Football · USA USL Championship · 08/11, 03:30

Prediction: New Mexico United vs Colorado Switchbacks FC

Team pages: New Mexico United · Colorado Switchbacks FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.77Total

New Mexico United1.48

Colorado Switchbacks FC1.29

1X2

40% 28% 32%

New Mexico United Draw Colorado Switchbacks FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

New Mexico United 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Colorado Switchbacks FC 5-5-0 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

New Mexico United 3–2–1 Colorado Switchbacks FC (6 last)

Colorado Switchbacks FC0-0New Mexico United
New Mexico United1-0Colorado Switchbacks FC
Colorado Switchbacks FC4-0New Mexico United
New Mexico United3-2Colorado Switchbacks FC
Colorado Switchbacks FC1-2New Mexico United
New Mexico United2-2Colorado Switchbacks FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours New Mexico United: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	New Mexico United	Colorado Switchbacks FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.3	1.3 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	0.3 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 3.4	2.4 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.5	3.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:24

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.74 → 2.74	Pinn 2.74
X	3.52 → 3.52	Pinn 3.52
2	2.43 → 2.43	Pinn 2.43

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.1%

Time*	1	X	2
17:12 +12’	2.74	3.52	2.43

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · New Mexico United 3–2–1 Colorado Switchbacks FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/09/26 USA USL Championship	Colorado Switchbacks FC	0-0 HT 0-0	New Mexico United
02/08/26 USA USL Championship	New Mexico United	1-0 HT 0-0	Colorado Switchbacks FC
17/05/26 USA USL Cup	Colorado Switchbacks FC	4-0 HT 3-0	New Mexico United
28/03/26 USA USL Championship	New Mexico United	3-2 HT 0-0	Colorado Switchbacks FC
25/09/25 USA USL Championship	Colorado Switchbacks FC	1-2 HT 1-0	New Mexico United
29/06/25 USA USL Cup	New Mexico United	2-2 HT 2-1	Colorado Switchbacks FC

Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	New Mexico United	30	15	7	8	45	34	52
2	Sacramento Republic	30	13	12	5	42	28	51
3	El Paso Locomotive FC	30	15	5	10	48	38	50
4	Lexington SC	30	14	6	10	57	39	48
5	Colorado Switchbacks FC	30	13	8	9	44	38	47
6	San Antonio FC	30	11	12	7	32	30	45
7	Tulsa	30	11	10	9	34	31	43
8	Phoenix Rising FC	30	10	10	10	45	46	40
9	Orange County SC	30	10	9	11	39	49	39
10	Oakland Roots	30	9	11	10	39	40	38
11	Las Vegas Lights FC	30	10	6	14	41	48	36
12	Monterey Bay FC	30	6	6	18	32	52	24

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	New Mexico United	Colorado Switchbacks FC
San Antonio FC	0-1 L	2-1 W
Monterey Bay FC	3-1 W	1-0 W
Tulsa	0-1 L	2-0 W
Sacramento Republic	2-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Colorado Switchbacks FC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

New Mexico United

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/11	Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Championship	1-0	2-0	4	5	W
25/10	El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
18/10	San Antonio FC USA USL Championship	0-1	0-1	3	7	L
11/10	Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship	2-0	3-1	7	4	W
05/10	Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Championship	1-0	2-1	4	7	W
01/10	Tulsa USA USL Championship	0-1	0-1	5	6	L
27/09	Sacramento Republic USA USL Championship	0-1	2-3	4	6	L
20/09	Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
17/09	Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship	2-1	4-4	0	5	D
12/09	Indy Eleven USA USL Championship	2-0	2-2	1	4	D

Colorado Switchbacks FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Lexington SC USA USL Championship	0-1	1-1	8	5	D
25/10	Tulsa USA USL Championship	1-0	2-0	1	6	W
18/10	Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship	1-0	1-0	9	5	W
11/10	Sacramento Republic USA USL Championship	0-0	1-1	3	5	D
04/10	Oakland Roots USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	8	0	D
27/09	Detroit City FC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
20/09	New Mexico United USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	10	3	D
12/09	San Antonio FC USA USL Championship	0-0	2-1	1	4	W
05/09	Loudoun United FC USA USL Championship	1-1	5-4	4	4	W
30/08	Lexington SC USA USL Championship	0-0	1-0	2	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in New Mexico United vs Colorado Switchbacks FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a New Mexico United win (40%). Probabilities: New Mexico United 40%, draw 28%, Colorado Switchbacks FC 32%.

How many goals are expected in New Mexico United vs Colorado Switchbacks FC?

The model expects 2.77 goals (New Mexico United 1.48 · Colorado Switchbacks FC 1.29), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in New Mexico United vs Colorado Switchbacks FC?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.