Football · England Northern League Division One · 10/11, 20:45
Prediction: Atherton Collieries vs Witton Albion
Team pages: Atherton Collieries · Witton Albion
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.63Total
Atherton Collieries1.76
Witton Albion1.88
1X2
Atherton Collieries
Draw
Witton Albion
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Atherton Collieries
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Witton Albion
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Atherton Collieries
2–1–3
Witton Albion
(6 last)
- Atherton Collieries2-1Witton Albion
- Atherton Collieries0-0Witton Albion
- Witton Albion2-0Atherton Collieries
- Atherton Collieries3-1Witton Albion
- Witton Albion2-1Atherton Collieries
- Witton Albion2-1Atherton Collieries
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Atherton Collieries 1516 · Witton Albion 1481
| Atherton Collieries | Draw | Witton Albion | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 24% | 41% |
| Market | 36% | 23% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.63 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Witton Albion: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atherton Collieries | Witton Albion | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 2 | 2 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1.2 | 0.9 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/10/60% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.6 | 3.1 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.2 | 4.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atherton Collieries 2–1–3 Witton Albion
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/26 England Northern League Division One | Atherton Collieries | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Witton Albion |
| 29/03/22 England Northern Premier League | Atherton Collieries | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Witton Albion |
| 26/10/21 England Northern Premier League | Witton Albion | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Atherton Collieries |
| 18/09/21 England FA Cup Qualification | Atherton Collieries | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Witton Albion |
| 24/10/20 England Northern Premier League | Witton Albion | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Atherton Collieries |
| 18/01/20 England Northern Premier League | Witton Albion | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Atherton Collieries |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Atherton Collieries | Witton Albion |
|---|---|---|
| Shifnal Town | 4-3 W | 4-0 W |
| Lower Breck | 1-6 L | 4-3 W |
| Stalybridge | 4-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Witton Albion (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atherton Collieries
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Shifnal Town England Northern League Division One |
3-1 | 4-3 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 29/09 | Vauxhall Motors England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 8 | L |
| 23/09 | Lower Breck England Northern League Division One |
1-5 | 1-6 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 15/09 | Runcorn Linnets England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 31/08 | Stalybridge England Northern League Division One |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 25/08 | Padiham England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 13/03 | Vauxhall Motors England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 31/01 | Witton Albion England Northern League Division One |
2-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 09/01 | Stalybridge England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 13/12 | Shifnal Town England Northern League Division One |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
Witton Albion
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Shifnal Town England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 26/09 | Congleton Town England Northern League Division One |
2-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 08/09 | Wythenshawe FC England Northern League Division One |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 25/08 | Kidsgrove Ath England Northern League Division One |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 11/08 | Stalybridge England Northern League Division One |
1-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Bury England Northern League Division One |
1-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 03/04 | Stalybridge England Northern League Division One |
0-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 10/02 | Lower Breck England Northern League Division One |
1-2 | 4-3 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 07/02 | Stafford Rangers England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 31/01 | Atherton Collieries England Northern League Division One |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atherton Collieries vs Witton Albion?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Witton Albion win (41%). Probabilities: Atherton Collieries 36%, draw 23%, Witton Albion 41%.
How many goals are expected in Atherton Collieries vs Witton Albion?
The model expects 3.63 goals (Atherton Collieries 1.76 · Witton Albion 1.88), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Atherton Collieries vs Witton Albion?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.