Handball · Slovenia Prva Liga · 30/10, 17:00

Prediction: RD Ribnica vs RK Svis

Team pages: RD Ribnica · RK Svis

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60.3Total

RD Ribnica29.8

RK Svis30.5

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

61% 39%

RD Ribnica RK Svis

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Markets

Over 58.5 points 70%

Recent form · 10 last

RD Ribnica 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLLDLWLL

RK Svis 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLLLLW

Head-to-head

RD Ribnica 3–3 RK Svis (6 last)

RK Svis26-27RD Ribnica
RD Ribnica34-38RK Svis
RD Ribnica27-30RK Svis
RK Svis28-34RD Ribnica
RK Svis25-29RD Ribnica
RD Ribnica31-32RK Svis

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RD Ribnica 1418 · RK Svis 1468

	RD Ribnica	RK Svis
Our model	53%	47%
Market	59%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 60.3 points · Bet365 line 58.5 · +1.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60.3RD Ribnica 29.8 · RK Svis 30.5

Over / Under 58.5Over · 70%recent trend · ~61.5 pts · strength 3

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	RD Ribnica	RK Svis
Points F\|A (Last 10)	29.7 / 33.2	27.6 / 30.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31.4 / 32	27.8 / 30.4
Est. result	30	31

Est. total60.3

Line O/U58.5

Diff.1.8

Over / Under70% / 30%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.52

X8.50

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.75

2 (+1.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 58.51.85

Under 58.51.85

Diff.: 2 · Est. total: 60.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.52 → 1.52	Bet365 1.52
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.9%

Time*	1	X	2
14:03 +13’	1.52	8.50	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · RD Ribnica 3–0–3 RK Svis

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Svis	26-27	RD Ribnica
28/03/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Ribnica	34-38	RK Svis
06/12/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Ribnica	27-30	RK Svis
20/09/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Svis	28-34	RD Ribnica
11/12/24 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Svis	25-29	RD Ribnica
28/09/24 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Ribnica	31-32	RK Svis

Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RD Slovan	9	8	0	1	315	245	16
2	RK Trimo Trebnje	9	7	1	1	301	255	15
3	RK Celje	9	7	0	2	317	269	14
4	MRK Krka	9	6	2	1	279	273	14
5	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	9	5	2	2	279	251	12
6	RD Loka	9	5	1	3	269	268	11
7	RK Gorenje Velenje	9	4	0	5	258	267	8
8	RK Ormoz	9	2	2	5	256	282	6
9	SD Skofljica	9	2	0	7	265	316	4
10	RK Ajdovscina	9	1	1	7	271	316	3
11	RD Ribnica	9	1	1	7	263	292	3
12	RK Svis	9	1	0	8	244	283	2

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	RD Ribnica	RK Svis
RK Celje	32-33 L	21-35 L
RK Ormoz	34-25 W	30-33 L
RK Ajdovscina	35-36 L	34-28 W
MRK Krka	29-29 D	30-33 L
RD Loka	28-31 L	25-26 L
RK Gorenje Velenje	28-29 L	25-31 L
RD Slovan	22-38 L	25-34 L
RK Trimo Trebnje	28-34 L	28-32 L
SD Skofljica	34-40 L	26-31 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 7 L	1 W 0 D 8 L

Better against common opponents: RK Svis (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RD Ribnica

LLLLLDLWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/10	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	32-33	L
14/10	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	27-37	L
10/10	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	34-25	W
03/10	RK Ajdovscina Slovenia Prva Liga	35-36	L
26/09	MRK Krka Slovenia Prva Liga	29-29	D
20/09	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	28-31	L
16/09	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	28-29	L
05/09	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	22-38	L
02/09	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	28-34	L
23/05	SD Skofljica Slovenia Prva Liga	34-40	L

RK Svis

WLLLLLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/10	RK Ajdovscina Slovenia Prva Liga	34-28	W
17/10	MRK Krka Slovenia Prva Liga	30-33	L
10/10	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	25-26	L
03/10	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	25-31	L
26/09	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	25-34	L
19/09	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	28-32	L
12/09	SD Skofljica Slovenia Prva Liga	26-31	L
05/09	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	30-33	L
02/09	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	21-35	L
30/05	SD RK Mokerc IG Slovenia Prva Liga	32-22	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RD Ribnica vs RK Svis?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (RD Ribnica 61% · RK Svis 39%).

How many points are expected in RD Ribnica vs RK Svis?

The model estimates 60.3 total points (RD Ribnica 29.8 · RK Svis 30.5).

Over or under 58.5 points?

Recent history points to over 58.5 points (70%).