Handball · Slovenia Prva Liga · 19/09, 19:00

Prediction: RK Ormoz vs SD Skofljica

Team pages: RK Ormoz · SD Skofljica

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60.8Total

RK Ormoz30.6

SD Skofljica30.2

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

53% 47%

RK Ormoz SD Skofljica

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

RK Ormoz 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLLWLLWD

SD Skofljica 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLLLDWWLLW

Head-to-head

RK Ormoz 4–1–0 SD Skofljica (5 last)

RK Ormoz33-30SD Skofljica
SD Skofljica17-24RK Ormoz
SD Skofljica29-29RK Ormoz
SD Skofljica25-27RK Ormoz
RK Ormoz29-28SD Skofljica

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RK Ormoz 1471 · SD Skofljica 1476

	RK Ormoz	SD Skofljica
Our model	59%	41%
Market	44%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 60.8 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · -0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60.8RK Ormoz 30.6 · SD Skofljica 30.2

Match keys

H2H favours RK Ormoz: 4-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	RK Ormoz	SD Skofljica
Points F\|A (Last 10)	29.5 / 32.7	30.6 / 31.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30.6 / 31.2	31.8 / 32.4
Est. result	31	30

Est. total60.8

Line O/U61.5

Diff.0.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.05

X8.50

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.72

2 (-0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.85

Under 61.51.85

Diff.: 0.65 · Est. total: 62.15

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 00:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.45 → 2.05▲	Bet365 2.05
X	9.00 → 8.50▼	Bet365 8.50
2	3.30 → 2.00▼	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
09:37 +18’	1.45	9.00	3.30
17:41 +16’	1.70▲	8.50▼	2.50▼
00:30 +22’	2.05▲	8.50	2.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · RK Ormoz 4–1–0 SD Skofljica

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/12/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Ormoz	33-30	SD Skofljica
04/11/25 Slovenia Cup	SD Skofljica	17-24	RK Ormoz
01/10/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	SD Skofljica	29-29	RK Ormoz
23/03/24 Slovenia Prva Liga	SD Skofljica	25-27	RK Ormoz
21/10/23 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Ormoz	29-28	SD Skofljica

Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RD Slovan	3	3	0	0	100	72	6
2	RK Trimo Trebnje	3	2	1	0	105	91	5
3	MRK Krka	3	2	1	0	93	83	5
4	RK Celje	3	2	0	1	106	93	4
5	RD Loka	3	2	0	1	96	86	4
6	RK Gorenje Velenje	3	2	0	1	87	83	4
7	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	3	1	1	1	89	84	3
8	RK Ormoz	3	1	1	1	89	93	3
9	SD Skofljica	3	1	0	2	88	100	2
10	RK Svis	3	0	0	3	77	99	0
11	RK Ajdovscina	3	0	0	3	81	104	0
12	RD Ribnica	3	0	0	3	78	101	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	RK Ormoz	SD Skofljica
RK Svis	33-30 W	31-26 W
RD Loka	25-32 L	28-26 W
RK Celje	33-36 L	33-40 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: SD Skofljica (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RK Ormoz

LLLLLWLLWD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/09	MRK Krka Slovenia Prva Liga	31-31	D
05/09	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	33-30	W
02/09	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	25-32	L
23/05	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	30-32	L
09/05	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	34-31	W
29/04	MRK Krka Slovenia Prva Liga	30-31	L
25/04	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	20-39	L
11/04	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	33-36	L
03/04	MRK Krka Slovenia Prva Liga	29-31	L
27/03	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	30-34	L

SD Skofljica

WLLLDWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/09	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	31-26	W
05/09	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	33-40	L
02/09	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	24-34	L
23/05	RD Ribnica Slovenia Prva Liga	40-34	W
09/05	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	31-28	W
25/04	RK Frankstahl Radovljica Slovenia Prva Liga	31-31	D
11/04	RD Ribnica Slovenia Prva Liga	29-32	L
04/04	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	30-33	L
28/03	RK Frankstahl Radovljica Slovenia Prva Liga	29-31	L
07/03	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	28-26	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RK Ormoz vs SD Skofljica?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (RK Ormoz 53% · SD Skofljica 47%).

How many points are expected in RK Ormoz vs SD Skofljica?

The model estimates 60.8 total points (RK Ormoz 30.6 · SD Skofljica 30.2).