Handball · Slovenia Prva Liga · 31/10, 18:00

Prediction: RK Ormoz vs RK Gorenje Velenje

Team pages: RK Ormoz · RK Gorenje Velenje

Prediction summary

Estimated points

58.5Total

RK Ormoz28.4

RK Gorenje Velenje30.1

1X2

41% 59%

RK Ormoz RK Gorenje Velenje

Recent form · 10 last

RK Ormoz 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLWDWDLLLL

RK Gorenje Velenje 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

DLWWLWWLLL

Head-to-head

RK Ormoz 0–1–5 RK Gorenje Velenje (6 last)

RK Ormoz28-35RK Gorenje Velenje
RK Gorenje Velenje35-27RK Ormoz
RK Ormoz27-37RK Gorenje Velenje
RK Gorenje Velenje30-24RK Ormoz
RK Gorenje Velenje31-26RK Ormoz
RK Ormoz25-25RK Gorenje Velenje

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RK Ormoz 1449 · RK Gorenje Velenje 1525

	RK Ormoz	RK Gorenje Velenje
Our model	49%	51%
Market	32%	57%

Estimated total (ours) 58.5 points · Bet365 line 57.5 · +1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points58.5RK Ormoz 28.4 · RK Gorenje Velenje 30.1

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours RK Gorenje Velenje (rating 1449 vs 1525).
H2H favours RK Gorenje Velenje: 5-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	RK Ormoz	RK Gorenje Velenje
Points F\|A (Last 10)	28.6 / 31.4	28.3 / 29.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	26.6 / 32.4	28.8 / 30.8
Est. result	28	30

Est. total58.5

Line O/U57.5

Diff.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.80

X8.50

21.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.85

2 (-1.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 57.51.85

Under 57.51.85

Diff.: 1.25 · Est. total: 58.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10%

Time*	1	X	2
14:00 +18’	2.80	8.50	1.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · RK Ormoz 0–1–5 RK Gorenje Velenje

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
13/02/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Ormoz	28-35	RK Gorenje Velenje
17/10/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Gorenje Velenje	35-27	RK Ormoz
12/02/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Ormoz	27-37	RK Gorenje Velenje
12/11/24 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Gorenje Velenje	30-24	RK Ormoz
25/05/24 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Gorenje Velenje	31-26	RK Ormoz
16/12/23 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Ormoz	25-25	RK Gorenje Velenje

Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RD Slovan	9	8	0	1	315	245	16
2	RK Trimo Trebnje	9	7	1	1	301	255	15
3	RK Celje	9	7	0	2	317	269	14
4	MRK Krka	9	6	2	1	279	273	14
5	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	9	5	2	2	279	251	12
6	RD Loka	9	5	1	3	269	268	11
7	RK Gorenje Velenje	9	4	0	5	258	267	8
8	RK Ormoz	9	2	2	5	256	282	6
9	SD Skofljica	9	2	0	7	265	316	4
10	RK Ajdovscina	9	1	1	7	271	316	3
11	RD Ribnica	9	1	1	7	263	292	3
12	RK Svis	9	1	0	8	244	283	2

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	RK Ormoz	RK Gorenje Velenje
RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	22-29 L	27-30 L
RD Slovan	31-34 L	29-37 L
RD Ribnica	25-34 L	29-28 W
RK Trimo Trebnje	27-37 L	25-33 L
RK Ajdovscina	28-28 D	35-27 W
SD Skofljica	34-27 W	30-31 L
MRK Krka	31-31 D	23-28 L
RK Svis	33-30 W	31-25 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 4 L	3 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: RK Gorenje Velenje (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RK Ormoz

LLWDWDLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
21/10	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	22-29	L
17/10	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	31-34	L
10/10	RD Ribnica Slovenia Prva Liga	25-34	L
03/10	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	27-37	L
26/09	RK Ajdovscina Slovenia Prva Liga	28-28	D
19/09	SD Skofljica Slovenia Prva Liga	34-27	W
12/09	MRK Krka Slovenia Prva Liga	31-31	D
05/09	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	33-30	W
02/09	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	25-32	L
23/05	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	30-32	L

RK Gorenje Velenje

DLWWLWWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
21/10	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	29-37	L
14/10	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	25-33	L
10/10	SD Skofljica Slovenia Prva Liga	30-31	L
03/10	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	31-25	W
27/09	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	29-28	W
20/09	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	27-30	L
16/09	RD Ribnica Slovenia Prva Liga	29-28	W
05/09	RK Ajdovscina Slovenia Prva Liga	35-27	W
02/09	MRK Krka Slovenia Prva Liga	23-28	L
23/05	MRK Krka Slovenia Prva Liga	25-25	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RK Ormoz vs RK Gorenje Velenje?

Our model gives 59% to RK Gorenje Velenje.

How many points are expected in RK Ormoz vs RK Gorenje Velenje?

The model estimates 58.5 total points (RK Ormoz 28.4 · RK Gorenje Velenje 30.1).