Football · Mexico Liga de Expansion · 05/11, 02:05

Prediction: Tlaxcala FC vs Club Atletico La Paz

Team pages: Tlaxcala FC · Club Atletico La Paz

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.41Total

Tlaxcala FC1.79

Club Atletico La Paz1.62

1X2

41% 24% 34%

Tlaxcala FC Draw Club Atletico La Paz

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Tlaxcala FC 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WDWLWDWDWW

Club Atletico La Paz 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWDWWLWDWW

Head-to-head

Tlaxcala FC 0–3–3 Club Atletico La Paz (6 last)

Club Atletico La Paz2-2Tlaxcala FC
Club Atletico La Paz2-0Tlaxcala FC
Tlaxcala FC3-3Club Atletico La Paz
Club Atletico La Paz4-4Tlaxcala FC
Tlaxcala FC0-2Club Atletico La Paz
Tlaxcala FC2-3Club Atletico La Paz

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Club Atletico La Paz: 3-3-0.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 12 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tlaxcala FC	Club Atletico La Paz
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.3	2.6 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.7	1.2 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.8	2.6 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.9 / 1.3	6.1 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.87

Under 3.251.92

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 13:07

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.59 → 2.70▲	Pinn 2.70
X	3.69 → 3.66▼	Pinn 3.66
2	2.47 → 2.40▼	Pinn 2.40

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6%

Time*	1	X	2
10:57 +7’	2.59	3.69	2.47
13:01 +6’	2.70▲	3.66▼	2.40▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Tlaxcala FC 0–3–3 Club Atletico La Paz

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/10/26 Mexico Liga de Expansion	Club Atletico La Paz	2-2 HT 1-2	Tlaxcala FC
08/03/26 Mexico Liga de Expansion	Club Atletico La Paz	2-0 HT 1-0	Tlaxcala FC
28/09/25 Mexico Liga de Expansion	Tlaxcala FC	3-3 HT 1-0	Club Atletico La Paz
11/01/25 Mexico Liga de Expansion	Club Atletico La Paz	4-4 HT 2-1	Tlaxcala FC
28/07/24 Mexico Liga de Expansion	Tlaxcala FC	0-2 HT 0-2	Club Atletico La Paz
17/02/24 Mexico Liga de Expansion	Tlaxcala FC	2-3 HT 0-2	Club Atletico La Paz

Standings · Mexico Liga de Expansion

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Club Atletico La Paz	15	9	3	3	36	18	30
2	Universidad Guadalajara	15	9	3	3	34	20	30
3	Atletico Morelia	15	8	2	5	26	19	26
4	Piratas	15	7	4	4	27	15	25
5	Cancun FC	15	7	4	4	28	18	25
6	Venados FC	15	7	4	4	31	25	25
7	Alacranes de Durango	15	7	3	5	21	15	24
8	Tlaxcala FC	15	6	4	5	29	27	22
9	Oaxaca	15	7	1	7	15	25	22
10	Mineros de Zacatecas	15	5	3	7	26	26	18
11	Tapatio	15	5	3	7	25	28	18
12	Correcaminos	15	4	5	6	21	24	17
13	Dorados	15	4	4	7	23	32	16
14	Jaiba Brava	15	4	3	8	15	25	15
15	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	15	3	5	7	17	24	14
16	Tepatitlan FC	15	2	1	12	11	44	7

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tlaxcala FC	Club Atletico La Paz
Correcaminos	2-0 W	3-1 W
Cancun FC	4-1 W	2-1 W
Tapatio	0-4 L	4-2 W
Jaiba Brava	3-1 W	3-1 W
Venados FC	3-1 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	4 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Tlaxcala FC (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tlaxcala FC

WDWLWDWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Cruz Azul Hidalgo Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-0	2-0	11	8	W
25/10	Correcaminos Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-0	2-0	5	6	W
17/10	Club Atletico La Paz Mexico Liga de Expansion	2-1	2-2	3	8	D
11/10	Piratas Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-2	4-2	7	6	W
04/10	Atletico Morelia Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-1	1-1	3	8	D
27/09	Cancun FC Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-1	4-1	1	6	W
21/09	Tapatio Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-1	0-4	8	4	L
13/09	Jaiba Brava Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-1	3-1	5	7	W
05/09	Alacranes de Durango Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-0	1-1	2	9	D
30/08	Venados FC Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-0	3-1	3	10	W

Club Atletico La Paz

WWDWWLWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Dorados Mexico Liga de Expansion	2-0	3-0	8	8	W
25/10	Jaiba Brava Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-1	3-1	5	4	W
17/10	Tlaxcala FC Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-2	2-2	7	8	D
10/10	Tapatio Mexico Liga de Expansion	2-2	4-2	10	7	W
03/10	Venados FC Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-2	1-2	8	5	L
25/09	Oaxaca Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-0	3-1	3	6	W
19/09	Correcaminos Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-1	3-1	7	6	W
13/09	Universidad Guadalajara Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-1	2-2	8	8	D
05/09	Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-0	3-0	3	5	W
28/08	Cancun FC Mexico Liga de Expansion	2-0	2-1	2	9	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tlaxcala FC vs Club Atletico La Paz?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tlaxcala FC win (41%). Probabilities: Tlaxcala FC 41%, draw 24%, Club Atletico La Paz 34%.

How many goals are expected in Tlaxcala FC vs Club Atletico La Paz?

The model expects 3.41 goals (Tlaxcala FC 1.79 · Club Atletico La Paz 1.62), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Tlaxcala FC vs Club Atletico La Paz?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.