Football · England Northern League Division One · 03/11, 20:45

Prediction: Stalybridge vs Lower Breck

Team pages: Stalybridge · Lower Breck

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.73Total
Stalybridge2.08
Lower Breck1.65
1X2
47% 23% 30%
Stalybridge Draw Lower Breck
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Stalybridge 7-1-2 (W-D-L)
WWWWDLLWWW
Lower Breck 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
DLLDDWLWLL
Head-to-head
Stalybridge 1–1 Lower Breck (2 last)
  • Stalybridge3-2Lower Breck
  • Stalybridge0-3Lower Breck
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stalybridge 1548 · Lower Breck 1462
StalybridgeDrawLower Breck
Our model47%23%30%
Market47%23%30%
Estimated total (ours) 3.73 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stalybridge (rating 1548 vs 1462).
  • High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

StalybridgeLower Breck
Goals for / against (FT)2 / 1.41.7 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)1.1 / 0.70.8 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%22/11/67%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 5.42.9 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 0.24.2 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Stalybridge 1–0–1 Lower Breck

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DateHomeScoreAway
12/09/26
England FA Trophy
Stalybridge3-2Lower Breck
19/09/25
England FA Trophy
Stalybridge0-3Lower Breck

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentStalybridgeLower Breck
Kidsgrove Ath 3-1 W 1-1 D
Atherton Collieries 0-4 L 6-1 W
Witton Albion 3-2 W 3-4 L
Runcorn Linnets 1-0 W 2-3 L
Trafford 2-0 W 0-4 L
Record vs common 4 W 0 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Stalybridge (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stalybridge

WWWWDLLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/10 Prescot Cables
England Northern League Division One
2-2 4-3 84 W
13/10 Stafford Rangers
England Northern League Division One
1-1 3-1 74 W
10/10 Kidsgrove Ath
England Northern League Division One
2-0 3-1 74 W
15/09 Wythenshawe FC
England Northern League Division One
0-1 0-1 36 L
31/08 Atherton Collieries
England Northern League Division One
0-2 0-4 31 L
15/08 Hanley Town
England Northern League Division One
0-0 1-1 42 D
11/08 Witton Albion
England Northern League Division One
1-1 3-2 115 W
28/04 Runcorn Linnets
England Northern League Division One
1-0 1-0 64 W
03/04 Witton Albion
England Northern League Division One
3-0 3-1 35 W
28/03 Trafford
England Northern League Division One
1-0 2-0 21 W

Lower Breck

DLLDDWLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/10 Newcastle Town
England Northern League Division One
0-3 1-4 14 L
14/10 Mossley
England Northern League Division One
0-2 1-3 125 L
23/09 Atherton Collieries
England Northern League Division One
5-1 6-1 11 W
25/08 Runcorn Linnets
England Northern League Division One
0-1 2-3 24 L
18/08 Clitheroe
England Northern League Division One
– 1-0 –– W
28/04 Avro FC
England Northern League Division One
0-0 1-1 75 D
04/04 Kidsgrove Ath
England Northern League Division One
0-1 1-1 76 D
17/03 Trafford
England Northern League Division One
0-1 0-4 54 L
10/02 Witton Albion
England Northern League Division One
2-1 3-4 85 L
30/12 Bootle
England Northern League Division One
0-1 1-1 57 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stalybridge vs Lower Breck?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Stalybridge win (47%). Probabilities: Stalybridge 47%, draw 23%, Lower Breck 30%.

How many goals are expected in Stalybridge vs Lower Breck?

The model expects 3.73 goals (Stalybridge 2.08 · Lower Breck 1.65), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Stalybridge vs Lower Breck?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.