Football · Jamaica Premier League · 15/11, 21:00
Prediction: Dunbeholden FC vs Chapelton Maroons FC
Team pages: Dunbeholden FC · Chapelton Maroons FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.03Total
Dunbeholden FC0.98
Chapelton Maroons FC1.05
1X2
Dunbeholden FC
Draw
Chapelton Maroons FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Dunbeholden FC
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Chapelton Maroons FC
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Dunbeholden FC
3–1–2
Chapelton Maroons FC
(6 last)
- Chapelton Maroons FC2-0Dunbeholden FC
- Chapelton Maroons FC0-1Dunbeholden FC
- Dunbeholden FC0-0Chapelton Maroons FC
- Dunbeholden FC0-1Chapelton Maroons FC
- Chapelton Maroons FC1-3Dunbeholden FC
- Dunbeholden FC2-0Chapelton Maroons FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dunbeholden FC 1444 · Chapelton Maroons FC 1468
| Dunbeholden FC | Draw | Chapelton Maroons FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 33% | 35% |
| Market | 35% | 28% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.03 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Dunbeholden FC: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dunbeholden FC | Chapelton Maroons FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.8 | 0.6 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1.1 | 0.2 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.9 | 1.7 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dunbeholden FC 3–1–2 Chapelton Maroons FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 Jamaica Premier League | Chapelton Maroons FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Dunbeholden FC |
| 01/03/26 Jamaica Premier League | Chapelton Maroons FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Dunbeholden FC |
| 14/12/25 Jamaica Premier League | Dunbeholden FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Chapelton Maroons FC |
| 03/04/25 Jamaica Premier League | Dunbeholden FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Chapelton Maroons FC |
| 29/01/25 Jamaica Premier League | Chapelton Maroons FC | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Dunbeholden FC |
| 03/11/24 Jamaica Premier League | Dunbeholden FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Chapelton Maroons FC |
Standings · Jamaica Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tru-Juice FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 4 | 20 |
| 2 | Waterhouse | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 4 | 18 |
| 3 | Racing United FC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 17 |
| 4 | Montego Bay Utd | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 16 |
| 5 | Mount Pleasant FA | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 14 |
| 6 | Arnett Gardens | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 12 | 13 |
| 7 | Cavalier | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 13 |
| 8 | Tivoli Gardens | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 12 |
| 9 | Portmore United | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 10 |
| 10 | Chapelton Maroons FC | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 10 |
| 11 | Dunbeholden FC | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 7 |
| 12 | Molynes United FC | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 7 |
| 13 | Treasure Beach FC | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 6 |
| 14 | Humble Lions | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 2 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dunbeholden FC | Chapelton Maroons FC |
|---|---|---|
| Treasure Beach FC | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Humble Lions | 3-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Waterhouse | 0-2 L | 0-6 L |
| Tivoli Gardens | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Molynes United FC | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Montego Bay Utd | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Arnett Gardens | 0-3 L | 2-7 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 4 L | 2 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Dunbeholden FC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dunbeholden FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Treasure Beach FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 01/11 | Humble Lions Jamaica Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 26/10 | Waterhouse Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 18/10 | Tivoli Gardens Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 11/10 | Molynes United FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 04/10 | Montego Bay Utd Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 27/09 | Mount Pleasant FA Jamaica Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 12 | 2 | L |
| 22/09 | Arnett Gardens Jamaica Premier League |
0-3 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 13/09 | Cavalier Jamaica Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 06/05 | Waterhouse Jamaica Premier League |
0-2 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
Chapelton Maroons FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Racing United FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 01/11 | Tru-Juice FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 25/10 | Portmore United Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 18/10 | Treasure Beach FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 11/10 | Humble Lions Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 06/10 | Waterhouse Jamaica Premier League |
0-3 | 0-6 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 27/09 | Tivoli Gardens Jamaica Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 20/09 | Molynes United FC Jamaica Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | Montego Bay Utd Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 06/05 | Arnett Gardens Jamaica Premier League |
0-5 | 2-7 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dunbeholden FC vs Chapelton Maroons FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Chapelton Maroons FC win (37%). Probabilities: Dunbeholden FC 33%, draw 30%, Chapelton Maroons FC 37%.
How many goals are expected in Dunbeholden FC vs Chapelton Maroons FC?
The model expects 2.03 goals (Dunbeholden FC 0.98 · Chapelton Maroons FC 1.05), with a 59% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Dunbeholden FC vs Chapelton Maroons FC?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.