Handball · Slovenia Prva Liga · 02/09, 19:00

Prediction: RK Celje vs RK Svis

Prediction summary

Estimated points

64.9Total

RK Celje33.5

RK Svis31.4

1X2

84% 16%

RK Celje RK Svis

Recent form · 10 last

RK Celje 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWLWWW

RK Svis 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLLWWWLLDW

Head-to-head

RK Celje 5–1–0 RK Svis (6 last)

RK Celje35-31RK Svis
RK Svis24-34RK Celje
RK Celje26-22RK Svis
RK Svis32-36RK Celje
RK Celje40-28RK Svis
RK Svis33-33RK Celje

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RK Celje 1549 · RK Svis 1471

	RK Celje	RK Svis
Our model	70%	30%
Market	89%	6%

Estimated total (ours) 64.9 points · Bet365 line 65.5 · -0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points64.9RK Celje 33.5 · RK Svis 31.4

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours RK Celje (rating 1549 vs 1471).
RK Celje is a clear favourite (84% market).
H2H favours RK Celje: 5-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	RK Celje	RK Svis
Points F\|A (Last 10)	36.7 / 34.1	29.7 / 28.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	38.2 / 35.8	29.2 / 26.8
Est. result	34	31

Est. total64.9

Line O/U65.5

Diff.0.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.01

X20.00

215.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-10.5)1.85

2 (+10.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 65.51.85

Under 65.51.85

Diff.: 0.8 · Est. total: 64.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.01 → 1.01	Bet365 1.01
X	20.00 → 20.00	Bet365 20.00
2	15.00 → 15.00	Bet365 15.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
12:32 +14’	1.01	20.00	15.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · RK Celje 5–1–0 RK Svis

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/11/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Celje	35-31	RK Svis
06/09/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Svis	24-34	RK Celje
09/02/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Celje	26-22	RK Svis
12/10/24 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Svis	32-36	RK Celje
09/02/24 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Celje	40-28	RK Svis
16/09/23 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Svis	33-33	RK Celje

Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MRK Krka	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	RD Loka	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	RD Ribnica	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	RD Slovan	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	RK Ajdovscina	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	RK Celje	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	RK Gorenje Velenje	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	RK Ormoz	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	RK Svis	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	RK Trimo Trebnje	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SD Skofljica	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	RK Celje	RK Svis
RK Trimo Trebnje	38-39 L	23-28 L
RK Ormoz	36-33 W	29-31 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: RK Celje (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RK Celje

WWWWLWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/05	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	41-39	W
27/05	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	42-38	W
23/05	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	37-35	W
09/05	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	30-31	L
06/05	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	41-36	W
29/04	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	38-39	L
22/04	MRK Krka Slovenia Prva Liga	35-26	W
11/04	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	36-33	W
01/04	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	36-34	W
25/03	MRK Krka Slovenia Prva Liga	31-30	W

RK Svis

LLLWWWLLDW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/05	SD RK Mokerc IG Slovenia Prva Liga	32-22	W
23/05	RK Frankstahl Radovljica Slovenia Prva Liga	27-27	D
09/05	SD Skofljica Slovenia Prva Liga	28-31	L
25/04	RD Ribnica Slovenia Prva Liga	26-27	L
11/04	RK Frankstahl Radovljica Slovenia Prva Liga	33-27	W
04/04	SD Skofljica Slovenia Prva Liga	33-30	W
28/03	RD Ribnica Slovenia Prva Liga	38-34	W
07/03	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	29-31	L
04/03	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	23-28	L
27/02	SD Skofljica Slovenia Prva Liga	28-32	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RK Celje vs RK Svis?

Our model gives 84% to RK Celje.

How many points are expected in RK Celje vs RK Svis?

The model estimates 64.9 total points (RK Celje 33.5 · RK Svis 31.4).