Football · Panama Liga Prom · 15/11, 01:30

Prediction: Academia Costa Del Este vs Tauro FC Reserves

Team pages: Academia Costa Del Este · Tauro FC Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.3Total

Academia Costa Del Este2.02

Tauro FC Reserves1.28

1X2

54% 23% 23%

Academia Costa Del Este Draw Tauro FC Reserves

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Academia Costa Del Este 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWWLWWLWDW

Tauro FC Reserves 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DDWWLWDDDL

Head-to-head

Academia Costa Del Este 5–1 Tauro FC Reserves (6 last)

Tauro FC Reserves1-3Academia Costa Del Este
Academia Costa Del Este2-3Tauro FC Reserves
Academia Costa Del Este2-0Tauro FC Reserves
Tauro FC Reserves1-3Academia Costa Del Este
Academia Costa Del Este5-0Tauro FC Reserves
Tauro FC Reserves0-2Academia Costa Del Este

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Academia Costa Del Este 1550 · Tauro FC Reserves 1498

	Academia Costa Del Este	Draw	Tauro FC Reserves
Our model	54%	23%	23%
Market	54%	23%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 3.3 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Academia Costa Del Este (rating 1550 vs 1498).
H2H favours Academia Costa Del Este: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Academia Costa Del Este	Tauro FC Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.4	1.9 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.5	1.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	38/63/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.3	1.5 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.4	5.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.67

X3.90

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.93

2 (+0.75)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
17:39 +4’	1.67	3.90	3.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Academia Costa Del Este 5–0–1 Tauro FC Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/11/26 Panama Liga Prom	Tauro FC Reserves	1-3	Academia Costa Del Este
02/10/26 Panama Liga Prom	Academia Costa Del Este	2-3 HT 1-1	Tauro FC Reserves
28/03/26 Panama Liga Prom	Academia Costa Del Este	2-0 HT 0-0	Tauro FC Reserves
07/09/25 Panama Liga Prom	Tauro FC Reserves	1-3 HT 1-2	Academia Costa Del Este
18/05/25 Panama Liga Prom	Academia Costa Del Este	5-0 HT 1-0	Tauro FC Reserves
15/05/25 Panama Liga Prom	Tauro FC Reserves	0-2 HT 0-2	Academia Costa Del Este

Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, East-South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chorrillo	16	11	3	2	37	13	36
2	Tauro FC Reserves	16	7	7	2	31	22	28
3	Plaza Amador Reserves	16	8	3	5	36	24	27
4	Alianza FC Reserves	16	4	4	8	14	30	16
5	Potros Del Este	16	4	3	9	15	22	15
6	San Martin FC	16	2	2	12	20	38	8

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Academia Costa Del Este	Tauro FC Reserves
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves	0-0 D	3-2 W
CD Arabe Unido Reserves	2-1 W	3-3 D
Panama City FC	0-3 L	0-0 D
Potros Del Este	3-2 W	3-2 W
Alianza FC Reserves	2-0 W	1-1 D
Chorrillo	2-3 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 3 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Academia Costa Del Este

LWWLWWLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/11	Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	3-1	–	–	W
07/11	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
31/10	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	2-0	2-1	3	4	W
26/10	Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom	–	0-3	–	–	L
21/10	UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-1	3-1	4	6	W
09/10	Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom	1-0	2-0	4	5	W
02/10	Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-1	2-3	6	4	L
25/09	Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom	1-1	3-2	11	7	W
18/09	Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
11/09	Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom	2-1	2-3	5	10	L

Tauro FC Reserves

DDWWLWDDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/11	Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom	–	1-3	–	–	L
06/11	Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-1	4	5	D
30/10	San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom	2-0	2-2	4	6	D
26/10	Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	2-2	–	–	D
19/10	Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom	2-2	3-2	5	9	W
08/10	Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-2	3	8	L
02/10	Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom	1-1	3-2	3	4	W
24/09	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom	3-0	3-2	2	7	W
19/09	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-1	3-3	4	3	D
12/09	Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-0	2	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Academia Costa Del Este vs Tauro FC Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Academia Costa Del Este win (54%). Probabilities: Academia Costa Del Este 54%, draw 23%, Tauro FC Reserves 23%.

How many goals are expected in Academia Costa Del Este vs Tauro FC Reserves?

The model expects 3.3 goals (Academia Costa Del Este 2.02 · Tauro FC Reserves 1.28), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Academia Costa Del Este vs Tauro FC Reserves?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.