Football · Panama Liga Prom · 14/11, 21:00

Prediction: Chorrillo vs Panama City FC

Team pages: Chorrillo · Panama City FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.98Total

Chorrillo1.76

Panama City FC1.22

1X2

49% 26% 26%

Chorrillo Draw Panama City FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Chorrillo 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWWLWWWWWD

Panama City FC 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DDWWWWWDLD

Head-to-head

Chorrillo 1–2–2 Panama City FC (5 last)

Panama City FC1-1Chorrillo
Panama City FC2-1Chorrillo
Chorrillo1-1Panama City FC
Chorrillo2-1Panama City FC
Panama City FC4-2Chorrillo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chorrillo 1598 · Panama City FC 1552

	Chorrillo	Draw	Panama City FC
Our model	49%	26%	26%
Market	49%	26%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.98 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chorrillo (rating 1598 vs 1552).
H2H favours Panama City FC: 2-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 11.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Chorrillo	Panama City FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.8 / 1	1.7 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	0.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/44/33%	50/38/13%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.9	2.1 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.4 / 0.4	4.9 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.50

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:44

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
20:56 +47’	1.83	3.50	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Chorrillo 1–2–2 Panama City FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/11/26 Panama Liga Prom	Panama City FC	1-1 HT 1-0	Chorrillo
03/10/26 Panama Liga Prom	Panama City FC	2-1 HT 1-0	Chorrillo
06/03/26 Panama Liga Prom	Chorrillo	1-1 HT 1-1	Panama City FC
22/08/25 Panama Liga Prom	Chorrillo	2-1 HT 1-1	Panama City FC
23/02/25 Panama Liga Prom	Panama City FC	4-2 HT 3-0	Chorrillo

Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, East-South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chorrillo	16	11	3	2	37	13	36
2	Tauro FC Reserves	16	7	7	2	31	22	28
3	Plaza Amador Reserves	16	8	3	5	36	24	27
4	Alianza FC Reserves	16	4	4	8	14	30	16
5	Potros Del Este	16	4	3	9	15	22	15
6	San Martin FC	16	2	2	12	20	38	8

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Chorrillo	Panama City FC
Plaza Amador Reserves	2-1 W	2-2 D
San Martin FC	3-1 W	2-0 W
Tauro FC Reserves	2-1 W	0-0 D
UMECIT Reserves	3-0 W	0-3 L
Champions FC Academy	3-0 W	5-3 W
Academia Costa Del Este	3-2 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 0 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Chorrillo (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chorrillo

WWWLWWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/11	Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom	0-1	1-1	8	7	D
06/11	Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom	1-1	3-1	7	4	W
30/10	Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	2-1	–	–	W
27/10	Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	4-0	7-1	4	6	W
21/10	San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom	1-0	3-1	2	6	W
08/10	Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-1	1	8	W
03/10	Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom	0-1	1-2	3	8	L
26/09	UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	3-0	5	6	W
18/09	Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom	0-0	3-0	8	7	W
11/09	Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom	1-2	3-2	6	10	W

Panama City FC

DDWWWWWDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/11	Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-1	4	7	D
07/11	UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-3	4	8	L
31/10	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	1-1	–	–	D
26/10	Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom	–	3-0	–	–	W
22/10	Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom	2-1	5-3	3	3	W
17/10	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-0	1	3	W
03/10	Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom	1-0	2-1	4	8	W
27/09	San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom	2-0	2-0	4	6	W
18/09	Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	2-2	4	7	D
12/09	Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-0	5	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chorrillo vs Panama City FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Chorrillo win (49%). Probabilities: Chorrillo 49%, draw 26%, Panama City FC 26%.

How many goals are expected in Chorrillo vs Panama City FC?

The model expects 2.98 goals (Chorrillo 1.76 · Panama City FC 1.22), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Chorrillo vs Panama City FC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.