Football · Mali Premiere Division · 15/11, 17:00

Prediction: Binga FC vs Djoliba AC

Team pages: Binga FC · Djoliba AC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.84Total

Binga FC0.75

Djoliba AC1.09

1X2

24% 33% 42%

Binga FC Draw Djoliba AC

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 56% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

0-0 17%

Recent form · 10 last

Binga FC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWWWLLLDWD

Djoliba AC 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DDWWWWLWDW

Head-to-head

Binga FC 0–2–4 Djoliba AC (6 last)

Djoliba AC2-1Binga FC
Binga FC0-1Djoliba AC
Binga FC1-1Djoliba AC
Djoliba AC0-0Binga FC
Djoliba AC3-0Binga FC
Binga FC1-3Djoliba AC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Binga FC 1498 · Djoliba AC 1579

	Binga FC	Draw	Djoliba AC
Our model	24%	34%	42%
Market	25%	32%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 1.84 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Djoliba AC (rating 1498 vs 1579).
H2H favours Djoliba AC: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Binga FC	Djoliba AC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 0.7	1.5 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.6	4 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.2	2.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.60

X2.80

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.95

2 (-0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.80

Under 1.752.00

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 1.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
X	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:35 +41’	3.60	2.80	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Binga FC 0–2–4 Djoliba AC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/06/26 Mali Premiere Division	Djoliba AC	2-1 HT 2-1	Binga FC
18/02/26 Mali Premiere Division	Binga FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Djoliba AC
20/04/25 Mali Premiere Division	Binga FC	1-1 HT 0-1	Djoliba AC
12/02/25 Mali Premiere Division	Djoliba AC	0-0 HT 0-0	Binga FC
24/02/24 Mali Premiere Division	Djoliba AC	3-0 HT 1-0	Binga FC
12/11/23 Mali Premiere Division	Binga FC	1-3	Djoliba AC

Standings · Mali Premiere Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Stade Malien	3	2	1	0	2	0	7
2	Derby Academie	2	2	0	0	6	3	6
3	US Bougouba	3	1	2	0	2	0	5
4	CS Bamako	3	1	2	0	3	2	5
5	Binga FC	2	1	1	0	3	1	4
6	Djoliba AC	2	1	1	0	2	0	4
7	AS Bakaridjan	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
7	Real Bamako	3	1	1	1	2	1	4
9	Afrique Football Elite	3	1	0	2	3	5	3
10	Onze Créateurs	3	0	2	1	0	2	2
11	AS Korofina	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
12	FC Diarra	2	0	1	1	0	1	1
13	AS Kayes	3	0	1	2	1	5	1
14	USFAS Bamako	3	0	0	3	2	6	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Binga FC	Djoliba AC
USFAS Bamako	2-0 W	2-1 W
Onze Créateurs	0-0 D	2-0 W
AS Korofina	2-0 W	3-1 W
Real Bamako	1-0 W	0-1 L
FC Diarra	0-1 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Binga FC

LWWWLLLDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	CS Bamako Mali Premiere Division	1-0	1-1	5	1	D
01/11	USFAS Bamako Mali Premiere Division	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
13/06	Onze Créateurs Mali Premiere Division	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
09/06	Stade Malien Mali Premiere Division	0-1	1-2	3	8	L
05/06	US Bougouba Mali Premiere Division	0-0	0-1	6	5	L
02/06	Djoliba AC Mali Premiere Division	1-2	1-2	5	3	L
24/05	Afrique Football Elite Mali Premiere Division	1-0	1-0	6	1	W
19/05	AS Korofina Mali Premiere Division	1-0	2-0	2	5	W
09/05	Real Bamako Mali Premiere Division	1-0	1-0	0	5	W
03/05	FC Diarra Mali Premiere Division	0-1	0-1	5	5	L

Djoliba AC

DDWWWWLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Onze Créateurs Mali Premiere Division	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
02/11	FC Diarra Mali Premiere Division	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
14/06	AS Korofina Mali Premiere Division	3-1	3-1	2	3	W
09/06	Real Bamako Mali Premiere Division	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
05/06	FC Diarra Mali Premiere Division	1-0	2-1	3	5	W
02/06	Binga FC Mali Premiere Division	2-1	2-1	6	3	W
25/05	AS Bakaridjan Mali Premiere Division	0-0	3-0	10	3	W
22/05	USFAS Bamako Mali Premiere Division	1-1	2-1	2	3	W
17/05	Real Bamako Mali Premiere Division	0-0	0-0	8	0	D
13/05	Mali Coura Mali Premiere Division	1-1	1-1	8	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Binga FC vs Djoliba AC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Djoliba AC win (42%). Probabilities: Binga FC 24%, draw 33%, Djoliba AC 42%.

How many goals are expected in Binga FC vs Djoliba AC?

The model expects 1.84 goals (Binga FC 0.75 · Djoliba AC 1.09), with a 50% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Binga FC vs Djoliba AC?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.