Football · Mali Premiere Division · 07/11, 17:00

Prediction: Djoliba AC vs Onze Créateurs

Team pages: Djoliba AC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.72Total

Djoliba AC1.23

Onze Créateurs0.49

1X2

55% 30% 15%

Djoliba AC Draw Onze Créateurs

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 52% Not both to score 57%

Most likely score

1-0 21%

Recent form · 10 last

Djoliba AC 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WDDWWWWLWD

Onze Créateurs 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LWLDWWLDDD

Head-to-head

Djoliba AC 4–1–1 Onze Créateurs (6 last)

Djoliba AC1-0Onze Créateurs
Djoliba AC1-0Onze Créateurs
Djoliba AC1-1Onze Créateurs
Onze Créateurs0-4Djoliba AC
Djoliba AC2-0Onze Créateurs
Onze Créateurs1-0Djoliba AC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Djoliba AC 1582 · Onze Créateurs 1496

	Djoliba AC	Draw	Onze Créateurs
Our model	54%	33%	14%
Market	56%	28%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 1.72 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Djoliba AC (rating 1582 vs 1496).
H2H favours Djoliba AC: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Djoliba AC	Onze Créateurs
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.4	0.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/67/0%	11/78/11%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.3 / 5.2	2.2 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0	2.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.60

X3.25

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.82

2 (+0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 21.98

Under 21.82

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 1.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
17:23 +8’	1.60	3.25	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Djoliba AC 4–1–1 Onze Créateurs

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/04/26 Mali Premiere Division	Djoliba AC	1-0 HT 0-0	Onze Créateurs
21/12/25 Mali Premiere Division	Djoliba AC	1-0 HT 0-0	Onze Créateurs
11/05/25 Mali Premiere Division	Djoliba AC	1-1 HT 0-1	Onze Créateurs
04/03/25 Mali Premiere Division	Onze Créateurs	0-4 HT 0-1	Djoliba AC
03/04/24 Mali Premiere Division	Djoliba AC	2-0	Onze Créateurs
02/12/23 Mali Premiere Division	Onze Créateurs	1-0 HT 0-0	Djoliba AC

Standings · Mali Premiere Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Binga FC	2	1	1	0	3	1	4
2	Derby Academie	1	1	0	0	3	2	3
3	AS Bakaridjan	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
4	Stade Malien	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
5	Afrique Football Elite	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
6	CS Bamako	2	0	2	0	1	1	2
7	AS Kayes	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
7	Djoliba AC	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
7	FC Diarra	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
7	Onze Créateurs	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
7	US Bougouba	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
12	AS Korofina	1	0	0	1	2	3	0
13	Real Bamako	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
14	USFAS Bamako	2	0	0	2	1	4	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Djoliba AC	Onze Créateurs
Binga FC	2-1 W	0-0 D
AS Bakaridjan	3-0 W	0-0 D
USFAS Bamako	2-1 W	0-3 L
Mali Coura	1-1 D	1-0 W
US Bougouba	2-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Djoliba AC (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Djoliba AC

WDDWWWWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/11	FC Diarra Mali Premiere Division	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
14/06	AS Korofina Mali Premiere Division	3-1	3-1	2	3	W
09/06	Real Bamako Mali Premiere Division	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
05/06	FC Diarra Mali Premiere Division	1-0	2-1	3	5	W
02/06	Binga FC Mali Premiere Division	2-1	2-1	6	3	W
25/05	AS Bakaridjan Mali Premiere Division	0-0	3-0	10	3	W
22/05	USFAS Bamako Mali Premiere Division	1-1	2-1	2	3	W
17/05	Real Bamako Mali Premiere Division	0-0	0-0	8	0	D
13/05	Mali Coura Mali Premiere Division	1-1	1-1	8	1	D
02/05	US Bougouba Mali Premiere Division	–	2-0	–	–	W

Onze Créateurs

LWLDWWLDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/11	CS Bamako Mali Premiere Division	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
13/06	Binga FC Mali Premiere Division	0-0	0-0	0	4	D
10/06	AS Bakaridjan Mali Premiere Division	0-0	0-0	4	1	D
04/06	USFAS Bamako Mali Premiere Division	0-1	0-3	7	1	L
31/05	Mali Coura Mali Premiere Division	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
24/05	US Bougouba Mali Premiere Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
19/05	Derby Academie Mali Premiere Division	1-1	1-1	4	1	D
10/05	Stade Malien Mali Premiere Division	1-1	1-2	3	1	L
03/05	US Bougouba Mali Premiere Division	2-0	2-0	5	4	W
15/04	Djoliba AC Mali Premiere Division	0-0	0-1	0	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Djoliba AC vs Onze Créateurs?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Djoliba AC win (55%). Probabilities: Djoliba AC 55%, draw 30%, Onze Créateurs 15%.

How many goals are expected in Djoliba AC vs Onze Créateurs?

The model expects 1.72 goals (Djoliba AC 1.23 · Onze Créateurs 0.49), with a 58% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Djoliba AC vs Onze Créateurs?

The model gives a 57% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.