Handball · Slovenia Prva Liga · 02/09, 19:30

Prediction: RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 vs SD Skofljica

Prediction summary

Estimated points

63Total

RK Slovenj Gradec 201131.8

SD Skofljica31.2

1X2

75% 25%

RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 SD Skofljica

Markets

Under 66.5 points 70%

Recent form · 10 last

RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WWLWWLWLLL

SD Skofljica 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLWWLLLDWW

Head-to-head

RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 4–0 SD Skofljica (4 last)

SD Skofljica28-29RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
RK Slovenj Gradec 201139-33SD Skofljica
SD Skofljica26-31RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
RK Slovenj Gradec 201130-23SD Skofljica

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 1492 · SD Skofljica 1475

	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	SD Skofljica
Our model	62%	38%
Market	77%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 63 points · Bet365 line 66.5 · -3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points63RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 31.8 · SD Skofljica 31.2

Over / Under 66.5Under · 70%recent trend · ~64.2 pts · strength 2

Match keys

RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 is a clear favourite (75% market).
H2H favours RK Slovenj Gradec 2011: 4-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	SD Skofljica
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.4 / 32.2	31.3 / 31
Points F\|A (Last 5)	32 / 36.2	32.2 / 31.6
Est. result	32	31

Est. total63

Line O/U66.5

Diff.3.5

Over / Under30% / 70%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.18

X12.00

26.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-5.5)1.85

2 (+5.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 66.51.85

Under 66.51.85

Diff.: 3.55 · Est. total: 62.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.18 → 1.18	Bet365 1.18
X	12.00 → 12.00	Bet365 12.00
2	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.7%

Time*	1	X	2
12:39 +8’	1.18	12.00	6.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 4–0–0 SD Skofljica

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/11/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	SD Skofljica	28-29	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
06/09/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	39-33	SD Skofljica
17/02/24 Slovenia Prva Liga	SD Skofljica	26-31	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
23/09/23 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	30-23	SD Skofljica

Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MRK Krka	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	RD Loka	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	RD Ribnica	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	RD Slovan	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	RK Ajdovscina	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	RK Celje	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	RK Gorenje Velenje	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	RK Ormoz	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	RK Svis	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	RK Trimo Trebnje	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SD Skofljica	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RK Slovenj Gradec 2011

WWLWWLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/05	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	24-37	L
27/05	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	34-36	L
23/05	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	35-37	L
09/05	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	31-30	W
06/05	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	36-41	L
30/04	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	36-34	W
24/04	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	34-29	W
11/04	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	26-27	L
05/04	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	32-30	W
28/03	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	26-21	W

SD Skofljica

LLWWLLLDWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
23/05	RD Ribnica Slovenia Prva Liga	40-34	W
09/05	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	31-28	W
25/04	RK Frankstahl Radovljica Slovenia Prva Liga	31-31	D
11/04	RD Ribnica Slovenia Prva Liga	29-32	L
04/04	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	30-33	L
28/03	RK Frankstahl Radovljica Slovenia Prva Liga	29-31	L
07/03	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	28-26	W
27/02	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	32-28	W
21/02	MRK Krka Slovenia Prva Liga	27-30	L
14/02	RD Ribnica Slovenia Prva Liga	36-37	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 vs SD Skofljica?

Our model gives 75% to RK Slovenj Gradec 2011.

How many points are expected in RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 vs SD Skofljica?

The model estimates 63 total points (RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 31.8 · SD Skofljica 31.2).

Over or under 66.5 points?

Recent history points to under 66.5 points (70%).