Handball · Slovenia Prva Liga · 05/09, 18:30

Prediction: RK Trimo Trebnje vs RK Slovenj Gradec 2011

Team pages: RK Trimo Trebnje · RK Slovenj Gradec 2011

Prediction summary

Estimated points

61.7Total

RK Trimo Trebnje32.2

RK Slovenj Gradec 201129.5

1X2

76% 24%

RK Trimo Trebnje RK Slovenj Gradec 2011

Recent form · 10 last

RK Trimo Trebnje 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWWLLWWW

RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLWWLWLLLW

Head-to-head

RK Trimo Trebnje 6–0 RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 (6 last)

RK Slovenj Gradec 201124-37RK Trimo Trebnje
RK Trimo Trebnje36-34RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
RK Trimo Trebnje33-32RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
RK Slovenj Gradec 201125-26RK Trimo Trebnje
RK Trimo Trebnje31-27RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
RK Slovenj Gradec 201130-36RK Trimo Trebnje

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RK Trimo Trebnje 1589 · RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 1472

	RK Trimo Trebnje	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
Our model	75%	25%
Market	70%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 61.7 points · Bet365 line 64.5 · -2.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points61.7RK Trimo Trebnje 32.2 · RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 29.5

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours RK Trimo Trebnje (rating 1589 vs 1472).
RK Trimo Trebnje is a clear favourite (76% market).
H2H favours RK Trimo Trebnje: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	RK Trimo Trebnje	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
Points F\|A (Last 10)	34.5 / 30.8	32.2 / 32.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	34.6 / 30.8	31.6 / 32.8
Est. result	32	30

Est. total61.7

Line O/U64.5

Diff.2.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.27

X10.00

24.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3.5)1.75

2 (+3.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 64.51.85

Under 64.51.85

Diff.: 0.5 · Est. total: 65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.27 → 1.27	Bet365 1.27
X	10.00 → 10.00	Bet365 10.00
2	4.25 → 4.25	Bet365 4.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.3%

Time*	1	X	2
10:42 +6’	1.27	10.00	4.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · RK Trimo Trebnje 6–0–0 RK Slovenj Gradec 2011

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	24-37	RK Trimo Trebnje
27/05/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Trimo Trebnje	36-34	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
17/04/26 Slovenia Cup	RK Trimo Trebnje	33-32	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
08/03/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	25-26	RK Trimo Trebnje
12/11/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Trimo Trebnje	31-27	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
19/04/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	30-36	RK Trimo Trebnje

Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RK Celje	1	1	0	35	21	2
2	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	1	1	0	34	24	2
3	RD Slovan	1	1	0	34	27	2
4	RD Loka	1	1	0	32	25	2
5	RK Trimo Trebnje	1	1	0	34	28	2
6	MRK Krka	1	1	0	28	23	2
7	RK Gorenje Velenje	1	0	1	23	28	0
8	RD Ribnica	1	0	1	28	34	0
9	RK Ajdovscina	1	0	1	27	34	0
10	RK Ormoz	1	0	1	25	32	0
11	SD Skofljica	1	0	1	24	34	0
12	RK Svis	1	0	1	21	35	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	RK Trimo Trebnje	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
RD Slovan	30-31 L	26-27 L
RK Celje	39-38 W	35-37 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: RK Trimo Trebnje (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RK Trimo Trebnje

WLLWWLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
02/09	RD Ribnica Slovenia Prva Liga	34-28	W
31/05	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	37-24	W
27/05	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	36-34	W
09/05	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	30-31	L
06/05	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	36-37	L
29/04	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	39-38	W
25/04	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	39-20	W
10/04	MRK Krka Slovenia Prva Liga	26-30	L
01/04	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	34-36	L
27/03	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	34-30	W

RK Slovenj Gradec 2011

WLWWLWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
02/09	SD Skofljica Slovenia Prva Liga	34-24	W
31/05	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	24-37	L
27/05	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	34-36	L
23/05	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	35-37	L
09/05	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	31-30	W
06/05	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	36-41	L
30/04	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	36-34	W
24/04	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	34-29	W
11/04	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	26-27	L
05/04	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	32-30	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RK Trimo Trebnje vs RK Slovenj Gradec 2011?

Our model gives 76% to RK Trimo Trebnje.

How many points are expected in RK Trimo Trebnje vs RK Slovenj Gradec 2011?

The model estimates 61.7 total points (RK Trimo Trebnje 32.2 · RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 29.5).