Handball · Slovenia Prva Liga · 21/10, 19:00

Prediction: RK Trimo Trebnje vs RD Loka

Team pages: RK Trimo Trebnje · RD Loka

Prediction summary

Estimated points

62Total

RK Trimo Trebnje32.5

RD Loka29.5

1X2

80% 20%

RK Trimo Trebnje RD Loka

Recent form · 10 last

RK Trimo Trebnje 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWWDWWWWLW

RD Loka 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

RK Trimo Trebnje 4–1–1 RD Loka (6 last)

RK Trimo Trebnje31-34RD Loka
RD Loka31-33RK Trimo Trebnje
RK Trimo Trebnje29-25RD Loka
RD Loka28-28RK Trimo Trebnje
RD Loka23-30RK Trimo Trebnje
RK Trimo Trebnje42-32RD Loka

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RK Trimo Trebnje 1600 · RD Loka 1520

	RK Trimo Trebnje	RD Loka
Our model	70%	30%
Market	80%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 62 points · Bet365 line 62.5 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points62RK Trimo Trebnje 32.5 · RD Loka 29.5

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours RK Trimo Trebnje (rating 1600 vs 1520).
RK Trimo Trebnje is a clear favourite (80% market).
H2H favours RK Trimo Trebnje: 4-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	RK Trimo Trebnje	RD Loka
Points F\|A (Last 10)	34.3 / 28.7	30.6 / 30.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	33 / 27.6	29.4 / 30.2
Est. result	33	30

Est. total62

Line O/U62.5

Diff.0.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.13

X12.00

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-5.5)1.75

2 (+5.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 62.51.85

Under 62.51.85

Diff.: 0.65 · Est. total: 61.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.13 → 1.13	Bet365 1.13
X	12.00 → 12.00	Bet365 12.00
2	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
11:37 +38’	1.13	12.00	7.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · RK Trimo Trebnje 4–1–1 RD Loka

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/02/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Trimo Trebnje	31-34	RD Loka
08/11/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Loka	31-33	RK Trimo Trebnje
15/02/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Trimo Trebnje	29-25	RD Loka
19/10/24 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Loka	28-28	RK Trimo Trebnje
07/03/24 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Loka	23-30	RK Trimo Trebnje
13/10/23 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Trimo Trebnje	42-32	RD Loka

Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RD Slovan	8	7	0	1	278	216	14
2	RK Trimo Trebnje	8	6	1	1	270	229	13
3	RK Celje	8	6	0	2	284	237	12
4	MRK Krka	8	5	2	1	245	241	12
5	RD Loka	8	5	1	2	243	237	11
6	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	8	4	2	2	250	229	10
7	RK Gorenje Velenje	8	4	0	4	229	230	8
8	RK Ormoz	8	2	2	4	234	253	6
9	SD Skofljica	8	2	0	6	233	282	4
10	RK Ajdovscina	8	1	1	6	243	282	3
11	RD Ribnica	8	1	1	6	231	259	3
12	RK Svis	8	0	0	8	210	255	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	RK Trimo Trebnje	RD Loka
RK Ormoz	37-27 W	32-25 W
SD Skofljica	37-27 W	35-32 W
RK Svis	32-28 W	26-25 W
RK Celje	39-31 W	27-38 L
RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	32-32 D	28-28 D
RD Ribnica	34-28 W	31-28 W
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 0 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: RK Trimo Trebnje (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RK Trimo Trebnje

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
14/10	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	33-25	W
09/10	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	26-31	L
03/10	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	37-27	W
26/09	SD Skofljica Slovenia Prva Liga	37-27	W
19/09	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	32-28	W
13/09	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	39-31	W
05/09	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	32-32	D
02/09	RD Ribnica Slovenia Prva Liga	34-28	W
31/05	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	37-24	W
27/05	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	36-34	W

RD Loka

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	SD Skofljica Slovenia Prva Liga	35-32	W
10/10	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	26-25	W
03/10	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	27-38	L
26/09	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	28-28	D
20/09	RD Ribnica Slovenia Prva Liga	31-28	W
12/09	RK Ajdovscina Slovenia Prva Liga	35-27	W
05/09	MRK Krka Slovenia Prva Liga	29-34	L
02/09	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	32-25	W
23/05	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	32-30	W
09/05	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	31-34	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RK Trimo Trebnje vs RD Loka?

Our model gives 80% to RK Trimo Trebnje.

How many points are expected in RK Trimo Trebnje vs RD Loka?

The model estimates 62 total points (RK Trimo Trebnje 32.5 · RD Loka 29.5).