Handball · Slovenia Prva Liga · 17/10, 19:00

Prediction: MRK Krka vs RK Svis

Team pages: MRK Krka · RK Svis

Prediction summary

Estimated points

57.2Total

MRK Krka29.6

RK Svis27.5

1X2

81% 19%

MRK Krka RK Svis

Recent form · 10 last

MRK Krka 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WDDWWDWDWL

RK Svis 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LDWLLLLLLL

Head-to-head

MRK Krka 4–1–1 RK Svis (6 last)

MRK Krka27-23RK Svis
RK Svis29-27MRK Krka
MRK Krka26-20RK Svis
RK Svis29-30MRK Krka
MRK Krka30-21RK Svis
RK Svis27-27MRK Krka

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MRK Krka 1550 · RK Svis 1442

	MRK Krka	RK Svis
Our model	74%	26%
Market	80%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 57.2 points · Bet365 line 57.5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points57.2MRK Krka 29.6 · RK Svis 27.5

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MRK Krka (rating 1550 vs 1442).
MRK Krka is a clear favourite (81% market).
H2H favours MRK Krka: 4-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	MRK Krka	RK Svis
Points F\|A (Last 10)	29.7 / 29.5	26.7 / 30.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30 / 31.8	25.8 / 30.8
Est. result	30	28

Est. total57.2

Line O/U57.5

Diff.0.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.12

X12.00

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-5.5)1.75

2 (+5.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 57.51.85

Under 57.51.85

Diff.: 0.55 · Est. total: 58.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.12 → 1.12	Bet365 1.12
X	12.00 → 12.00	Bet365 12.00
2	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
12:10 +9’	1.12	12.00	7.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · MRK Krka 4–1–1 RK Svis

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/12/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	MRK Krka	27-23	RK Svis
21/12/24 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Svis	29-27	MRK Krka
05/10/24 Slovenia Prva Liga	MRK Krka	26-20	RK Svis
07/08/24 Club Friendlies	RK Svis	29-30	MRK Krka
09/03/24 Slovenia Prva Liga	MRK Krka	30-21	RK Svis
18/10/23 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Svis	27-27	MRK Krka

Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RK Trimo Trebnje	8	6	1	1	270	229	13
2	RD Slovan	7	6	0	1	244	185	12
3	RK Celje	7	5	0	2	245	206	10
4	MRK Krka	7	4	2	1	212	211	10
5	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	8	4	2	2	250	229	10
6	RD Loka	7	4	1	2	208	205	9
7	RK Gorenje Velenje	8	4	0	4	229	230	8
8	RK Ormoz	7	2	2	3	203	219	6
9	SD Skofljica	7	2	0	5	201	247	4
10	RK Ajdovscina	7	1	1	5	212	243	3
11	RD Ribnica	8	1	1	6	231	259	3
12	RK Svis	7	0	0	7	180	222	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MRK Krka	RK Svis
RK Celje	24-39 L	21-35 L
RK Ormoz	31-31 D	30-33 L
RD Loka	34-29 W	25-26 L
RK Gorenje Velenje	28-23 W	25-31 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: MRK Krka (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MRK Krka

WDDWWDWDWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/10	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	24-39	L
03/10	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	29-27	W
26/09	RD Ribnica Slovenia Prva Liga	29-29	D
18/09	RK Ajdovscina Slovenia Prva Liga	37-33	W
12/09	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	31-31	D
05/09	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	34-29	W
02/09	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	28-23	W
23/05	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	25-25	D
09/05	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	29-29	D
29/04	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	31-30	W

RK Svis

LDWLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/10	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	25-26	L
03/10	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	25-31	L
26/09	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	25-34	L
19/09	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	28-32	L
12/09	SD Skofljica Slovenia Prva Liga	26-31	L
05/09	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	30-33	L
02/09	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	21-35	L
30/05	SD RK Mokerc IG Slovenia Prva Liga	32-22	W
23/05	RK Frankstahl Radovljica Slovenia Prva Liga	27-27	D
09/05	SD Skofljica Slovenia Prva Liga	28-31	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MRK Krka vs RK Svis?

Our model gives 81% to MRK Krka.

How many points are expected in MRK Krka vs RK Svis?

The model estimates 57.2 total points (MRK Krka 29.6 · RK Svis 27.5).