Handball · Slovenia Prva Liga · 05/09, 18:00

Prediction: RD Slovan vs RD Ribnica

Team pages: RD Ribnica

Prediction summary

Estimated points

64.6Total

RD Slovan34.5

RD Ribnica30.1

1X2

86% 14%

RD Slovan RD Ribnica

Recent form · 10 last

RD Slovan 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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RD Ribnica 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

RD Slovan 4–2 RD Ribnica (6 last)

RD Slovan38-28RD Ribnica
RD Slovan43-34RD Ribnica
RD Ribnica24-25RD Slovan
RD Slovan34-39RD Ribnica
RD Ribnica28-32RD Slovan
RD Slovan30-31RD Ribnica

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RD Slovan 1599 · RD Ribnica 1454

	RD Slovan	RD Ribnica
Our model	78%	22%
Market	87%	8%

Estimated total (ours) 64.6 points · Bet365 line 64.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points64.6RD Slovan 34.5 · RD Ribnica 30.1

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours RD Slovan (rating 1599 vs 1454).
RD Slovan is a clear favourite (86% market).
H2H favours RD Slovan: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	RD Slovan	RD Ribnica
Points F\|A (Last 10)	34.5 / 30.7	31.3 / 33.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	35.8 / 35.2	32.4 / 33.6
Est. result	35	30

Est. total64.6

Line O/U64.5

Diff.0.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.04

X18.00

211.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-8.5)1.85

2 (+8.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 64.51.85

Under 64.51.85

Diff.: 0.4 · Est. total: 64.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.04 → 1.04	Bet365 1.04
X	18.00 → 18.00	Bet365 18.00
2	11.00 → 11.00	Bet365 11.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.8%

Time*	1	X	2
11:30 +18’	1.04	18.00	11.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · RD Slovan 4–0–2 RD Ribnica

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/12/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Slovan	38-28	RD Ribnica
05/11/25 Slovenia Cup	RD Slovan	43-34	RD Ribnica
04/10/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Ribnica	24-25	RD Slovan
20/12/24 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Slovan	34-39	RD Ribnica
05/10/24 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Ribnica	28-32	RD Slovan
20/04/24 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Slovan	30-31	RD Ribnica

Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RK Celje	1	1	0	35	21	2
2	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	1	1	0	34	24	2
3	RD Slovan	1	1	0	34	27	2
4	RD Loka	1	1	0	32	25	2
5	RK Trimo Trebnje	1	1	0	34	28	2
6	MRK Krka	1	1	0	28	23	2
7	RK Gorenje Velenje	1	0	1	23	28	0
8	RD Ribnica	1	0	1	28	34	0
9	RK Ajdovscina	1	0	1	27	34	0
10	RK Ormoz	1	0	1	25	32	0
11	SD Skofljica	1	0	1	24	34	0
12	RK Svis	1	0	1	21	35	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	RD Slovan	RD Ribnica
RK Celje	39-41 L	31-40 L
RK Trimo Trebnje	31-30 W	28-34 L
RK Gorenje Velenje	35-25 W	30-28 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: RD Slovan (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RD Slovan

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
02/09	RK Ajdovscina Slovenia Prva Liga	34-27	W
31/05	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	39-41	L
27/05	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	38-42	L
09/05	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	31-30	W
06/05	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	37-36	W
29/04	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	35-25	W
24/04	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	48-32	W
11/04	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	27-26	W
03/04	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	26-19	W
27/03	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	30-29	W

RD Ribnica

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
02/09	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	28-34	L
23/05	SD Skofljica Slovenia Prva Liga	34-40	L
09/05	RK Frankstahl Radovljica Slovenia Prva Liga	41-39	W
25/04	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	27-26	W
11/04	SD Skofljica Slovenia Prva Liga	32-29	W
04/04	RK Frankstahl Radovljica Slovenia Prva Liga	29-30	L
28/03	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	34-38	L
06/03	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	30-28	W
28/02	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	31-40	L
21/02	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	27-29	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RD Slovan vs RD Ribnica?

Our model gives 86% to RD Slovan.

How many points are expected in RD Slovan vs RD Ribnica?

The model estimates 64.6 total points (RD Slovan 34.5 · RD Ribnica 30.1).