Handball · Sweden Handbollsligan · 23/09, 19:00

Prediction: IFK Kristianstad vs Hammarby IF HF

Prediction summary

Estimated points

65.8Total

IFK Kristianstad33.4

Hammarby IF HF32.4

1X2

66% 34%

IFK Kristianstad Hammarby IF HF

Recent form · 10 last

IFK Kristianstad 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WDDWDWWLWW

Hammarby IF HF 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLLWLLLWDL

Head-to-head

IFK Kristianstad 4–2 Hammarby IF HF (6 last)

Hammarby IF HF30-31IFK Kristianstad
IFK Kristianstad35-27Hammarby IF HF
Hammarby IF HF35-36IFK Kristianstad
IFK Kristianstad36-32Hammarby IF HF
IFK Kristianstad28-31Hammarby IF HF
Hammarby IF HF31-26IFK Kristianstad

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IFK Kristianstad 1594 · Hammarby IF HF 1455

	IFK Kristianstad	Hammarby IF HF
Our model	77%	23%
Market	51%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 65.8 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · +4.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points65.8IFK Kristianstad 33.4 · Hammarby IF HF 32.4

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IFK Kristianstad (rating 1594 vs 1455).
IFK Kristianstad is a clear favourite (66% market).
H2H favours IFK Kristianstad: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	IFK Kristianstad	Hammarby IF HF
Points F\|A (Last 10)	33.7 / 31.9	30.4 / 31
Points F\|A (Last 5)	36.2 / 34	29.2 / 30.8
Est. result	33	32

Est. total65.8

Line O/U61.5

Diff.4.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.80

X7.50

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.80

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.88

Under 61.51.88

Diff.: 2 · Est. total: 63.5

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 23:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.80▲	Bet365 1.80
X	8.00 → 7.50▼	Bet365 7.50
2	3.20 → 2.50▼	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 8.9%

Time*	1	X	2
22:42 +9’	1.50	8.00	3.20
23:42 +7’	1.80▲	7.50▼	2.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · IFK Kristianstad 4–0–2 Hammarby IF HF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 Sweden Handbollsligan	Hammarby IF HF	30-31	IFK Kristianstad
14/12/25 Sweden Handbollsligan	IFK Kristianstad	35-27	Hammarby IF HF
08/11/25 European League Qualification	Hammarby IF HF	35-36	IFK Kristianstad
25/10/25 European League Qualification	IFK Kristianstad	36-32	Hammarby IF HF
31/03/25 Sweden Handbollsligan	IFK Kristianstad	28-31	Hammarby IF HF
28/03/25 Sweden Handbollsligan	Hammarby IF HF	31-26	IFK Kristianstad

Standings · Sweden Handbollsligan

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Alingsas HK	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Amo HK	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hammarby IF HF	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	HIF Karlskrona	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	HK Malmo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	IF Hallby HK	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	IFK Kristianstad	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	IFK Skovde HK	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	IK Savehof	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Lugi HF	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Onnereds HK	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	OV Helsingborg	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Skanela IF	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ystads IF HF	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IFK Kristianstad

WDDWDWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
29/05	HK Malmo Sweden Handbollsligan	41-38	W
26/05	HK Malmo Sweden Handbollsligan	34-29	W
23/05	HK Malmo Sweden Handbollsligan	35-42	L
20/05	HK Malmo Sweden Handbollsligan	39-34	W
08/05	Alingsas HK Sweden Handbollsligan	32-27	W
06/05	Alingsas HK Sweden Handbollsligan	30-30	D
02/05	Alingsas HK Sweden Handbollsligan	25-24	W
29/04	Alingsas HK Sweden Handbollsligan	31-31	D
23/04	Alingsas HK Sweden Handbollsligan	29-29	D
16/04	HIF Karlskrona Sweden Handbollsligan	41-35	W

Hammarby IF HF

WLLWLLLWDL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
20/04	IK Savehof Sweden Handbollsligan	33-38	L
16/04	IK Savehof Sweden Handbollsligan	31-31	D
13/04	IK Savehof Sweden Handbollsligan	30-29	W
07/04	IK Savehof Sweden Handbollsligan	26-28	L
01/04	IK Savehof Sweden Handbollsligan	26-28	L
25/03	VasterasIrsta HF Sweden Handbollsligan	33-34	L
13/03	Ystads IF HF Sweden Handbollsligan	34-29	W
07/03	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	30-31	L
04/03	HIF Karlskrona Sweden Handbollsligan	28-31	L
25/02	IF Hallby HK Sweden Handbollsligan	33-31	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IFK Kristianstad vs Hammarby IF HF?

Our model gives 66% to IFK Kristianstad.

How many points are expected in IFK Kristianstad vs Hammarby IF HF?

The model estimates 65.8 total points (IFK Kristianstad 33.4 · Hammarby IF HF 32.4).