Football · USA USL League One · 31/10, 00:00
Prediction: Union Omaha vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
Team pages: Union Omaha · Chattanooga Red Wolves
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.66Total
Union Omaha1.82
Chattanooga Red Wolves0.84
1X2
Union Omaha
Draw
Chattanooga Red Wolves
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Union Omaha
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Chattanooga Red Wolves
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Union Omaha
4–1–1
Chattanooga Red Wolves
(6 last)
- Chattanooga Red Wolves1-3Union Omaha
- Union Omaha2-0Chattanooga Red Wolves
- Chattanooga Red Wolves0-3Union Omaha
- Union Omaha2-2Chattanooga Red Wolves
- Union Omaha0-1Chattanooga Red Wolves
- Union Omaha4-2Chattanooga Red Wolves
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Union Omaha 1542 · Chattanooga Red Wolves 1465
| Union Omaha | Draw | Chattanooga Red Wolves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 25% | 16% |
| Market | 61% | 22% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.66 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Union Omaha (rating 1542 vs 1465).
- H2H favours Union Omaha: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 12.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Union Omaha | Chattanooga Red Wolves | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1 | 1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 6.6 | 3.3 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.5 | 4.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Union Omaha 4–1–1 Chattanooga Red Wolves
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/26 USA USL League One | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Union Omaha |
| 24/05/26 USA USL League One | Union Omaha | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Chattanooga Red Wolves |
| 28/09/25 USA USL League One | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 0-3 HT 0-3 | Union Omaha |
| 10/08/25 USA USL League One | Union Omaha | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Chattanooga Red Wolves |
| 28/07/24 USA USL League One | Union Omaha | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Chattanooga Red Wolves |
| 28/06/24 USA USL Cup | Union Omaha | 4-2 HT 2-2 | Chattanooga Red Wolves |
Standings · USA USL League One
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 74 | 46 | 66 |
| 2 | Union Omaha | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 54 | 34 | 62 |
| 3 | AC Boise | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51 | 41 | 58 |
| 4 | Forward Madison FC | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 54 | 30 | 56 |
| 5 | Spokane Velocity FC | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 44 | 54 |
| 6 | One Knoxville SC | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 52 | 36 | 54 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 51 | 45 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Naples | 32 | 14 | 4 | 14 | 39 | 46 | 46 |
| 9 | Fort Wayne FC | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 47 | 42 | 45 |
| 10 | Westchester SC | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 55 | 51 | 40 |
| 11 | Sarasota Paradise | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 49 | 51 | 40 |
| 12 | Corpus Christi FC | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 36 | 51 | 37 |
| 13 | Antelope Valley Alta | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 40 | 48 | 34 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 48 | 58 | 34 |
| 15 | Greenville Triumph SC | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 37 | 60 | 30 |
| 16 | New York Cosmos | 32 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 40 | 66 | 27 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 32 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 37 | 65 | 26 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Union Omaha | Chattanooga Red Wolves |
|---|---|---|
| Forward Madison FC | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Greenville Triumph SC | 3-1 W | 3-1 W |
| One Knoxville SC | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Spokane Velocity FC | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Corpus Christi FC | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| New York Cosmos | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| FC Naples | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Chattanooga Red Wolves (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Union Omaha
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Forward Madison FC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 18/10 | Westchester SC USA USL League One |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 10/10 | Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 27/09 | Greenville Triumph SC USA USL League One |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | One Knoxville SC USA USL League One |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 16/09 | Spokane Velocity FC USA USL League One |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Charlotte Independence USA USL League One |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 30/08 | New York Cosmos USA USL League One |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 27/08 | FC Naples USA USL League One |
0-1 | 0-2 | 16 | 3 | L |
Chattanooga Red Wolves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | New York Cosmos USA USL League One |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 18/10 | Spokane Velocity FC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 08/10 | One Knoxville SC USA USL League One |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 04/10 | Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 01/10 | Spokane Velocity FC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 27/09 | FC Naples USA USL League One |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 10 | L |
| 20/09 | Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 17/09 | Forward Madison FC USA USL League One |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 13/09 | Richmond Kickers USA USL League One |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 06/09 | Greenville Triumph SC USA USL League One |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Union Omaha vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Union Omaha win (60%). Probabilities: Union Omaha 60%, draw 23%, Chattanooga Red Wolves 17%.
How many goals are expected in Union Omaha vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?
The model expects 2.66 goals (Union Omaha 1.82 · Chattanooga Red Wolves 0.84), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Union Omaha vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.