Football · England Northern League Division One · 03/11, 20:45

Prediction: Nuneaton Town vs Corby

Team pages: Nuneaton Town · Corby

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.96Total
Nuneaton Town1.92
Corby1.05
1X2
57% 23% 20%
Nuneaton Town Draw Corby
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Nuneaton Town 6-0-4 (W-D-L)
LWLWWWWWLL
Corby 2-6-2 (W-D-L)
DDDWDLDWLD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nuneaton Town 1519 · Corby 1488
Nuneaton TownDrawCorby
Our model57%24%19%
Market57%23%20%
Estimated total (ours) 2.96 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Nuneaton TownCorby
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 1.21.2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.20.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/60/10%11/56/33%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 3.42.8 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.6 / 0.33.4 / 0.1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNuneaton TownCorby
Boston Town 2-1 W 1-3 L
Loughborough University 3-1 W 3-3 D
St Ives Town 1-0 W 1-3 L
Shepshed Dynamo 2-1 W 1-0 W
Wellingborough Town 0-1 L 1-1 D
Coleshill Town 3-2 W 2-2 D
Record vs common 5 W 0 D 1 L 1 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Nuneaton Town (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nuneaton Town

LWLWWWWWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/10 Barwell
England Northern League Division One
0-0 0-1 24 L
17/10 Belper Town
England Northern League Division One
0-1 1-2 35 L
06/10 Boston Town
England Northern League Division One
1-1 2-1 23 W
03/10 Loughborough University
England Northern League Division One
1-0 3-1 32 W
28/09 St Ives Town
England Northern League Division One
0-0 1-0 54 W
22/09 Grantham
England Northern League Division One
3-0 5-0 54 W
19/09 Shepshed Dynamo
England Northern League Division One
0-0 2-1 13 W
15/09 Wellingborough Town
England Northern League Division One
0-0 0-1 30 L
25/08 Coleshill Town
England Northern League Division One
0-0 3-2 20 W
11/08 Mickleover Sports
England Northern League Division One
1-0 1-3 84 L

Corby

DDDWDLDWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/09 Carlton Town
England Northern League Division One
0-0 0-0 53 D
21/09 St Ives Town
England Northern League Division One
1-1 1-3 71 L
09/09 Bedworth Utd
England Northern League Division One
1-1 2-1 65 W
05/09 Loughborough University
England Northern League Division One
1-1 3-3 46 D
12/08 Boston Town
England Northern League Division One
– 1-3 –– L
25/03 Racing Club Warwick
England Northern League Division One
0-1 1-1 75 D
18/03 Shepshed Dynamo
England Northern League Division One
1-0 1-0 62 W
11/03 Wellingborough Town
England Northern League Division One
0-1 1-1 73 D
04/03 Coleshill Town
England Northern League Division One
0-1 2-2 71 D
04/02 Boldmere St Michaels
England Northern League Division One
0-0 0-0 26 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nuneaton Town vs Corby?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nuneaton Town win (57%). Probabilities: Nuneaton Town 57%, draw 23%, Corby 20%.

How many goals are expected in Nuneaton Town vs Corby?

The model expects 2.96 goals (Nuneaton Town 1.92 · Corby 1.05), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Nuneaton Town vs Corby?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.