Handball · Slovenia Prva Liga · 02/09, 18:00
Prediction: MRK Krka vs RK Gorenje Velenje
Prediction summary
Estimated points
55.3Total
MRK Krka28
RK Gorenje Velenje27.3
1X2
MRK Krka
RK Gorenje Velenje
Recent form · 10 last
MRK Krka
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
RK Gorenje Velenje
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
MRK Krka
0–3–3
RK Gorenje Velenje
(6 last)
- MRK Krka25-25RK Gorenje Velenje
- RK Gorenje Velenje29-29MRK Krka
- RK Gorenje Velenje32-22MRK Krka
- MRK Krka29-29RK Gorenje Velenje
- MRK Krka20-24RK Gorenje Velenje
- RK Gorenje Velenje28-21MRK Krka
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · MRK Krka 1489 · RK Gorenje Velenje 1470
| MRK Krka | RK Gorenje Velenje | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 57% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
55.3 points · Bet365 line 57.5 · -2.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points55.3MRK Krka 28 · RK Gorenje Velenje 27.3
Match keys
- H2H favours RK Gorenje Velenje: 3-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| MRK Krka | RK Gorenje Velenje | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 28.3 / 29.1 | 25.7 / 28.3 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 28.2 / 29 | 27.2 / 30.2 |
| Est. result | 28 | 27 |
Est. total55.3
Line O/U57.5
Diff.2.2
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · MRK Krka 0–3–3 RK Gorenje Velenje
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Slovenia Prva Liga | MRK Krka | 25-25 | RK Gorenje Velenje |
| 09/05/26 Slovenia Prva Liga | RK Gorenje Velenje | 29-29 | MRK Krka |
| 19/11/25 Slovenia Prva Liga | RK Gorenje Velenje | 32-22 | MRK Krka |
| 10/09/25 Slovenia Prva Liga | MRK Krka | 29-29 | RK Gorenje Velenje |
| 18/04/25 Slovenia Prva Liga | MRK Krka | 20-24 | RK Gorenje Velenje |
| 20/03/25 Slovenia Prva Liga | RK Gorenje Velenje | 28-21 | MRK Krka |
Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MRK Krka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | RD Loka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | RD Ribnica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | RD Slovan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | RK Ajdovscina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | RK Celje | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | RK Gorenje Velenje | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | RK Ormoz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | RK Svis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | RK Trimo Trebnje | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | SD Skofljica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
MRK Krka
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05 | RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga |
25-25 | D |
| 09/05 | RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga |
29-29 | D |
| 29/04 | RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga |
31-30 | W |
| 22/04 | RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga |
26-35 | L |
| 10/04 | RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga |
30-26 | W |
| 03/04 | RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga |
31-29 | W |
| 25/03 | RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga |
30-31 | L |
| 14/03 | RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga |
24-27 | L |
| 07/03 | RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga |
26-32 | L |
| 28/02 | RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga |
31-27 | W |
RK Gorenje Velenje
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05 | MRK Krka Slovenia Prva Liga |
25-25 | D |
| 09/05 | MRK Krka Slovenia Prva Liga |
29-29 | D |
| 29/04 | RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga |
25-35 | L |
| 24/04 | RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga |
29-34 | L |
| 11/04 | RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga |
28-28 | D |
| 03/04 | RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga |
19-26 | L |
| 28/03 | RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga |
21-26 | L |
| 13/03 | RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga |
27-28 | L |
| 06/03 | RD Ribnica Slovenia Prva Liga |
28-30 | L |
| 27/02 | RK Frankstahl Radovljica Slovenia Prva Liga |
26-22 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in MRK Krka vs RK Gorenje Velenje?
Our model gives 63% to MRK Krka.
How many points are expected in MRK Krka vs RK Gorenje Velenje?
The model estimates 55.3 total points (MRK Krka 28 · RK Gorenje Velenje 27.3).