Handball · Slovenia Prva Liga · 25/10, 18:00

Prediction: RK Celje vs RD Ribnica

Team pages: RK Celje · RD Ribnica

Prediction summary

Estimated points

67.2Total

RK Celje35.7

RD Ribnica31.5

1X2

83% 17%

RK Celje RD Ribnica

Recent form · 10 last

RK Celje 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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RD Ribnica 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLDLWL

Head-to-head

RK Celje 5–1–0 RD Ribnica (6 last)

RK Celje40-31RD Ribnica
RD Ribnica35-39RK Celje
RD Ribnica25-32RK Celje
RK Celje33-32RD Ribnica
RK Celje35-27RD Ribnica
RD Ribnica33-33RK Celje

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RK Celje 1528 · RD Ribnica 1426

	RK Celje	RD Ribnica
Our model	73%	27%
Market	84%	10%

Estimated total (ours) 67.2 points · Bet365 line 65.5 · +1.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points67.2RK Celje 35.7 · RD Ribnica 31.5

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours RK Celje (rating 1528 vs 1426).
RK Celje is a clear favourite (83% market).
H2H favours RK Celje: 5-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	RK Celje	RD Ribnica
Points F\|A (Last 10)	36.7 / 31.4	30.6 / 33.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	35.6 / 28.8	30.6 / 31.6
Est. result	36	32

Est. total67.2

Line O/U65.5

Diff.1.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.07

X15.00

29.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-7.5)1.85

2 (+7.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 65.51.85

Under 65.51.85

Diff.: 0.75 · Est. total: 66.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.07 → 1.07	Bet365 1.07
X	15.00 → 15.00	Bet365 15.00
2	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
09:14 +3’	1.07	15.00	9.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · RK Celje 5–1–0 RD Ribnica

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/02/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Celje	40-31	RD Ribnica
08/11/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Ribnica	35-39	RK Celje
19/04/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Ribnica	25-32	RK Celje
22/03/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Celje	33-32	RD Ribnica
28/11/24 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Celje	35-27	RD Ribnica
14/09/24 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Ribnica	33-33	RK Celje

Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RD Slovan	9	8	0	1	315	245	16
2	RK Trimo Trebnje	9	7	1	1	301	255	15
3	MRK Krka	9	6	2	1	279	273	14
4	RK Celje	8	6	0	2	284	237	12
5	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	9	5	2	2	279	251	12
6	RD Loka	9	5	1	3	269	268	11
7	RK Gorenje Velenje	9	4	0	5	258	267	8
8	RK Ormoz	9	2	2	5	256	282	6
9	SD Skofljica	9	2	0	7	265	316	4
10	RK Ajdovscina	9	1	1	7	271	316	3
11	RD Ribnica	8	1	1	6	231	259	3
12	RK Svis	9	1	0	8	244	283	2

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	RK Celje	RD Ribnica
RK Ajdovscina	39-31 W	35-36 L
MRK Krka	39-24 W	29-29 D
RD Loka	38-27 W	28-31 L
RK Gorenje Velenje	28-29 L	28-29 L
RD Slovan	34-33 W	22-38 L
RK Trimo Trebnje	31-39 L	28-34 L
SD Skofljica	40-33 W	34-40 L
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 1 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: RK Celje (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RK Celje

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	RK Ajdovscina Slovenia Prva Liga	39-31	W
11/10	MRK Krka Slovenia Prva Liga	39-24	W
03/10	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	38-27	W
27/09	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	28-29	L
20/09	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	34-33	W
13/09	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	31-39	L
05/09	SD Skofljica Slovenia Prva Liga	40-33	W
02/09	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	35-21	W
31/05	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	41-39	W
27/05	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	42-38	W

RD Ribnica

WLLLLLDLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
14/10	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	27-37	L
10/10	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	34-25	W
03/10	RK Ajdovscina Slovenia Prva Liga	35-36	L
26/09	MRK Krka Slovenia Prva Liga	29-29	D
20/09	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	28-31	L
16/09	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	28-29	L
05/09	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	22-38	L
02/09	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	28-34	L
23/05	SD Skofljica Slovenia Prva Liga	34-40	L
09/05	RK Frankstahl Radovljica Slovenia Prva Liga	41-39	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RK Celje vs RD Ribnica?

Our model gives 83% to RK Celje.

How many points are expected in RK Celje vs RD Ribnica?

The model estimates 67.2 total points (RK Celje 35.7 · RD Ribnica 31.5).