Handball · Slovenia Prva Liga · 31/10, 18:00

Prediction: RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 vs RK Celje

Team pages: RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 · RK Celje

Prediction summary

Estimated points

65.7Total

RK Slovenj Gradec 201132.4

RK Celje33.3

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

48% 52%

RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 RK Celje

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWDLWDLWWW

RK Celje 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWLWLWWWW

Head-to-head

RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 1–1–4 RK Celje (6 last)

RK Celje37-35RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
RK Slovenj Gradec 201131-30RK Celje
RK Celje41-36RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
RK Celje37-36RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
RK Slovenj Gradec 201126-26RK Celje
RK Celje35-31RK Slovenj Gradec 2011

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 1522 · RK Celje 1533

	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	RK Celje
Our model	58%	42%
Market	37%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 65.7 points · Bet365 line 65.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points65.7RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 32.4 · RK Celje 33.3

Match keys

H2H favours RK Celje: 4-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	RK Celje
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.3 / 28.8	35.8 / 30.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	32 / 28	35.4 / 28.6
Est. result	32	33

Est. total65.7

Line O/U65.5

Diff.0.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.40

X8.50

21.72

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.72

2 (-1.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 65.51.85

Under 65.51.85

Diff.: 2.65 · Est. total: 62.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	1.72 → 1.72	Bet365 1.72

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
14:04 +15’	2.40	8.50	1.72

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 1–1–4 RK Celje

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Celje	37-35	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
09/05/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	31-30	RK Celje
06/05/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Celje	41-36	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
06/12/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Celje	37-36	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
20/09/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	26-26	RK Celje
30/04/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Celje	35-31	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011

Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RD Slovan	9	8	0	1	315	245	16
2	RK Trimo Trebnje	9	7	1	1	301	255	15
3	RK Celje	9	7	0	2	317	269	14
4	MRK Krka	9	6	2	1	279	273	14
5	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	9	5	2	2	279	251	12
6	RD Loka	9	5	1	3	269	268	11
7	RK Gorenje Velenje	9	4	0	5	258	267	8
8	RK Ormoz	9	2	2	5	256	282	6
9	SD Skofljica	9	2	0	7	265	316	4
10	RK Ajdovscina	9	1	1	7	271	316	3
11	RD Ribnica	9	1	1	7	263	292	3
12	RK Svis	9	1	0	8	244	283	2

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	RK Celje
RD Ribnica	37-27 W	33-32 W
RK Ajdovscina	39-34 W	39-31 W
MRK Krka	27-29 L	39-24 W
RD Loka	28-28 D	38-27 W
RK Gorenje Velenje	30-27 W	28-29 L
RD Slovan	23-28 L	34-33 W
RK Trimo Trebnje	32-32 D	31-39 L
SD Skofljica	34-24 W	40-33 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 2 L	6 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RK Slovenj Gradec 2011

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
21/10	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	29-22	W
14/10	RD Ribnica Slovenia Prva Liga	37-27	W
10/10	RK Ajdovscina Slovenia Prva Liga	39-34	W
03/10	MRK Krka Slovenia Prva Liga	27-29	L
26/09	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	28-28	D
20/09	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	30-27	W
12/09	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	23-28	L
05/09	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	32-32	D
02/09	SD Skofljica Slovenia Prva Liga	34-24	W
31/05	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	24-37	L

RK Celje

WWWLWLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/10	RD Ribnica Slovenia Prva Liga	33-32	W
17/10	RK Ajdovscina Slovenia Prva Liga	39-31	W
11/10	MRK Krka Slovenia Prva Liga	39-24	W
03/10	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	38-27	W
27/09	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	28-29	L
20/09	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	34-33	W
13/09	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	31-39	L
05/09	SD Skofljica Slovenia Prva Liga	40-33	W
02/09	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	35-21	W
31/05	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	41-39	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 vs RK Celje?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 48% · RK Celje 52%).

How many points are expected in RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 vs RK Celje?

The model estimates 65.7 total points (RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 32.4 · RK Celje 33.3).