Football · Jamaica Premier League · 09/11, 23:05
Prediction: Chapelton Maroons FC vs Racing United FC
Team pages: Chapelton Maroons FC · Racing United FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.79Total
Chapelton Maroons FC1.21
Racing United FC1.58
1X2
Chapelton Maroons FC
Draw
Racing United FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Chapelton Maroons FC
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Racing United FC
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chapelton Maroons FC
0–1–5
Racing United FC
(6 last)
- Racing United FC3-0Chapelton Maroons FC
- Racing United FC2-0Chapelton Maroons FC
- Chapelton Maroons FC0-0Racing United FC
- Racing United FC3-0Chapelton Maroons FC
- Chapelton Maroons FC1-2Racing United FC
- Racing United FC1-0Chapelton Maroons FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chapelton Maroons FC 1442 · Racing United FC 1544
| Chapelton Maroons FC | Draw | Racing United FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 27% | 45% |
| Market | 28% | 27% | 45% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.79 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Racing United FC (rating 1442 vs 1544).
- H2H favours Racing United FC: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chapelton Maroons FC | Racing United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 2.1 | 2.2 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1.1 | 1.1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.7 | 1.7 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | 4.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chapelton Maroons FC 0–1–5 Racing United FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/03/26 Jamaica Premier League | Racing United FC | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Chapelton Maroons FC |
| 23/02/26 Jamaica Premier League | Racing United FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Chapelton Maroons FC |
| 10/12/25 Jamaica Premier League | Chapelton Maroons FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Racing United FC |
| 08/04/25 Jamaica Premier League | Racing United FC | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Chapelton Maroons FC |
| 02/02/25 Jamaica Premier League | Chapelton Maroons FC | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Racing United FC |
| 10/11/24 Jamaica Premier League | Racing United FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Chapelton Maroons FC |
Standings · Jamaica Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Waterhouse | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
| 2 | Tru-Juice FC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 17 |
| 3 | Racing United FC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 16 |
| 4 | Montego Bay Utd | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Tivoli Gardens | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 12 |
| 6 | Mount Pleasant FA | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 11 |
| 7 | Portmore United | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | Arnett Gardens | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 10 |
| 9 | Cavalier | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 10 |
| 10 | Chapelton Maroons FC | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 9 |
| 11 | Dunbeholden FC | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 6 |
| 12 | Molynes United FC | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 6 |
| 13 | Treasure Beach FC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 5 |
| 14 | Humble Lions | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 2 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chapelton Maroons FC | Racing United FC |
|---|---|---|
| Portmore United | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Treasure Beach FC | 1-0 W | 3-4 L |
| Humble Lions | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Waterhouse | 0-6 L | 0-0 D |
| Tivoli Gardens | 1-1 D | 4-3 W |
| Molynes United FC | 2-1 W | 6-0 W |
| Montego Bay Utd | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Arnett Gardens | 2-7 L | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 3 L | 4 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Racing United FC (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chapelton Maroons FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Tru-Juice FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 25/10 | Portmore United Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 18/10 | Treasure Beach FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 11/10 | Humble Lions Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 06/10 | Waterhouse Jamaica Premier League |
0-3 | 0-6 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 27/09 | Tivoli Gardens Jamaica Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 20/09 | Molynes United FC Jamaica Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | Montego Bay Utd Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 06/05 | Arnett Gardens Jamaica Premier League |
0-5 | 2-7 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | Waterhouse Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
Racing United FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Treasure Beach FC Jamaica Premier League |
2-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 25/10 | Humble Lions Jamaica Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 20/10 | Waterhouse Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 13/10 | Tivoli Gardens Jamaica Premier League |
3-2 | 4-3 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 05/10 | Molynes United FC Jamaica Premier League |
2-0 | 6-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 28/09 | Montego Bay Utd Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 20/09 | Mount Pleasant FA Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 15/09 | Arnett Gardens Jamaica Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 14/05 | Portmore United Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 11/05 | Portmore United Jamaica Premier League |
0-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chapelton Maroons FC vs Racing United FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Racing United FC win (45%). Probabilities: Chapelton Maroons FC 28%, draw 27%, Racing United FC 45%.
How many goals are expected in Chapelton Maroons FC vs Racing United FC?
The model expects 2.79 goals (Chapelton Maroons FC 1.21 · Racing United FC 1.58), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Chapelton Maroons FC vs Racing United FC?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.