Handball · Slovenia Prva Liga · 12/09, 19:00

Prediction: RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 vs RD Slovan

Team pages: RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 · RD Slovan

Prediction summary

Estimated points

64.6Total

RK Slovenj Gradec 201130.6

RD Slovan34

1X2

31% 69%

RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 RD Slovan

Recent form · 10 last

RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWWLWLLLWD

RD Slovan 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWLLWW

Head-to-head

RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 0–6 RD Slovan (6 last)

RD Slovan33-25RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
RK Slovenj Gradec 201126-27RD Slovan
RD Slovan37-28RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
RD Slovan33-28RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
RK Slovenj Gradec 201133-42RD Slovan
RD Slovan24-23RK Slovenj Gradec 2011

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 1461 · RD Slovan 1597

	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	RD Slovan
Our model	41%	59%
Market	22%	68%

Estimated total (ours) 64.6 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · +3.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points64.6RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 30.6 · RD Slovan 34

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours RD Slovan (rating 1461 vs 1597).
RD Slovan is a clear favourite (69% market).
H2H favours RD Slovan: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	RD Slovan
Points F\|A (Last 10)	32.2 / 32.7	35.3 / 30
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31.8 / 33.2	36 / 32.4
Est. result	31	34

Est. total64.6

Line O/U61.5

Diff.3.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

14.00

X9.50

21.32

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+3.5)1.85

2 (-3.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.85

Under 61.51.85

Diff.: 3.6 · Est. total: 65.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
X	9.50 → 9.50	Bet365 9.50
2	1.32 → 1.32	Bet365 1.32

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
10:14 +35’	4.00	9.50	1.32

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 0–0–6 RD Slovan

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Slovenia Cup	RD Slovan	33-25	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
11/04/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	26-27	RD Slovan
15/03/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Slovan	37-28	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
26/02/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Slovan	33-28	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
08/11/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	33-42	RD Slovan
22/11/24 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Slovan	24-23	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011

Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RD Slovan	2	2	0	0	72	49	4
2	RK Celje	2	2	0	0	75	54	4
3	MRK Krka	2	2	0	0	62	52	4
4	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	2	1	1	0	66	56	3
5	RK Trimo Trebnje	2	1	1	0	66	60	3
6	RD Loka	2	1	0	1	61	59	2
7	RK Gorenje Velenje	2	1	0	1	58	55	2
8	RK Ormoz	2	1	0	1	58	62	2
9	RK Ajdovscina	2	0	0	2	54	69	0
10	SD Skofljica	2	0	0	2	57	74	0
11	RK Svis	2	0	0	2	51	68	0
12	RD Ribnica	2	0	0	2	50	72	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	RD Slovan
RK Trimo Trebnje	32-32 D	31-30 W
RK Celje	35-37 L	39-41 L
RD Loka	36-34 W	48-32 W
RK Gorenje Velenje	34-29 W	35-25 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: RD Slovan (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RK Slovenj Gradec 2011

LWWLWLLLWD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
05/09	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	32-32	D
02/09	SD Skofljica Slovenia Prva Liga	34-24	W
31/05	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	24-37	L
27/05	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	34-36	L
23/05	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	35-37	L
09/05	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	31-30	W
06/05	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	36-41	L
30/04	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	36-34	W
24/04	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	34-29	W
11/04	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	26-27	L

RD Slovan

WWWWWWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
05/09	RD Ribnica Slovenia Prva Liga	38-22	W
02/09	RK Ajdovscina Slovenia Prva Liga	34-27	W
31/05	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	39-41	L
27/05	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	38-42	L
09/05	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	31-30	W
06/05	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	37-36	W
29/04	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	35-25	W
24/04	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	48-32	W
11/04	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	27-26	W
03/04	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	26-19	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 vs RD Slovan?

Our model gives 69% to RD Slovan.

How many points are expected in RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 vs RD Slovan?

The model estimates 64.6 total points (RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 30.6 · RD Slovan 34).