Handball · Slovenia Prva Liga · 30/10, 19:00

Prediction: RD Loka vs RD Slovan

Team pages: RD Loka · RD Slovan

Prediction summary

Estimated points

63.1Total

RD Loka29.3

RD Slovan33.8

1X2

26% 74%

RD Loka RD Slovan

Recent form · 10 last

RD Loka 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWWDLWWL

RD Slovan 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWLWWWWW

Head-to-head

RD Loka 0–6 RD Slovan (6 last)

RD Slovan48-32RD Loka
RD Loka29-30RD Slovan
RD Loka32-41RD Slovan
RD Slovan38-32RD Loka
RD Loka28-37RD Slovan
RD Slovan37-33RD Loka

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RD Loka 1494 · RD Slovan 1629

	RD Loka	RD Slovan
Our model	41%	59%
Market	15%	78%

Estimated total (ours) 63.1 points · Bet365 line 63.5 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points63.1RD Loka 29.3 · RD Slovan 33.8

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours RD Slovan (rating 1494 vs 1629).
RD Slovan is a clear favourite (74% market).
H2H favours RD Slovan: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	RD Loka	RD Slovan
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.1 / 29.8	35.4 / 28.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	28.4 / 30.8	36.4 / 27.8
Est. result	29	34

Est. total63.1

Line O/U63.5

Diff.0.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

16.00

X12.00

21.16

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+5.5)1.85

2 (-5.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 63.51.85

Under 63.51.85

Diff.: 1.55 · Est. total: 61.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00
X	12.00 → 12.00	Bet365 12.00
2	1.16 → 1.16	Bet365 1.16

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
14:00 +16’	6.00	12.00	1.16

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · RD Loka 0–0–6 RD Slovan

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/04/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Slovan	48-32	RD Loka
27/03/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Loka	29-30	RD Slovan
21/02/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Loka	32-41	RD Slovan
24/10/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Slovan	38-32	RD Loka
16/04/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Loka	28-37	RD Slovan
21/03/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Slovan	37-33	RD Loka

Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RD Slovan	9	8	0	1	315	245	16
2	RK Trimo Trebnje	9	7	1	1	301	255	15
3	RK Celje	9	7	0	2	317	269	14
4	MRK Krka	9	6	2	1	279	273	14
5	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	9	5	2	2	279	251	12
6	RD Loka	9	5	1	3	269	268	11
7	RK Gorenje Velenje	9	4	0	5	258	267	8
8	RK Ormoz	9	2	2	5	256	282	6
9	SD Skofljica	9	2	0	7	265	316	4
10	RK Ajdovscina	9	1	1	7	271	316	3
11	RD Ribnica	9	1	1	7	263	292	3
12	RK Svis	9	1	0	8	244	283	2

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	RD Loka	RD Slovan
RK Trimo Trebnje	26-31 L	31-26 W
SD Skofljica	35-32 W	46-28 W
RK Svis	26-25 W	34-25 W
RK Celje	27-38 L	33-34 L
RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	28-28 D	28-23 W
RD Ribnica	31-28 W	38-22 W
RK Ajdovscina	35-27 W	34-27 W
RK Ormoz	32-25 W	34-31 W
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 2 L	7 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: RD Slovan (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RD Loka

WWLWWDLWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
21/10	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	26-31	L
17/10	SD Skofljica Slovenia Prva Liga	35-32	W
10/10	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	26-25	W
03/10	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	27-38	L
26/09	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	28-28	D
20/09	RD Ribnica Slovenia Prva Liga	31-28	W
12/09	RK Ajdovscina Slovenia Prva Liga	35-27	W
05/09	MRK Krka Slovenia Prva Liga	29-34	L
02/09	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	32-25	W
23/05	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	32-30	W

RD Slovan

LWWWLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
21/10	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	37-29	W
17/10	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	34-31	W
09/10	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	31-26	W
03/10	SD Skofljica Slovenia Prva Liga	46-28	W
26/09	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	34-25	W
20/09	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	33-34	L
12/09	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	28-23	W
05/09	RD Ribnica Slovenia Prva Liga	38-22	W
02/09	RK Ajdovscina Slovenia Prva Liga	34-27	W
31/05	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	39-41	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RD Loka vs RD Slovan?

Our model gives 74% to RD Slovan.

How many points are expected in RD Loka vs RD Slovan?

The model estimates 63.1 total points (RD Loka 29.3 · RD Slovan 33.8).