Football · England Northern League Division One · 07/11, 16:00

Prediction: Dunston UTS vs Pontefract Collieries

Team pages: Dunston UTS · Pontefract Collieries

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.62Total
Dunston UTS1.57
Pontefract Collieries1.05
1X2
49% 26% 25%
Dunston UTS Draw Pontefract Collieries
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Dunston UTS 8-1-1 (W-D-L)
LWDWWWWWWW
Pontefract Collieries 7-2-1 (W-D-L)
LDWWWWWDWW
Head-to-head
Dunston UTS 1–2 Pontefract Collieries (3 last)
  • Dunston UTS1-2Pontefract Collieries
  • Pontefract Collieries2-1Dunston UTS
  • Pontefract Collieries1-2Dunston UTS
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dunston UTS 1573 · Pontefract Collieries 1547
Dunston UTSDrawPontefract Collieries
Our model48%28%24%
Market50%25%26%
Estimated total (ours) 2.62 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Pontefract Collieries: 2-0-1.
  • High corners: 13.9 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Dunston UTSPontefract Collieries
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 0.42.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.21.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)56/33/11%70/20/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 6.14.8 / 7.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.2 / 0.23.6 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Dunston UTS 1–0–2 Pontefract Collieries

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/04/26
England Northern League Division One
Dunston UTS1-2
HT 1-0
Pontefract Collieries
07/02/23
England Northern League Division One
Pontefract Collieries2-1
HT 1-0
Dunston UTS
16/04/22
England Northern League Division One
Pontefract Collieries1-2
HT 0-2
Dunston UTS

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentDunston UTSPontefract Collieries
Grimsby Borough 4-0 W 3-1 W
Hallam 1-0 W 3-0 W
Ashington 1-1 D 2-1 W
Consett 1-0 W 2-1 W
Emley AFC 0-1 L 2-2 D
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 1 L 4 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Pontefract Collieries (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dunston UTS

LWDWWWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/10 Grimsby Borough
England Northern League Division One
1-0 4-0 62 W
20/10 Beverley Town
England Northern League Division One
3-1 3-1 23 W
17/10 Silsden
England Northern League Division One
1-0 3-1 82 W
03/10 Hallam
England Northern League Division One
1-0 1-0 114 W
29/09 Guisborough Town
England Northern League Division One
0-0 1-0 34 W
15/09 Heaton Stannington
England Northern League Division One
0-0 1-0 84 W
31/08 West Auckland
England Northern League Division One
2-0 4-0 61 W
25/08 Ashington
England Northern League Division One
0-0 1-1 97 D
18/08 Consett
England Northern League Division One
– 1-0 –– W
28/04 Emley AFC
England Northern League Division One
0-1 0-1 24 L

Pontefract Collieries

LDWWWWWDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 Hallam
England Northern League Division One
1-0 3-0 154 W
20/10 Consett
England Northern League Division One
2-0 2-1 94 W
17/10 Bridlington Town
England Northern League Division One
1-1 1-1 63 D
10/10 Grimsby Borough
England Northern League Division One
2-0 3-1 102 W
06/10 Ashington
England Northern League Division One
2-1 2-1 113 W
15/09 Blyth Spartans
England Northern League Division One
1-1 2-1 84 W
31/08 Liversedge
England Northern League Division One
2-0 5-0 47 W
25/04 Dunston UTS
England Northern League Division One
0-1 2-1 82 W
17/04 Emley AFC
England Northern League Division One
1-0 2-2 64 D
04/04 Lincoln Utd
England Northern League Division One
1-0 1-4 14 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dunston UTS vs Pontefract Collieries?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dunston UTS win (49%). Probabilities: Dunston UTS 49%, draw 26%, Pontefract Collieries 25%.

How many goals are expected in Dunston UTS vs Pontefract Collieries?

The model expects 2.62 goals (Dunston UTS 1.57 · Pontefract Collieries 1.05), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Dunston UTS vs Pontefract Collieries?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.