Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 11/11, 04:00

Prediction: Juarez FC (W) vs Chivas Guadalajara (W)

Team pages: Juarez FC (W) · Chivas Guadalajara (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.59Total

Juarez FC (W)1.35

Chivas Guadalajara (W)1.23

1X2

39% 28% 33%

Juarez FC (W) Draw Chivas Guadalajara (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Juarez FC (W) 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLWWWL

Chivas Guadalajara (W) 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LWLWWWWWWL

Head-to-head

Juarez FC (W) 1–2–3 Chivas Guadalajara (W) (6 last)

Chivas Guadalajara (W)1-0Juarez FC (W)
Juarez FC (W)1-1Chivas Guadalajara (W)
Chivas Guadalajara (W)1-0Juarez FC (W)
Chivas Guadalajara (W)0-0Juarez FC (W)
Juarez FC (W)0-1Chivas Guadalajara (W)
Juarez FC (W)2-0Chivas Guadalajara (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Juarez FC (W) 1565 · Chivas Guadalajara (W) 1548

	Juarez FC (W)	Draw	Chivas Guadalajara (W)
Our model	38%	29%	33%
Market	39%	28%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.59 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Chivas Guadalajara (W): 3-2-1.
High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Juarez FC (W)	Chivas Guadalajara (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.7	2.2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0	0.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/60/0%	50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 6.2	2.9 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	4.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.20

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.05

2 (+0.25)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 20:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.30▲	Pinn 2.68 ★
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.80 → 2.70▼	Pinn 2.71

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 7.1%

Time*	1	X	2
19:01 +2’	2.20	3.20	2.80
19:45 +16’	2.30▲	3.20	2.70▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:47 +14’	2.68	3.04	2.71

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Juarez FC (W) 1–2–3 Chivas Guadalajara (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
05/10/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil	Chivas Guadalajara (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Juarez FC (W)
21/04/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil	Juarez FC (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	Chivas Guadalajara (W)
01/08/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil	Chivas Guadalajara (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Juarez FC (W)
17/01/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil	Chivas Guadalajara (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Juarez FC (W)
05/07/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil	Juarez FC (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	Chivas Guadalajara (W)
15/01/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil	Juarez FC (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Chivas Guadalajara (W)

Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group B

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Club America (W)	14	12	1	1	63	13	37
2	Chivas Guadalajara (W)	14	10	0	4	33	16	30
3	Unam Pumas (W)	14	6	2	6	23	25	20
4	Pachuca (W)	14	6	1	7	29	20	19
5	Atletico San Luis (W)	14	6	1	7	25	29	19
6	Atlas (W)	14	4	5	5	14	28	17
7	Tijuana (W)	14	3	2	9	18	33	11
8	Puebla (W)	14	1	1	12	19	48	4
9	Necaxa (W)	14	0	1	13	5	54	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Juarez FC (W)	Chivas Guadalajara (W)
Monterrey (W)	1-2 L	2-3 L
Tijuana (W)	5-1 W	2-0 W
Necaxa (W)	1-0 W	7-0 W
Atlante (W)	1-0 W	1-0 W
Cruz Azul (W)	1-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	4 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Juarez FC (W)

WWWWWLWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	1-0	1-2	5	0	L
01/11	Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	2-0	2-1	11	4	W
25/10	Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	0-0	2-1	9	7	W
19/10	Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	2-0	2-1	1	6	W
05/10	Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	0-0	0-1	7	7	L
27/09	Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	3-0	5-1	2	3	W
22/09	Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	0-0	2-0	7	5	W
13/09	Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	0-0	1-0	9	3	W
08/09	Atlante (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	0-0	1-0	8	1	W
30/08	Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	0-0	1-0	3	4	W

Chivas Guadalajara (W)

LWLWWWWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	0-1	1-3	3	7	L
31/10	Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	0-1	3-2	9	3	W
26/10	Atlante (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	1-0	1-0	7	3	W
21/10	Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	3-0	7-0	11	2	W
05/10	Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	0-0	1-0	0	7	W
26/09	Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	1-0	1-0	4	2	W
20/09	Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	1-0	2-0	8	6	W
13/09	Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	0-3	2-3	7	6	L
05/09	Atlas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	2-0	4-0	1	2	W
31/08	Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	0-2	0-2	8	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Juarez FC (W) vs Chivas Guadalajara (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Juarez FC (W) win (39%). Probabilities: Juarez FC (W) 39%, draw 28%, Chivas Guadalajara (W) 33%.

How many goals are expected in Juarez FC (W) vs Chivas Guadalajara (W)?

The model expects 2.59 goals (Juarez FC (W) 1.35 · Chivas Guadalajara (W) 1.23), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Juarez FC (W) vs Chivas Guadalajara (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.