Handball · Slovenia Prva Liga · 30/10, 17:30

Prediction: MRK Krka vs RK Trimo Trebnje

Team pages: MRK Krka · RK Trimo Trebnje

Prediction summary

Estimated points

59.2Total

MRK Krka28.4

RK Trimo Trebnje30.9

1X2

39% 61%

MRK Krka RK Trimo Trebnje

Recent form · 10 last

MRK Krka 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DWWDWDWLWW

RK Trimo Trebnje 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWDWWWWLWW

Head-to-head

MRK Krka 2–4 RK Trimo Trebnje (6 last)

MRK Krka30-26RK Trimo Trebnje
RK Trimo Trebnje27-24MRK Krka
RK Trimo Trebnje26-19MRK Krka
MRK Krka29-31RK Trimo Trebnje
MRK Krka26-30RK Trimo Trebnje
MRK Krka27-24RK Trimo Trebnje

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MRK Krka 1532 · RK Trimo Trebnje 1590

	MRK Krka	RK Trimo Trebnje
Our model	52%	48%
Market	27%	62%

Estimated total (ours) 59.2 points · Bet365 line 58.5 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points59.2MRK Krka 28.4 · RK Trimo Trebnje 30.9

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours RK Trimo Trebnje (rating 1532 vs 1590).
H2H favours RK Trimo Trebnje: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	MRK Krka	RK Trimo Trebnje
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.4 / 29.8	33.8 / 27.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29.8 / 31.4	32.8 / 27.2
Est. result	28	31

Est. total59.2

Line O/U58.5

Diff.0.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

13.30

X8.50

21.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.5)1.85

2 (-2.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 58.51.85

Under 58.51.85

Diff.: 2.45 · Est. total: 60.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	1.45 → 1.45	Bet365 1.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
14:01 +15’	3.30	8.50	1.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · MRK Krka 2–0–4 RK Trimo Trebnje

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/04/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	MRK Krka	30-26	RK Trimo Trebnje
14/03/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Trimo Trebnje	27-24	MRK Krka
25/02/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Trimo Trebnje	26-19	MRK Krka
26/11/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	MRK Krka	29-31	RK Trimo Trebnje
22/02/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	MRK Krka	26-30	RK Trimo Trebnje
18/12/24 Slovenia Cup	MRK Krka	27-24	RK Trimo Trebnje

Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RD Slovan	9	8	0	1	315	245	16
2	RK Trimo Trebnje	9	7	1	1	301	255	15
3	RK Celje	9	7	0	2	317	269	14
4	MRK Krka	9	6	2	1	279	273	14
5	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	9	5	2	2	279	251	12
6	RD Loka	9	5	1	3	269	268	11
7	RK Gorenje Velenje	9	4	0	5	258	267	8
8	RK Ormoz	9	2	2	5	256	282	6
9	SD Skofljica	9	2	0	7	265	316	4
10	RK Ajdovscina	9	1	1	7	271	316	3
11	RD Ribnica	9	1	1	7	263	292	3
12	RK Svis	9	1	0	8	244	283	2

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MRK Krka	RK Trimo Trebnje
SD Skofljica	34-32 W	37-27 W
RK Svis	33-30 W	32-28 W
RK Celje	24-39 L	39-31 W
RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	29-27 W	32-32 D
RD Ribnica	29-29 D	34-28 W
RK Ormoz	31-31 D	37-27 W
RD Loka	34-29 W	31-26 W
RK Gorenje Velenje	28-23 W	33-25 W
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 1 L	7 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: RK Trimo Trebnje (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MRK Krka

DWWDWDWLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/10	SD Skofljica Slovenia Prva Liga	34-32	W
17/10	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	33-30	W
11/10	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	24-39	L
03/10	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	29-27	W
26/09	RD Ribnica Slovenia Prva Liga	29-29	D
18/09	RK Ajdovscina Slovenia Prva Liga	37-33	W
12/09	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	31-31	D
05/09	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	34-29	W
02/09	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	28-23	W
23/05	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	25-25	D

RK Trimo Trebnje

WWDWWWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
21/10	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	31-26	W
14/10	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	33-25	W
09/10	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	26-31	L
03/10	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	37-27	W
26/09	SD Skofljica Slovenia Prva Liga	37-27	W
19/09	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	32-28	W
13/09	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	39-31	W
05/09	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	32-32	D
02/09	RD Ribnica Slovenia Prva Liga	34-28	W
31/05	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	37-24	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MRK Krka vs RK Trimo Trebnje?

Our model gives 61% to RK Trimo Trebnje.

How many points are expected in MRK Krka vs RK Trimo Trebnje?

The model estimates 59.2 total points (MRK Krka 28.4 · RK Trimo Trebnje 30.9).