Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 15/11, 04:00
Prediction: Chivas Guadalajara (W) vs Juarez FC (W)
Team pages: Chivas Guadalajara (W) · Juarez FC (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.44Total
Chivas Guadalajara (W)1.48
Juarez FC (W)0.96
1X2
Chivas Guadalajara (W)
Draw
Juarez FC (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Chivas Guadalajara (W)
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Juarez FC (W)
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chivas Guadalajara (W)
3–3–0
Juarez FC (W)
(6 last)
- Juarez FC (W)0-0Chivas Guadalajara (W)
- Chivas Guadalajara (W)1-0Juarez FC (W)
- Juarez FC (W)1-1Chivas Guadalajara (W)
- Chivas Guadalajara (W)1-0Juarez FC (W)
- Chivas Guadalajara (W)0-0Juarez FC (W)
- Juarez FC (W)0-1Chivas Guadalajara (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chivas Guadalajara (W) 1561 · Juarez FC (W) 1561
| Chivas Guadalajara (W) | Draw | Juarez FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 29% | 23% |
| Market | 49% | 27% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.44 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Chivas Guadalajara (W): 3-3-0.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chivas Guadalajara (W) | Juarez FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 0.8 | 1.6 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.3 | 3.5 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0 | 3.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chivas Guadalajara (W) 3–3–0 Juarez FC (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Juarez FC (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) |
| 05/10/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Juarez FC (W) |
| 21/04/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Juarez FC (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) |
| 01/08/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Juarez FC (W) |
| 17/01/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Juarez FC (W) |
| 05/07/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Juarez FC (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America (W) | 14 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 63 | 13 | 37 |
| 2 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 14 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 33 | 16 | 30 |
| 3 | Unam Pumas (W) | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 25 | 20 |
| 4 | Pachuca (W) | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 20 | 19 |
| 5 | Atletico San Luis (W) | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 29 | 19 |
| 6 | Atlas (W) | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 28 | 17 |
| 7 | Tijuana (W) | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 33 | 11 |
| 8 | Puebla (W) | 14 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 19 | 48 | 4 |
| 9 | Necaxa (W) | 14 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 54 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | Juarez FC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Atlante (W) | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Necaxa (W) | 7-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Tijuana (W) | 2-0 W | 5-1 W |
| Monterrey (W) | 2-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chivas Guadalajara (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 07/11 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 31/10 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 26/10 | Atlante (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 21/10 | Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-0 | 7-0 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 05/10 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 7 | W |
| 26/09 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 20/09 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 13/09 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 05/09 | Atlas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
Juarez FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 07/11 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 01/11 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 2-1 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 25/10 | Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 19/10 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 05/10 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 27/09 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-0 | 5-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 22/09 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 08/09 | Atlante (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chivas Guadalajara (W) vs Juarez FC (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Chivas Guadalajara (W) win (48%). Probabilities: Chivas Guadalajara (W) 48%, draw 28%, Juarez FC (W) 24%.
How many goals are expected in Chivas Guadalajara (W) vs Juarez FC (W)?
The model expects 2.44 goals (Chivas Guadalajara (W) 1.48 · Juarez FC (W) 0.96), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Chivas Guadalajara (W) vs Juarez FC (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.