Football · USA USL League One · 08/11, 03:00
Prediction: AC Boise vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
Team pages: AC Boise · Chattanooga Red Wolves
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.82Total
AC Boise1.86
Chattanooga Red Wolves0.96
1X2
AC Boise
Draw
Chattanooga Red Wolves
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
AC Boise
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Chattanooga Red Wolves
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
AC Boise
2–0
Chattanooga Red Wolves
(2 last)
- Chattanooga Red Wolves2-3AC Boise
- AC Boise2-1Chattanooga Red Wolves
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · AC Boise 1592 · Chattanooga Red Wolves 1462
| AC Boise | Draw | Chattanooga Red Wolves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 25% | 18% |
| Market | 59% | 22% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.82 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AC Boise (rating 1592 vs 1462).
- H2H favours AC Boise: 2-0-0.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AC Boise | Chattanooga Red Wolves | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.1 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/20/10% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.8 | 3.3 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.4 | 4.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AC Boise 2–0–0 Chattanooga Red Wolves
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/26 USA USL League One | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 2-3 HT 0-1 | AC Boise |
| 03/05/26 USA USL League One | AC Boise | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Chattanooga Red Wolves |
Standings · USA USL League One
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 74 | 46 | 66 |
| 2 | Union Omaha | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 54 | 34 | 62 |
| 3 | AC Boise | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51 | 41 | 58 |
| 4 | Forward Madison FC | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 54 | 30 | 56 |
| 5 | Spokane Velocity FC | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 44 | 54 |
| 6 | One Knoxville SC | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 52 | 36 | 54 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 51 | 45 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Naples | 32 | 14 | 4 | 14 | 39 | 46 | 46 |
| 9 | Fort Wayne FC | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 47 | 42 | 45 |
| 10 | Westchester SC | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 55 | 51 | 40 |
| 11 | Sarasota Paradise | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 49 | 51 | 40 |
| 12 | Corpus Christi FC | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 36 | 51 | 37 |
| 13 | Antelope Valley Alta | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 40 | 48 | 34 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 48 | 58 | 34 |
| 15 | Greenville Triumph SC | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 37 | 60 | 30 |
| 16 | New York Cosmos | 32 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 40 | 66 | 27 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 32 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 37 | 65 | 26 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | AC Boise | Chattanooga Red Wolves |
|---|---|---|
| One Knoxville SC | 2-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Portland Hearts of Pine | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Corpus Christi FC | 1-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Spokane Velocity FC | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| New York Cosmos | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| FC Naples | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: AC Boise (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AC Boise
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | One Knoxville SC USA USL League One |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 25/10 | Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 18/10 | Antelope Valley Alta USA USL League One |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 11 | W |
| 10/10 | Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 03/10 | Greenville Triumph SC USA USL League One |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 27/09 | Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 21/09 | Spokane Velocity FC USA USL League One |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 17/09 | Charlotte Independence USA USL League One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 12/09 | New York Cosmos USA USL League One |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 06/09 | FC Naples USA USL League One |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
Chattanooga Red Wolves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Union Omaha USA USL League One |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 24/10 | New York Cosmos USA USL League One |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 18/10 | Spokane Velocity FC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 08/10 | One Knoxville SC USA USL League One |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 04/10 | Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 01/10 | Spokane Velocity FC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 27/09 | FC Naples USA USL League One |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 10 | L |
| 20/09 | Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 17/09 | Forward Madison FC USA USL League One |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 13/09 | Richmond Kickers USA USL League One |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AC Boise vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?
According to our model, the most likely result is a AC Boise win (58%). Probabilities: AC Boise 58%, draw 23%, Chattanooga Red Wolves 18%.
How many goals are expected in AC Boise vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?
The model expects 2.82 goals (AC Boise 1.86 · Chattanooga Red Wolves 0.96), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in AC Boise vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.