Prediction: Dunston UTS vs Lincoln Utd
Team pages: Dunston UTS · Lincoln Utd
- Lincoln Utd2-0Dunston UTS
- Lincoln Utd2-1Dunston UTS
| Dunston UTS | Draw | Lincoln Utd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 20% | 12% |
| Market | 69% | 18% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dunston UTS (rating 1579 vs 1510).
- H2H favours Lincoln Utd: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dunston UTS | Lincoln Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 0.3 | 2.1 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.1 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 67/33/0% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 6 | 1.5 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.3 | 3.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dunston UTS 0–0–2 Lincoln Utd
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09/25 England Northern League Division One | Lincoln Utd | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Dunston UTS |
| 25/02/23 England Northern League Division One | Lincoln Utd | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Dunston UTS |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dunston UTS | Lincoln Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Pontefract Collieries | 2-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Beverley Town | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Hallam | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Guisborough Town | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Ashington | 1-1 D | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 0 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dunston UTS
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Pontefract Collieries England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 27/10 | Grimsby Borough England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 20/10 | Beverley Town England Northern League Division One |
3-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 17/10 | Silsden England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 03/10 | Hallam England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 29/09 | Guisborough Town England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 15/09 | Heaton Stannington England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 31/08 | West Auckland England Northern League Division One |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 25/08 | Ashington England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 18/08 | Consett England Northern League Division One |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Lincoln Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Guisborough Town England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 13/10 | Ashington England Northern League Division One |
0-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 06/10 | Bradford P A England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 29/09 | Beverley Town England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 22/09 | Garforth Town England Northern League Division One |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 05/09 | Liversedge England Northern League Division One |
1-1 | 2-5 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 26/08 | Stocksbridge PS England Northern League Division One |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 11/08 | Hallam England Northern League Division One |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 04/04 | Pontefract Collieries England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 25/03 | Brighouse Town England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dunston UTS vs Lincoln Utd?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Dunston UTS win (69%). Probabilities: Dunston UTS 69%, draw 19%, Lincoln Utd 12%.
How many goals are expected in Dunston UTS vs Lincoln Utd?
The model expects 3.03 goals (Dunston UTS 2.21 · Lincoln Utd 0.82), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Dunston UTS vs Lincoln Utd?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.