Handball · Germany Bundesliga · 27/08, 20:00

Prediction: Fuchse Berlin vs MT Melsungen

Team pages: Fuchse Berlin

Prediction summary

Estimated points

63.5Total

Fuchse Berlin33.3

MT Melsungen30.2

1X2

75% 25%

Fuchse Berlin MT Melsungen

Recent form · 10 last

Fuchse Berlin 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WLWWWWDWWW

MT Melsungen 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWWWLLWWLD

Head-to-head

Fuchse Berlin 4–2 MT Melsungen (6 last)

MT Melsungen28-39Fuchse Berlin
Fuchse Berlin30-24MT Melsungen
Fuchse Berlin37-29MT Melsungen
MT Melsungen33-31Fuchse Berlin
MT Melsungen30-28Fuchse Berlin
Fuchse Berlin37-31MT Melsungen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fuchse Berlin 1591 · MT Melsungen 1550

	Fuchse Berlin	MT Melsungen
Our model	65%	35%
Market	74%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 63.5 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · +2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points63.5Fuchse Berlin 33.3 · MT Melsungen 30.2

Match keys

Fuchse Berlin is a clear favourite (75% market).
H2H favours Fuchse Berlin: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Fuchse Berlin	MT Melsungen
Points F\|A (Last 10)	36.7 / 31.1	29.5 / 31.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	37.6 / 32.4	30.4 / 32.4
Est. result	33	30

Est. total63.5

Line O/U61.5

Diff.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.27

X10.00

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3.5)1.80

2 (+3.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.88

Under 61.51.88

Diff.: 2.95 · Est. total: 64.45

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 14:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.14 → 1.27▲	Bet365 1.27
X	14.00 → 10.00▼	Bet365 10.00
2	9.00 → 5.50▼	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 6.9%

Time*	1	X	2
14:55 +592’	1.14	14.00	9.00
20:36 +11’	1.16▲	13.00▼	8.00▼
12:40 +5’	1.25▲	11.00▼	6.00▼
14:32 +13’	1.27▲	10.00▼	5.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fuchse Berlin 4–0–2 MT Melsungen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/06/26 Germany Bundesliga	MT Melsungen	28-39	Fuchse Berlin
21/09/25 Germany Bundesliga	Fuchse Berlin	30-24	MT Melsungen
29/05/25 Germany Bundesliga	Fuchse Berlin	37-29	MT Melsungen
19/10/24 Germany Bundesliga	MT Melsungen	33-31	Fuchse Berlin
27/04/24 Germany Bundesliga	MT Melsungen	30-28	Fuchse Berlin
19/10/23 Germany Bundesliga	Fuchse Berlin	37-31	MT Melsungen

Standings · Germany Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bergischer HC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Frisch Auf Goppingen	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Fuchse Berlin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	HC Erlangen	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	HSV Hamburg	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	HSG Wetzlar	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MT Melsungen	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Rhein Neckar Lowen	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SC Magdeburg	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SG BBM Bietigheim	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SG Flensburg-Handewitt	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	TBV Lemgo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	ThSV Eisenach	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	THW Kiel	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	TVB 1898 Stuttgart	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Vfl Gummersbach	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fuchse Berlin	MT Melsungen
SG Flensburg-Handewitt	43-38 W	30-40 L
ThSV Eisenach	41-38 W	37-34 W
TSV Hannover Burgdorf	30-30 D	32-32 D
THW Kiel	35-28 W	30-29 W
Vfl Gummersbach	28-26 W	24-31 L
TBV Lemgo	34-33 W	27-26 W
SC DHFK Leipzig	39-26 W	33-27 W
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 0 L	4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Fuchse Berlin (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fuchse Berlin

WLWWWWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/06	SG Flensburg-Handewitt Germany Bundesliga	43-38	W
04/06	MT Melsungen Germany Bundesliga	39-28	W
29/05	ThSV Eisenach Germany Bundesliga	41-38	W
21/05	TSV Hannover Burgdorf Germany Bundesliga	30-30	D
10/05	THW Kiel Germany Bundesliga	35-28	W
23/04	Vfl Gummersbach Germany Bundesliga	28-26	W
12/04	TBV Lemgo Germany Bundesliga	34-33	W
05/04	SC DHFK Leipzig Germany Bundesliga	39-26	W
28/03	SC Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga	33-35	L
15/03	HC Erlangen Germany Bundesliga	45-29	W

MT Melsungen

LWWWLLWWLD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/06	TSV Hannover Burgdorf Germany Bundesliga	32-32	D
04/06	Fuchse Berlin Germany Bundesliga	28-39	L
21/05	SC DHFK Leipzig Germany Bundesliga	33-27	W
09/05	ThSV Eisenach Germany Bundesliga	37-34	W
01/05	Rhein Neckar Lowen Germany Bundesliga	22-30	L
24/04	SG Flensburg-Handewitt Germany Bundesliga	30-40	L
10/04	TSV GWD Minden Germany Bundesliga	32-28	W
04/04	TBV Lemgo Germany Bundesliga	27-26	W
27/03	THW Kiel Germany Bundesliga	30-29	W
13/03	Vfl Gummersbach Germany Bundesliga	24-31	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fuchse Berlin vs MT Melsungen?

Our model gives 75% to Fuchse Berlin.

How many points are expected in Fuchse Berlin vs MT Melsungen?

The model estimates 63.5 total points (Fuchse Berlin 33.3 · MT Melsungen 30.2).