Handball · Slovenia Prva Liga · 17/10, 19:00

Prediction: RK Ormoz vs RD Slovan

Team pages: RK Ormoz · RD Slovan

Prediction summary

Estimated points

62.3Total

RK Ormoz29.2

RD Slovan33.1

1X2

22% 78%

RK Ormoz RD Slovan

Markets

Over 60.5 points 65%

Recent form · 10 last

RK Ormoz 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLWDWDLL

RD Slovan 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WLLWWWLWWW

Head-to-head

RK Ormoz 0–6 RD Slovan (6 last)

RK Ormoz23-29RD Slovan
RK Ormoz30-36RD Slovan
RD Slovan44-27RK Ormoz
RD Slovan39-32RK Ormoz
RK Ormoz26-36RD Slovan
RD Slovan35-26RK Ormoz

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RK Ormoz 1458 · RD Slovan 1605

	RK Ormoz	RD Slovan
Our model	39%	61%
Market	11%	83%

Estimated total (ours) 62.3 points · Bet365 line 60.5 · +1.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points62.3RK Ormoz 29.2 · RD Slovan 33.1

Over / Under 60.5Over · 65%recent trend · ~62.3 pts · strength 2

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours RD Slovan (rating 1458 vs 1605).
RD Slovan is a clear favourite (78% market).
H2H favours RD Slovan: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	RK Ormoz	RD Slovan
Points F\|A (Last 10)	29.7 / 31.3	35.2 / 29.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29 / 31.4	34.4 / 27.2
Est. result	29	33

Est. total62.3

Line O/U60.5

Diff.1.8

Over / Under65% / 35%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

18.50

X14.00

21.08

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+6.5)1.95

2 (-6.5)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 60.51.85

Under 60.51.85

Diff.: 2.5 · Est. total: 63

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
X	14.00 → 14.00	Bet365 14.00
2	1.08 → 1.08	Bet365 1.08

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
11:27 +53’	8.50	14.00	1.08

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · RK Ormoz 0–0–6 RD Slovan

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/12/25 Slovenia Cup	RK Ormoz	23-29	RD Slovan
06/12/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Ormoz	30-36	RD Slovan
19/09/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Slovan	44-27	RK Ormoz
17/12/24 Slovenia Cup	RD Slovan	39-32	RK Ormoz
14/12/24 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Ormoz	26-36	RD Slovan
02/10/24 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Slovan	35-26	RK Ormoz

Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RK Trimo Trebnje	8	6	1	1	270	229	13
2	RD Slovan	7	6	0	1	244	185	12
3	RK Celje	7	5	0	2	245	206	10
4	MRK Krka	7	4	2	1	212	211	10
5	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	8	4	2	2	250	229	10
6	RD Loka	7	4	1	2	208	205	9
7	RK Gorenje Velenje	8	4	0	4	229	230	8
8	RK Ormoz	7	2	2	3	203	219	6
9	SD Skofljica	7	2	0	5	201	247	4
10	RK Ajdovscina	7	1	1	5	212	243	3
11	RD Ribnica	8	1	1	6	231	259	3
12	RK Svis	7	0	0	7	180	222	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	RK Ormoz	RD Slovan
RD Ribnica	25-34 L	38-22 W
RK Trimo Trebnje	27-37 L	31-26 W
RK Ajdovscina	28-28 D	34-27 W
SD Skofljica	34-27 W	46-28 W
RK Svis	33-30 W	34-25 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	5 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: RD Slovan (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RK Ormoz

LWLLWDWDLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/10	RD Ribnica Slovenia Prva Liga	25-34	L
03/10	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	27-37	L
26/09	RK Ajdovscina Slovenia Prva Liga	28-28	D
19/09	SD Skofljica Slovenia Prva Liga	34-27	W
12/09	MRK Krka Slovenia Prva Liga	31-31	D
05/09	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	33-30	W
02/09	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	25-32	L
23/05	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	30-32	L
09/05	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	34-31	W
29/04	MRK Krka Slovenia Prva Liga	30-31	L

RD Slovan

WLLWWWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
09/10	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	31-26	W
03/10	SD Skofljica Slovenia Prva Liga	46-28	W
26/09	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	34-25	W
20/09	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	33-34	L
12/09	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	28-23	W
05/09	RD Ribnica Slovenia Prva Liga	38-22	W
02/09	RK Ajdovscina Slovenia Prva Liga	34-27	W
31/05	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	39-41	L
27/05	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	38-42	L
09/05	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	31-30	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RK Ormoz vs RD Slovan?

Our model gives 78% to RD Slovan.

How many points are expected in RK Ormoz vs RD Slovan?

The model estimates 62.3 total points (RK Ormoz 29.2 · RD Slovan 33.1).

Over or under 60.5 points?

Recent history points to over 60.5 points (65%).