Handball · Slovenia Prva Liga · 20/09, 18:00

Prediction: RD Slovan vs RK Celje

Team pages: RD Slovan · RK Celje

Prediction summary

Estimated points

68.1Total

RD Slovan35.2

RK Celje32.9

1X2

77% 23%

RD Slovan RK Celje

Recent form · 10 last

RD Slovan 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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RK Celje 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

RD Slovan 3–1–2 RK Celje (6 last)

RK Celje41-39RD Slovan
RD Slovan38-42RK Celje
RK Celje30-30RD Slovan
RD Slovan34-31RK Celje
RK Celje29-31RD Slovan
RK Celje29-30RD Slovan

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RD Slovan 1596 · RK Celje 1490

	RD Slovan	RK Celje
Our model	73%	27%
Market	73%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 68.1 points · Bet365 line 63.5 · +4.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points68.1RD Slovan 35.2 · RK Celje 32.9

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours RD Slovan (rating 1596 vs 1490).
RD Slovan is a clear favourite (77% market).
H2H favours RD Slovan: 3-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	RD Slovan	RK Celje
Points F\|A (Last 10)	35.5 / 30.4	37 / 33.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	35.4 / 31	37.8 / 34
Est. result	35	33

Est. total68.1

Line O/U63.5

Diff.4.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.25

X11.00

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-4.5)1.85

2 (+4.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 63.51.85

Under 63.51.85

Diff.: 4.8 · Est. total: 68.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.25 → 1.25	Bet365 1.25
X	11.00 → 11.00	Bet365 11.00
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.1%

Time*	1	X	2
09:56 +1’	1.25	11.00	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · RD Slovan 3–1–2 RK Celje

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Celje	41-39	RD Slovan
27/05/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Slovan	38-42	RK Celje
17/04/26 Slovenia Cup	RK Celje	30-30	RD Slovan
13/12/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Slovan	34-31	RK Celje
26/09/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Celje	29-31	RD Slovan
22/02/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Celje	29-30	RD Slovan

Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RD Slovan	3	3	0	0	100	72	6
2	RK Trimo Trebnje	3	2	1	0	105	91	5
3	MRK Krka	3	2	1	0	93	83	5
4	RK Celje	3	2	0	1	106	93	4
5	RD Loka	3	2	0	1	96	86	4
6	RK Gorenje Velenje	3	2	0	1	87	83	4
7	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	3	1	1	1	89	84	3
8	RK Ormoz	3	1	1	1	89	93	3
9	SD Skofljica	3	1	0	2	88	100	2
10	RK Svis	3	0	0	3	77	99	0
11	RK Ajdovscina	3	0	0	3	81	104	0
12	RD Ribnica	3	0	0	3	78	101	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	RD Slovan	RK Celje
RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	28-23 W	37-35 W
RK Trimo Trebnje	31-30 W	31-39 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: RD Slovan (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RD Slovan

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/09	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	28-23	W
05/09	RD Ribnica Slovenia Prva Liga	38-22	W
02/09	RK Ajdovscina Slovenia Prva Liga	34-27	W
31/05	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	39-41	L
27/05	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	38-42	L
09/05	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	31-30	W
06/05	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	37-36	W
29/04	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	35-25	W
24/04	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	48-32	W
11/04	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	27-26	W

RK Celje

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
13/09	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	31-39	L
05/09	SD Skofljica Slovenia Prva Liga	40-33	W
02/09	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	35-21	W
31/05	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	41-39	W
27/05	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	42-38	W
23/05	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	37-35	W
09/05	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	30-31	L
06/05	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	41-36	W
29/04	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	38-39	L
22/04	MRK Krka Slovenia Prva Liga	35-26	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RD Slovan vs RK Celje?

Our model gives 77% to RD Slovan.

How many points are expected in RD Slovan vs RK Celje?

The model estimates 68.1 total points (RD Slovan 35.2 · RK Celje 32.9).