Football · Panama Liga Prom · 15/11, 21:00

Prediction: Aguilas de la U vs Veraguas United Reserves

Team pages: Aguilas de la U · Veraguas United Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.72Total

Aguilas de la U2.45

Veraguas United Reserves1.27

1X2

62% 20% 17%

Aguilas de la U Draw Veraguas United Reserves

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Aguilas de la U 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWWDWD

Veraguas United Reserves 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LDLLLWWWWD

Head-to-head

Aguilas de la U 4–1–1 Veraguas United Reserves (6 last)

Veraguas United Reserves1-1Aguilas de la U
Veraguas United Reserves0-3Aguilas de la U
Aguilas de la U4-1Veraguas United Reserves
Aguilas de la U5-2Veraguas United Reserves
Veraguas United Reserves1-5Aguilas de la U
Aguilas de la U0-2Veraguas United Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Aguilas de la U 1588 · Veraguas United Reserves 1506

	Aguilas de la U	Draw	Veraguas United Reserves
Our model	62%	20%	18%
Market	62%	21%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 3.72 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aguilas de la U (rating 1588 vs 1506).
H2H favours Aguilas de la U: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Aguilas de la U	Veraguas United Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1.2	2.5 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	63/25/13%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.9	3 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.4	4.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.45

X4.33

25.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.98

2 (+1.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 1 · xG: 4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.45 → 1.45	Bet365 1.45
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	5.20 → 5.20	Bet365 5.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
18:23 +6’	1.45	4.33	5.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Aguilas de la U 4–1–1 Veraguas United Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/11/26 Panama Liga Prom	Veraguas United Reserves	1-1 HT 0-1	Aguilas de la U
25/09/26 Panama Liga Prom	Veraguas United Reserves	0-3 HT 0-1	Aguilas de la U
14/03/26 Panama Liga Prom	Aguilas de la U	4-1 HT 2-1	Veraguas United Reserves
21/09/25 Panama Liga Prom	Aguilas de la U	5-2 HT 3-2	Veraguas United Reserves
19/03/25 Panama Liga Prom	Veraguas United Reserves	1-5 HT 0-2	Aguilas de la U
14/05/23 Panama Liga Prom	Aguilas de la U	0-2 HT 0-0	Veraguas United Reserves

Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, West-South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Aguilas de la U	16	13	1	2	47	14	40
2	Udelas FC	16	13	1	2	41	15	40
3	San Francisco Reserves	16	9	1	6	27	27	28
4	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves	15	7	5	3	28	20	26
5	SD Atletico Nacional	15	7	1	7	27	30	22
6	Union Cocle Reserves	15	2	4	9	15	32	10

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Aguilas de la U	Veraguas United Reserves
Union Cocle Reserves	3-2 W	0-0 D
Udelas FC	1-1 D	1-5 L
CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves	0-2 L	2-4 L
Bocas	3-1 W	2-0 W
CD Universitario Reserves	5-1 W	0-2 L
La Familia FC	3-2 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Aguilas de la U (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Aguilas de la U

WWWWLWWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/11	Veraguas United Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-1	1	6	D
07/11	Union Cocle Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	3-2	–	–	W
31/10	Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom	0-1	1-1	8	3	D
27/10	San Francisco Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-1	3-1	0	2	W
23/10	SD Atletico Nacional Panama Liga Prom	1-0	3-1	6	8	W
17/10	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-2	3	3	L
03/10	Bocas Panama Liga Prom	–	3-1	–	–	W
25/09	Veraguas United Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	3-0	2	5	W
20/09	CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom	2-0	5-1	4	2	W
13/09	La Familia FC Panama Liga Prom	3-2	3-2	7	3	W

Veraguas United Reserves

LDLLLWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/11	Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom	0-1	1-1	3	6	D
07/11	Herrera FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	12-0	–	–	W
31/10	Rayados de Chiriqui Panama Liga Prom	2-0	4-2	5	5	W
26/10	La Familia FC Panama Liga Prom	–	3-1	–	–	W
22/10	Bocas Panama Liga Prom	1-0	2-0	6	5	W
17/10	CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	0-2	–	–	L
03/10	Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom	–	1-5	–	–	L
25/09	Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-3	5	5	L
16/09	Union Cocle Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
11/09	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	2-4	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Aguilas de la U vs Veraguas United Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Aguilas de la U win (62%). Probabilities: Aguilas de la U 62%, draw 20%, Veraguas United Reserves 17%.

How many goals are expected in Aguilas de la U vs Veraguas United Reserves?

The model expects 3.72 goals (Aguilas de la U 2.45 · Veraguas United Reserves 1.27), with a 58% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Aguilas de la U vs Veraguas United Reserves?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.