Handball · Slovenia Prva Liga · 05/09, 19:00

Prediction: SD Skofljica vs RK Celje

Team pages: SD Skofljica · RK Celje

Prediction summary

Estimated points

68.4Total

SD Skofljica32.8

RK Celje35.5

1X2

29% 71%

SD Skofljica RK Celje

Recent form · 10 last

SD Skofljica 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWWLLLDWWL

RK Celje 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWLWLWWWW

Head-to-head

SD Skofljica 0–6 RK Celje (6 last)

SD Skofljica34-39RK Celje
RK Celje46-35SD Skofljica
SD Skofljica28-44RK Celje
RK Celje40-35SD Skofljica
SD Skofljica28-36RK Celje
SD Skofljica26-38RK Celje

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SD Skofljica 1474 · RK Celje 1560

	SD Skofljica	RK Celje
Our model	48%	52%
Market	15%	77%

Estimated total (ours) 68.4 points · Bet365 line 67.5 · +0.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points68.4SD Skofljica 32.8 · RK Celje 35.5

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours RK Celje (rating 1474 vs 1560).
RK Celje is a clear favourite (71% market).
H2H favours RK Celje: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	SD Skofljica	RK Celje
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.1 / 30.7	37.1 / 33.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31 / 31.8	37 / 32.8
Est. result	33	36

Est. total68.4

Line O/U67.5

Diff.0.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

16.00

X12.00

21.18

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+5.5)1.85

2 (-5.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 67.51.85

Under 67.51.85

Diff.: 1.95 · Est. total: 65.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00
X	12.00 → 12.00	Bet365 12.00
2	1.18 → 1.18	Bet365 1.18

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.7%

Time*	1	X	2
11:30 +19’	6.00	12.00	1.18

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · SD Skofljica 0–0–6 RK Celje

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
20/12/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	SD Skofljica	34-39	RK Celje
04/10/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Celje	46-35	SD Skofljica
18/12/24 Slovenia Cup	SD Skofljica	28-44	RK Celje
25/05/24 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Celje	40-35	SD Skofljica
16/12/23 Slovenia Prva Liga	SD Skofljica	28-36	RK Celje
10/11/21 Slovenia Cup	SD Skofljica	26-38	RK Celje

Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RK Celje	1	1	0	35	21	2
2	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	1	1	0	34	24	2
3	RD Slovan	1	1	0	34	27	2
4	RD Loka	1	1	0	32	25	2
5	RK Trimo Trebnje	1	1	0	34	28	2
6	MRK Krka	1	1	0	28	23	2
7	RK Gorenje Velenje	1	0	1	23	28	0
8	RD Ribnica	1	0	1	28	34	0
9	RK Ajdovscina	1	0	1	27	34	0
10	RK Ormoz	1	0	1	25	32	0
11	SD Skofljica	1	0	1	24	34	0
12	RK Svis	1	0	1	21	35	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SD Skofljica	RK Celje
RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	24-34 L	37-35 W
RK Svis	31-28 W	35-21 W
MRK Krka	27-30 L	35-26 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: RK Celje (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SD Skofljica

LWWLLLDWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
02/09	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	24-34	L
23/05	RD Ribnica Slovenia Prva Liga	40-34	W
09/05	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	31-28	W
25/04	RK Frankstahl Radovljica Slovenia Prva Liga	31-31	D
11/04	RD Ribnica Slovenia Prva Liga	29-32	L
04/04	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	30-33	L
28/03	RK Frankstahl Radovljica Slovenia Prva Liga	29-31	L
07/03	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	28-26	W
27/02	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	32-28	W
21/02	MRK Krka Slovenia Prva Liga	27-30	L

RK Celje

WWWLWLWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
02/09	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	35-21	W
31/05	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	41-39	W
27/05	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	42-38	W
23/05	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	37-35	W
09/05	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	30-31	L
06/05	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	41-36	W
29/04	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	38-39	L
22/04	MRK Krka Slovenia Prva Liga	35-26	W
11/04	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	36-33	W
01/04	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	36-34	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SD Skofljica vs RK Celje?

Our model gives 71% to RK Celje.

How many points are expected in SD Skofljica vs RK Celje?

The model estimates 68.4 total points (SD Skofljica 32.8 · RK Celje 35.5).