Handball · Slovenia Prva Liga · 05/09, 19:00

Prediction: RD Loka vs MRK Krka

Team pages: RD Loka · MRK Krka

Prediction summary

Estimated points

58.8Total

RD Loka29.2

MRK Krka29.6

1X2

42% 58%

RD Loka MRK Krka

Recent form · 10 last

RD Loka 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLDLLLWW

MRK Krka 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLLWWLWDDW

Head-to-head

RD Loka 0–1–5 MRK Krka (6 last)

MRK Krka26-26RD Loka
RD Loka30-31MRK Krka
MRK Krka27-21RD Loka
RD Loka24-26MRK Krka
MRK Krka28-25RD Loka
RD Loka26-31MRK Krka

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RD Loka 1458 · MRK Krka 1502

	RD Loka	MRK Krka
Our model	54%	46%
Market	30%	59%

Estimated total (ours) 58.8 points · Bet365 line 57.5 · +1.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points58.8RD Loka 29.2 · MRK Krka 29.6

Match keys

H2H favours MRK Krka: 5-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	RD Loka	MRK Krka
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.2 / 31.8	28 / 28.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	32.2 / 34.6	27.8 / 28.4
Est. result	29	30

Est. total58.8

Line O/U57.5

Diff.1.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

13.00

X8.50

21.52

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.95

2 (-1.5)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 57.51.85

Under 57.51.85

Diff.: 1.85 · Est. total: 59.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	1.52 → 1.52	Bet365 1.52

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.9%

Time*	1	X	2
10:46 +2’	3.00	8.50	1.52

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · RD Loka 0–1–5 MRK Krka

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/12/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	MRK Krka	26-26	RD Loka
01/10/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Loka	30-31	MRK Krka
23/04/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	MRK Krka	27-21	RD Loka
29/03/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Loka	24-26	MRK Krka
27/11/24 Slovenia Prva Liga	MRK Krka	28-25	RD Loka
14/09/24 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Loka	26-31	MRK Krka

Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RK Celje	1	1	0	35	21	2
2	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	1	1	0	34	24	2
3	RD Slovan	1	1	0	34	27	2
4	RD Loka	1	1	0	32	25	2
5	RK Trimo Trebnje	1	1	0	34	28	2
6	MRK Krka	1	1	0	28	23	2
7	RK Gorenje Velenje	1	0	1	23	28	0
8	RD Ribnica	1	0	1	28	34	0
9	RK Ajdovscina	1	0	1	27	34	0
10	RK Ormoz	1	0	1	25	32	0
11	SD Skofljica	1	0	1	24	34	0
12	RK Svis	1	0	1	21	35	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	RD Loka	MRK Krka
RK Ormoz	32-25 W	31-30 W
RK Gorenje Velenje	28-28 D	28-23 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RD Loka

LWLLDLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
02/09	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	32-25	W
23/05	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	32-30	W
09/05	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	31-34	L
30/04	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	34-36	L
24/04	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	32-48	L
11/04	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	28-28	D
05/04	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	30-32	L
27/03	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	29-30	L
13/03	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	28-27	W
07/03	SD Skofljica Slovenia Prva Liga	26-28	L

MRK Krka

LLLWWLWDDW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
02/09	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	28-23	W
23/05	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	25-25	D
09/05	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	29-29	D
29/04	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	31-30	W
22/04	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	26-35	L
10/04	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	30-26	W
03/04	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	31-29	W
25/03	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	30-31	L
14/03	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	24-27	L
07/03	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	26-32	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RD Loka vs MRK Krka?

Our model gives 58% to MRK Krka.

How many points are expected in RD Loka vs MRK Krka?

The model estimates 58.8 total points (RD Loka 29.2 · MRK Krka 29.6).