Est. total: 61.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 13:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.75▲	Bet365 1.75
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	3.20 → 2.70▼	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 6.7%

Time*	1	X	2
10:34 +41’	1.60	8.00	3.20
13:09 +7’	1.75▲	8.00	2.70▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · TSV Hannover Burgdorf 4–1–1 TBV Lemgo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Germany Bundesliga	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	30-30	TBV Lemgo
09/11/25 Germany Bundesliga	TBV Lemgo	29-30	TSV Hannover Burgdorf
25/04/25 Germany Bundesliga	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	30-29	TBV Lemgo
01/12/24 Germany Bundesliga	TBV Lemgo	22-31	TSV Hannover Burgdorf
18/04/24 Germany Bundesliga	TBV Lemgo	28-23	TSV Hannover Burgdorf
25/11/23 Germany Bundesliga	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	34-32	TBV Lemgo

Standings · Germany Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SG Flensburg-Handewitt	9	8	1	0	317	280	17
2	THW Kiel	10	8	1	1	309	283	17
3	SC Magdeburg	9	8	0	1	301	266	16
4	TBV Lemgo	9	6	0	3	281	282	12
5	MT Melsungen	9	5	1	3	283	254	11
6	HC Erlangen	9	5	1	3	276	270	11
7	Fuchse Berlin	8	5	0	3	270	256	10
8	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	9	4	2	3	266	269	10
9	TVB 1898 Stuttgart	9	4	1	4	272	270	9
10	Vfl Gummersbach	8	3	2	3	249	243	8
11	Rhein Neckar Lowen	9	3	1	5	266	273	7
12	ThSV Eisenach	9	2	2	5	255	271	6
13	Frisch Auf Goppingen	9	3	0	6	248	277	6
14	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten	7	2	1	4	208	200	5
15	HSV Hamburg	9	2	1	6	274	285	5
16	SG BBM Bietigheim	9	2	0	7	260	292	4
17	Bergischer HC	8	1	0	7	223	256	2
18	HSG Wetzlar	9	0	2	7	272	303	2

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	TBV Lemgo
SG Flensburg-Handewitt	32-39 L	30-39 L
Frisch Auf Goppingen	36-28 W	28-26 W
SG BBM Bietigheim	31-29 W	36-29 W
THW Kiel	26-29 L	27-35 L
HSV Hamburg	30-28 W	34-30 W
HC Erlangen	28-28 D	28-33 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: TSV Hannover Burgdorf (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TSV Hannover Burgdorf

DWDWLWWLLD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
19/10	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten Germany Bundesliga	29-29	D
09/10	SG Flensburg-Handewitt Germany Bundesliga	32-39	L
03/10	MT Melsungen Germany Bundesliga	22-28	L
27/09	Frisch Auf Goppingen Germany Bundesliga	36-28	W
19/09	SG BBM Bietigheim Germany Bundesliga	31-29	W
12/09	THW Kiel Germany Bundesliga	26-29	L
05/09	HSV Hamburg Germany Bundesliga	30-28	W
02/09	HC Erlangen Germany Bundesliga	28-28	D
30/08	Rhein Neckar Lowen Germany Bundesliga	32-31	W
07/06	MT Melsungen Germany Bundesliga	32-32	D

TBV Lemgo

WLWWLLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/10	Frisch Auf Goppingen Germany Bundesliga	28-26	W
11/10	Fuchse Berlin Germany Bundesliga	37-36	W
04/10	TVB 1898 Stuttgart Germany Bundesliga	30-27	W
01/10	HSV Hamburg Germany Bundesliga	34-30	W
20/09	HC Erlangen Germany Bundesliga	28-33	L
10/09	SG Flensburg-Handewitt Germany Bundesliga	30-39	L
06/09	SG BBM Bietigheim Germany Bundesliga	36-29	W
03/09	HSG Wetzlar Germany Bundesliga	31-27	W
27/08	THW Kiel Germany Bundesliga	27-35	L
07/06	THW Kiel Germany Bundesliga	34-31	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TSV Hannover Burgdorf vs TBV Lemgo?

Our model gives 60% to TSV Hannover Burgdorf.

How many points are expected in TSV Hannover Burgdorf vs TBV Lemgo?

The model estimates 61.1 total points (TSV Hannover Burgdorf 30.8 · TBV Lemgo 30.4).