Football · Jamaica Premier League · 15/11, 21:00

Prediction: Molynes United FC vs Portmore United

Team pages: Molynes United FC · Portmore United

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.02Total

Molynes United FC1.06

Portmore United1.96

1X2

19% 23% 58%

Molynes United FC Draw Portmore United

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Molynes United FC 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Portmore United 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Molynes United FC 0–3–3 Portmore United (6 last)

Molynes United FC0-1Portmore United
Portmore United1-1Molynes United FC
Molynes United FC0-0Portmore United
Portmore United1-0Molynes United FC
Molynes United FC0-0Portmore United
Portmore United4-0Molynes United FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Molynes United FC 1444 · Portmore United 1556

	Molynes United FC	Draw	Portmore United
Our model	19%	24%	57%
Market	20%	22%	58%

Estimated total (ours) 3.02 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Portmore United (rating 1444 vs 1556).
H2H favours Portmore United: 3-3-0.
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Molynes United FC	Portmore United
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2	1.5 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.3	3.4 / 6.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.3	4.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

14.50

X4.00

21.53

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.88

2 (-1)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 11:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.10 → 4.50▲	Pinn 5.61 ★
X	3.90 → 4.00▲	Pinn 4.01
2	1.61 → 1.53▼	Bet365 1.53

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.5% Pinnacle margin 9.9%

Time*	1	X	2
09:43 +23’	4.10	3.90	1.61
11:07 +2’	4.50▲	4.00▲	1.53▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
10:57 +11’	5.61	4.01	1.49

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Molynes United FC 0–3–3 Portmore United

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 Jamaica Premier League	Molynes United FC	0-1 HT 0-1	Portmore United
22/01/26 Jamaica Premier League	Portmore United	1-1 HT 0-0	Molynes United FC
30/09/25 Jamaica Premier League	Molynes United FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Portmore United
02/04/25 Jamaica Premier League	Portmore United	1-0 HT 0-0	Molynes United FC
30/01/25 Jamaica Premier League	Molynes United FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Portmore United
03/11/24 Jamaica Premier League	Portmore United	4-0 HT 1-0	Molynes United FC

Standings · Jamaica Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tru-Juice FC	9	6	2	1	18	4	20
2	Waterhouse	9	5	3	1	19	4	18
3	Racing United FC	9	5	2	2	19	11	17
4	Montego Bay Utd	9	4	4	1	14	9	16
5	Mount Pleasant FA	8	4	2	2	10	10	14
6	Arnett Gardens	9	3	4	2	17	12	13
7	Cavalier	8	4	1	3	13	11	13
8	Tivoli Gardens	9	3	3	3	16	11	12
9	Portmore United	7	2	4	1	11	7	10
10	Chapelton Maroons FC	9	2	4	3	4	11	10
11	Dunbeholden FC	9	2	1	6	6	14	7
12	Molynes United FC	9	2	1	6	9	20	7
13	Treasure Beach FC	9	1	3	5	9	19	6
14	Humble Lions	9	0	2	7	3	25	2

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Molynes United FC	Portmore United
Montego Bay Utd	2-2 D	2-2 D
Mount Pleasant FA	1-2 L	2-1 W
Arnett Gardens	1-4 L	1-1 D
Cavalier	1-0 W	2-2 D
Tru-Juice FC	0-1 L	1-2 L
Chapelton Maroons FC	1-2 L	0-0 D
Treasure Beach FC	3-2 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	2 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Portmore United (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Molynes United FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Montego Bay Utd Jamaica Premier League	2-2	2-2	2	4	D
02/11	Mount Pleasant FA Jamaica Premier League	0-1	1-2	3	3	L
26/10	Arnett Gardens Jamaica Premier League	0-2	1-4	7	3	L
20/10	Cavalier Jamaica Premier League	1-0	1-0	3	7	W
11/10	Dunbeholden FC Jamaica Premier League	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
05/10	Racing United FC Jamaica Premier League	0-2	0-6	1	2	L
27/09	Tru-Juice FC Jamaica Premier League	0-0	0-1	7	6	L
20/09	Chapelton Maroons FC Jamaica Premier League	0-1	1-2	6	5	L
15/09	Treasure Beach FC Jamaica Premier League	1-2	3-2	6	2	W
06/05	Treasure Beach FC Jamaica Premier League	0-0	2-0	–	–	W

Portmore United

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Tru-Juice FC Jamaica Premier League	0-1	1-2	4	5	L
05/11	Treasure Beach FC Jamaica Premier League	0-0	2-0	6	4	W
01/11	Montego Bay Utd Jamaica Premier League	1-1	2-2	4	5	D
25/10	Chapelton Maroons FC Jamaica Premier League	0-0	0-0	4	1	D
08/10	Waterhouse Jamaica Premier League	1-1	1-1	5	5	D
06/10	Arnett Gardens Jamaica Premier League	0-1	1-1	6	6	D
27/09	Humble Lions Jamaica Premier League	0-0	4-1	17	5	W
25/05	Cavalier Jamaica Premier League	1-2	2-2	12	2	D
21/05	Mount Pleasant FA Jamaica Premier League	2-0	2-1	4	7	W
18/05	Mount Pleasant FA Jamaica Premier League	0-0	0-1	6	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Molynes United FC vs Portmore United?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Portmore United win (58%). Probabilities: Molynes United FC 19%, draw 23%, Portmore United 58%.

How many goals are expected in Molynes United FC vs Portmore United?

The model expects 3.02 goals (Molynes United FC 1.06 · Portmore United 1.96), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Molynes United FC vs Portmore United?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.