Handball · Slovenia Prva Liga · 21/10, 19:00

Prediction: RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 vs RK Ormoz

Team pages: RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 · RK Ormoz

Prediction summary

Estimated points

61.6Total

RK Slovenj Gradec 201131.8

RK Ormoz29.8

1X2

80% 20%

RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 RK Ormoz

Recent form · 10 last

RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLWDLWDLWW

RK Ormoz 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLLWDWDLLL

Head-to-head

RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 4–2 RK Ormoz (6 last)

RK Slovenj Gradec 201133-27RK Ormoz
RK Ormoz30-36RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
RK Slovenj Gradec 201130-28RK Ormoz
RK Ormoz30-32RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
RK Slovenj Gradec 201125-27RK Ormoz
RK Ormoz26-23RK Slovenj Gradec 2011

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 1509 · RK Ormoz 1469

	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	RK Ormoz
Our model	65%	35%
Market	84%	10%

Estimated total (ours) 61.6 points · Bet365 line 63.5 · -1.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points61.6RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 31.8 · RK Ormoz 29.8

Match keys

RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 is a clear favourite (80% market).
H2H favours RK Slovenj Gradec 2011: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	RK Ormoz
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.8 / 30.2	29.8 / 31.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	32.2 / 29	29 / 32
Est. result	32	30

Est. total61.6

Line O/U63.5

Diff.1.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.07

X15.00

29.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-7.5)1.85

2 (+7.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 63.51.85

Under 63.51.85

Diff.: 2.3 · Est. total: 61.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.07 → 1.07	Bet365 1.07
X	15.00 → 15.00	Bet365 15.00
2	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
12:02 +13’	1.07	15.00	9.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 4–0–2 RK Ormoz

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/11/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	33-27	RK Ormoz
12/09/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Ormoz	30-36	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
11/12/24 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	30-28	RK Ormoz
28/09/24 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Ormoz	30-32	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
10/02/24 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	25-27	RK Ormoz
16/09/23 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Ormoz	26-23	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011

Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RD Slovan	8	7	0	1	278	216	14
2	RK Trimo Trebnje	8	6	1	1	270	229	13
3	RK Celje	8	6	0	2	284	237	12
4	MRK Krka	8	5	2	1	245	241	12
5	RD Loka	8	5	1	2	243	237	11
6	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	8	4	2	2	250	229	10
7	RK Gorenje Velenje	8	4	0	4	229	230	8
8	RK Ormoz	8	2	2	4	234	253	6
9	SD Skofljica	8	2	0	6	233	282	4
10	RK Ajdovscina	8	1	1	6	243	282	3
11	RD Ribnica	8	1	1	6	231	259	3
12	RK Svis	8	0	0	8	210	255	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	RK Ormoz
RD Ribnica	37-27 W	25-34 L
RK Ajdovscina	39-34 W	28-28 D
MRK Krka	27-29 L	31-31 D
RD Loka	28-28 D	25-32 L
RD Slovan	23-28 L	31-34 L
RK Trimo Trebnje	32-32 D	27-37 L
SD Skofljica	34-24 W	34-27 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RK Slovenj Gradec 2011

LLWDLWDLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
14/10	RD Ribnica Slovenia Prva Liga	37-27	W
10/10	RK Ajdovscina Slovenia Prva Liga	39-34	W
03/10	MRK Krka Slovenia Prva Liga	27-29	L
26/09	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	28-28	D
20/09	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	30-27	W
12/09	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	23-28	L
05/09	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	32-32	D
02/09	SD Skofljica Slovenia Prva Liga	34-24	W
31/05	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	24-37	L
27/05	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	34-36	L

RK Ormoz

WLLWDWDLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	31-34	L
10/10	RD Ribnica Slovenia Prva Liga	25-34	L
03/10	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	27-37	L
26/09	RK Ajdovscina Slovenia Prva Liga	28-28	D
19/09	SD Skofljica Slovenia Prva Liga	34-27	W
12/09	MRK Krka Slovenia Prva Liga	31-31	D
05/09	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	33-30	W
02/09	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	25-32	L
23/05	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	30-32	L
09/05	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	34-31	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 vs RK Ormoz?

Our model gives 80% to RK Slovenj Gradec 2011.

How many points are expected in RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 vs RK Ormoz?

The model estimates 61.6 total points (RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 31.8 · RK Ormoz 29.8).