Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 15/11, 00:00
Prediction: Tigres UANL (W) vs Unam Pumas (W)
Team pages: Tigres UANL (W) · Unam Pumas (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.68Total
Tigres UANL (W)2.35
Unam Pumas (W)1.33
1X2
Tigres UANL (W)
Draw
Unam Pumas (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Tigres UANL (W)
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Unam Pumas (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tigres UANL (W)
5–1
Unam Pumas (W)
(6 last)
- Unam Pumas (W)2-3Tigres UANL (W)
- Unam Pumas (W)1-3Tigres UANL (W)
- Unam Pumas (W)0-2Tigres UANL (W)
- Tigres UANL (W)5-1Unam Pumas (W)
- Unam Pumas (W)2-0Tigres UANL (W)
- Tigres UANL (W)7-1Unam Pumas (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tigres UANL (W) 1604 · Unam Pumas (W) 1466
| Tigres UANL (W) | Draw | Unam Pumas (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 21% | 20% |
| Market | 59% | 21% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.68 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tigres UANL (W) (rating 1604 vs 1466).
- H2H favours Tigres UANL (W): 5-0-1.
- High corners: 13.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tigres UANL (W) | Unam Pumas (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.4 / 1.3 | 1.3 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.7 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.7 / 6.8 | 4.2 / 6.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.6 | 3.4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tigres UANL (W) 5–0–1 Unam Pumas (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Unam Pumas (W) | 2-3 HT 2-2 | Tigres UANL (W) |
| 03/10/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Unam Pumas (W) | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Tigres UANL (W) |
| 21/02/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Unam Pumas (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Tigres UANL (W) |
| 13/09/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Tigres UANL (W) | 5-1 HT 2-0 | Unam Pumas (W) |
| 13/04/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Unam Pumas (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Tigres UANL (W) |
| 12/11/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Tigres UANL (W) | 7-1 HT 3-0 | Unam Pumas (W) |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America (W) | 14 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 63 | 13 | 37 |
| 2 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 14 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 33 | 16 | 30 |
| 3 | Unam Pumas (W) | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 25 | 20 |
| 4 | Pachuca (W) | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 20 | 19 |
| 5 | Atletico San Luis (W) | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 29 | 19 |
| 6 | Atlas (W) | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 28 | 17 |
| 7 | Tijuana (W) | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 33 | 11 |
| 8 | Puebla (W) | 14 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 19 | 48 | 4 |
| 9 | Necaxa (W) | 14 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 54 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tigres UANL (W) | Unam Pumas (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Atlante (W) | 4-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Atlas (W) | 7-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Monterrey (W) | 2-2 D | 0-6 L |
| Atletico San Luis (W) | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Club America (W) | 2-5 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Tigres UANL (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tigres UANL (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-2 | 3-2 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 05/11 | Atlante (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 31/10 | Atlas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
5-0 | 7-0 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 26/10 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-2 | 2-2 | 12 | 8 | D |
| 19/10 | Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 03/10 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 28/09 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 22/09 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
5-1 | 7-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 14/09 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-3 | 2-5 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 07/09 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
Unam Pumas (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 07/11 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 31/10 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-6 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 24/10 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 18/10 | Atlas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-0 | 13 | 7 | W |
| 03/10 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 28/09 | Atlante (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 20/09 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tigres UANL (W) vs Unam Pumas (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tigres UANL (W) win (59%). Probabilities: Tigres UANL (W) 59%, draw 21%, Unam Pumas (W) 20%.
How many goals are expected in Tigres UANL (W) vs Unam Pumas (W)?
The model expects 3.68 goals (Tigres UANL (W) 2.35 · Unam Pumas (W) 1.33), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Tigres UANL (W) vs Unam Pumas (W)?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.