Handball · Slovenia Prva Liga · 12/09, 19:00

Prediction: MRK Krka vs RK Ormoz

Team pages: MRK Krka · RK Ormoz

Prediction summary

Estimated points

59.7Total

MRK Krka31.2

RK Ormoz28.5

1X2

82% 18%

MRK Krka RK Ormoz

Recent form · 10 last

MRK Krka 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LLWWLWDDWW

RK Ormoz 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLWLLW

Head-to-head

MRK Krka 5–1 RK Ormoz (6 last)

MRK Krka31-30RK Ormoz
RK Ormoz29-31MRK Krka
RK Ormoz27-31MRK Krka
MRK Krka31-28RK Ormoz
MRK Krka27-31RK Ormoz
RK Ormoz20-28MRK Krka

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MRK Krka 1525 · RK Ormoz 1431

	MRK Krka	RK Ormoz
Our model	72%	28%
Market	82%	11%

Estimated total (ours) 59.7 points · Bet365 line 60.5 · -0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points59.7MRK Krka 31.2 · RK Ormoz 28.5

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MRK Krka (rating 1525 vs 1431).
MRK Krka is a clear favourite (82% market).
H2H favours MRK Krka: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	MRK Krka	RK Ormoz
Points F\|A (Last 10)	28.8 / 28.4	29.5 / 33.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29.4 / 27.2	30.4 / 31.2
Est. result	31	29

Est. total59.7

Line O/U60.5

Diff.0.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.10

X13.00

28.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-6.5)1.85

2 (+6.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 60.51.85

Under 60.51.85

Diff.: 0.4 · Est. total: 60.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.10 → 1.10	Bet365 1.10
X	13.00 → 13.00	Bet365 13.00
2	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
10:20 +29’	1.10	13.00	8.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · MRK Krka 5–0–1 RK Ormoz

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/04/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	MRK Krka	31-30	RK Ormoz
03/04/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Ormoz	29-31	MRK Krka
28/02/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Ormoz	27-31	MRK Krka
08/11/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	MRK Krka	31-28	RK Ormoz
07/03/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	MRK Krka	27-31	RK Ormoz
16/11/24 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Ormoz	20-28	MRK Krka

Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RD Slovan	2	2	0	0	72	49	4
2	RK Celje	2	2	0	0	75	54	4
3	MRK Krka	2	2	0	0	62	52	4
4	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	2	1	1	0	66	56	3
5	RK Trimo Trebnje	2	1	1	0	66	60	3
6	RD Loka	2	1	0	1	61	59	2
7	RK Gorenje Velenje	2	1	0	1	58	55	2
8	RK Ormoz	2	1	0	1	58	62	2
9	RK Ajdovscina	2	0	0	2	54	69	0
10	SD Skofljica	2	0	0	2	57	74	0
11	RK Svis	2	0	0	2	51	68	0
12	RD Ribnica	2	0	0	2	50	72	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MRK Krka	RK Ormoz
RD Loka	34-29 W	25-32 L
RK Celje	26-35 L	33-36 L
RK Trimo Trebnje	30-26 W	20-39 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: MRK Krka (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MRK Krka

LLWWLWDDWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
05/09	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	34-29	W
02/09	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	28-23	W
23/05	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	25-25	D
09/05	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	29-29	D
29/04	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	31-30	W
22/04	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	26-35	L
10/04	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	30-26	W
03/04	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	31-29	W
25/03	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	30-31	L
14/03	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	24-27	L

RK Ormoz

LLLLLLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
05/09	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	33-30	W
02/09	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	25-32	L
23/05	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	30-32	L
09/05	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	34-31	W
29/04	MRK Krka Slovenia Prva Liga	30-31	L
25/04	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	20-39	L
11/04	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	33-36	L
03/04	MRK Krka Slovenia Prva Liga	29-31	L
27/03	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	30-34	L
14/03	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	31-39	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MRK Krka vs RK Ormoz?

Our model gives 82% to MRK Krka.

How many points are expected in MRK Krka vs RK Ormoz?

The model estimates 59.7 total points (MRK Krka 31.2 · RK Ormoz 28.5).