Handball · Slovenia Prva Liga · 17/10, 19:00

Prediction: RD Loka vs SD Skofljica

Team pages: RD Loka · SD Skofljica

Prediction summary

Estimated points

63.6Total

RD Loka32.5

SD Skofljica31.1

1X2

66% 34%

RD Loka SD Skofljica

Markets

Over 60.5 points 65%

Recent form · 10 last

RD Loka 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LLWWLWWDLW

SD Skofljica 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

DWWLLWLLLW

Head-to-head

RD Loka 1–3 SD Skofljica (4 last)

RD Loka26-28SD Skofljica
SD Skofljica35-37RD Loka
SD Skofljica33-29RD Loka
RD Loka29-30SD Skofljica

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RD Loka 1504 · SD Skofljica 1504

	RD Loka	SD Skofljica
Our model	60%	40%
Market	62%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 63.6 points · Bet365 line 60.5 · +3.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points63.6RD Loka 32.5 · SD Skofljica 31.1

Over / Under 60.5Over · 65%recent trend · ~64.1 pts · strength 4

Match keys

RD Loka is a clear favourite (66% market).
H2H favours SD Skofljica: 3-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	RD Loka	SD Skofljica
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.5 / 30.5	30.3 / 34
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29.4 / 29.2	28.8 / 34.6
Est. result	33	31

Est. total63.6

Line O/U60.5

Diff.3.1

Over / Under65% / 35%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.45

X9.00

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.85

2 (+2.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 60.51.85

Under 60.51.85

Diff.: 2.15 · Est. total: 62.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.45 → 1.45	Bet365 1.45
X	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00
2	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
11:54 +25’	1.45	9.00	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · RD Loka 1–0–3 SD Skofljica

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Loka	26-28	SD Skofljica
15/11/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	SD Skofljica	35-37	RD Loka
02/03/24 Slovenia Prva Liga	SD Skofljica	33-29	RD Loka
07/10/23 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Loka	29-30	SD Skofljica

Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RK Trimo Trebnje	8	6	1	1	270	229	13
2	RD Slovan	7	6	0	1	244	185	12
3	RK Celje	7	5	0	2	245	206	10
4	MRK Krka	7	4	2	1	212	211	10
5	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	8	4	2	2	250	229	10
6	RD Loka	7	4	1	2	208	205	9
7	RK Gorenje Velenje	8	4	0	4	229	230	8
8	RK Ormoz	7	2	2	3	203	219	6
9	SD Skofljica	7	2	0	5	201	247	4
10	RK Ajdovscina	7	1	1	5	212	243	3
11	RD Ribnica	8	1	1	6	231	259	3
12	RK Svis	7	0	0	7	180	222	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	RD Loka	SD Skofljica
RK Svis	26-25 W	31-26 W
RK Celje	27-38 L	33-40 L
RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	28-28 D	24-34 L
RD Ribnica	31-28 W	40-34 W
RK Ormoz	32-25 W	27-34 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: SD Skofljica (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RD Loka

LLWWLWWDLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/10	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	26-25	W
03/10	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	27-38	L
26/09	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	28-28	D
20/09	RD Ribnica Slovenia Prva Liga	31-28	W
12/09	RK Ajdovscina Slovenia Prva Liga	35-27	W
05/09	MRK Krka Slovenia Prva Liga	29-34	L
02/09	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	32-25	W
23/05	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	32-30	W
09/05	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	31-34	L
30/04	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	34-36	L

SD Skofljica

DWWLLWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/10	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	31-30	W
03/10	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	28-46	L
26/09	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	27-37	L
19/09	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	27-34	L
12/09	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	31-26	W
05/09	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	33-40	L
02/09	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	24-34	L
23/05	RD Ribnica Slovenia Prva Liga	40-34	W
09/05	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	31-28	W
25/04	RK Frankstahl Radovljica Slovenia Prva Liga	31-31	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RD Loka vs SD Skofljica?

Our model gives 66% to RD Loka.

How many points are expected in RD Loka vs SD Skofljica?

The model estimates 63.6 total points (RD Loka 32.5 · SD Skofljica 31.1).

Over or under 60.5 points?

Recent history points to over 60.5 points (65%).