Handball · Germany Bundesliga · 03/10, 20:00

Prediction: MT Melsungen vs TSV Hannover Burgdorf

Team pages: MT Melsungen · TSV Hannover Burgdorf

Prediction summary

Estimated points

61.3Total

MT Melsungen31.2

TSV Hannover Burgdorf30.1

1X2

63% 37%

MT Melsungen TSV Hannover Burgdorf

Recent form · 10 last

MT Melsungen 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWLDLWDWWL

TSV Hannover Burgdorf 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDLDWDWLWW

Head-to-head

MT Melsungen 3–3–0 TSV Hannover Burgdorf (6 last)

TSV Hannover Burgdorf32-32MT Melsungen
MT Melsungen29-29TSV Hannover Burgdorf
TSV Hannover Burgdorf23-29MT Melsungen
MT Melsungen31-23TSV Hannover Burgdorf
TSV Hannover Burgdorf30-30MT Melsungen
TSV Hannover Burgdorf30-34MT Melsungen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MT Melsungen 1539 · TSV Hannover Burgdorf 1539

	MT Melsungen	TSV Hannover Burgdorf
Our model	60%	40%
Market	57%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 61.3 points · Bet365 line 59.5 · +1.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points61.3MT Melsungen 31.2 · TSV Hannover Burgdorf 30.1

Match keys

H2H favours MT Melsungen: 3-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	MT Melsungen	TSV Hannover Burgdorf
Points F\|A (Last 10)	32 / 30.5	30.9 / 29.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31.8 / 28	30.2 / 28.4
Est. result	31	30

Est. total61.3

Line O/U59.5

Diff.1.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.65

X8.00

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.95

2 (+2.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 59.51.88

Under 59.51.88

Diff.: 2.05 · Est. total: 61.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:56

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.4%

Time*	1	X	2
09:55 +2’	1.65	8.00	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · MT Melsungen 3–3–0 TSV Hannover Burgdorf

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/06/26 Germany Bundesliga	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	32-32	MT Melsungen
14/11/25 Germany Bundesliga	MT Melsungen	29-29	TSV Hannover Burgdorf
16/05/25 Germany Bundesliga	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	23-29	MT Melsungen
23/12/24 Germany Bundesliga	MT Melsungen	31-23	TSV Hannover Burgdorf
08/08/24 Club Friendlies	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	30-30	MT Melsungen
22/12/23 Germany Bundesliga	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	30-34	MT Melsungen

Standings · Germany Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SC Magdeburg	7	6	0	1	237	210	12
2	SG Flensburg-Handewitt	6	5	1	0	212	188	11
3	THW Kiel	7	5	1	1	217	202	11
4	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	6	4	1	1	183	173	9
5	Fuchse Berlin	5	4	0	1	169	154	8
6	MT Melsungen	6	3	1	2	190	173	7
7	Vfl Gummersbach	6	3	1	2	195	186	7
8	HC Erlangen	6	3	1	2	181	173	7
9	Rhein Neckar Lowen	6	3	0	3	171	173	6
10	Frisch Auf Goppingen	6	3	0	3	170	188	6
11	TVB 1898 Stuttgart	5	2	1	2	153	157	5
12	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten	5	2	0	3	151	142	4
13	TBV Lemgo	5	2	0	3	152	163	4
14	HSV Hamburg	6	1	1	4	190	195	3
15	ThSV Eisenach	6	1	1	4	166	181	3
16	SG BBM Bietigheim	6	1	0	5	170	200	2
17	HSG Wetzlar	6	0	1	5	186	208	1
18	Bergischer HC	6	0	0	6	168	195	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MT Melsungen	TSV Hannover Burgdorf
Rhein Neckar Lowen	28-30 L	32-31 W
Frisch Auf Goppingen	31-18 W	36-28 W
Fuchse Berlin	31-33 L	30-30 D
SC DHFK Leipzig	33-27 W	36-33 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MT Melsungen

WWLDLWDWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/09	Rhein Neckar Lowen Germany Bundesliga	28-30	L
20/09	SC Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga	37-34	W
13/09	TVB 1898 Stuttgart Germany Bundesliga	32-27	W
05/09	Vfl Gummersbach Germany Bundesliga	31-31	D
02/09	Frisch Auf Goppingen Germany Bundesliga	31-18	W
27/08	Fuchse Berlin Germany Bundesliga	31-33	L
07/06	TSV Hannover Burgdorf Germany Bundesliga	32-32	D
04/06	Fuchse Berlin Germany Bundesliga	28-39	L
21/05	SC DHFK Leipzig Germany Bundesliga	33-27	W
09/05	ThSV Eisenach Germany Bundesliga	37-34	W

TSV Hannover Burgdorf

WDLDWDWLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/09	Frisch Auf Goppingen Germany Bundesliga	36-28	W
19/09	SG BBM Bietigheim Germany Bundesliga	31-29	W
12/09	THW Kiel Germany Bundesliga	26-29	L
05/09	HSV Hamburg Germany Bundesliga	30-28	W
02/09	HC Erlangen Germany Bundesliga	28-28	D
30/08	Rhein Neckar Lowen Germany Bundesliga	32-31	W
07/06	MT Melsungen Germany Bundesliga	32-32	D
03/06	Rhein Neckar Lowen Germany Bundesliga	28-29	L
21/05	Fuchse Berlin Germany Bundesliga	30-30	D
08/05	SC DHFK Leipzig Germany Bundesliga	36-33	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MT Melsungen vs TSV Hannover Burgdorf?

Our model gives 63% to MT Melsungen.

How many points are expected in MT Melsungen vs TSV Hannover Burgdorf?

The model estimates 61.3 total points (MT Melsungen 31.2 · TSV Hannover Burgdorf 30.1).