Football · USA USL League One · 15/11, 01:30
Prediction: Charlotte Independence vs AC Boise
Team pages: Charlotte Independence · AC Boise
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.05Total
Charlotte Independence1.53
AC Boise1.51
1X2
Charlotte Independence
Draw
AC Boise
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Charlotte Independence
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
AC Boise
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Charlotte Independence
1–1–0
AC Boise
(2 last)
- AC Boise1-1Charlotte Independence
- Charlotte Independence1-0AC Boise
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Charlotte Independence 1577 · AC Boise 1552
| Charlotte Independence | Draw | AC Boise | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 26% | 36% |
| Market | 38% | 24% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.05 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Charlotte Independence | AC Boise | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 1.5 | 1.5 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.6 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 5.1 | 2.9 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.2 | 5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Charlotte Independence 1–1–0 AC Boise
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09/26 USA USL League One | AC Boise | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Charlotte Independence |
| 07/05/26 USA USL League One | Charlotte Independence | 1-0 HT 0-0 | AC Boise |
Standings · USA USL League One
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 74 | 46 | 66 |
| 2 | Union Omaha | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 54 | 34 | 62 |
| 3 | AC Boise | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51 | 41 | 58 |
| 4 | Forward Madison FC | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 54 | 30 | 56 |
| 5 | Spokane Velocity FC | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 44 | 54 |
| 6 | One Knoxville SC | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 52 | 36 | 54 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 51 | 45 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Naples | 32 | 14 | 4 | 14 | 39 | 46 | 46 |
| 9 | Fort Wayne FC | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 47 | 42 | 45 |
| 10 | Westchester SC | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 55 | 51 | 40 |
| 11 | Sarasota Paradise | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 49 | 51 | 40 |
| 12 | Corpus Christi FC | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 36 | 51 | 37 |
| 13 | Antelope Valley Alta | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 40 | 48 | 34 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 48 | 58 | 34 |
| 15 | Greenville Triumph SC | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 37 | 60 | 30 |
| 16 | New York Cosmos | 32 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 40 | 66 | 27 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 32 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 37 | 65 | 26 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Charlotte Independence | AC Boise |
|---|---|---|
| Portland Hearts of Pine | 1-4 L | 2-1 W |
| Greenville Triumph SC | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| New York Cosmos | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Fort Wayne FC | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 4 W 0 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Charlotte Independence
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Forward Madison FC USA USL League One |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 02/11 | FC Naples USA USL League One |
2-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 24/10 | Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One |
1-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 18/10 | Greenville Triumph SC USA USL League One |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 11/10 | New York Cosmos USA USL League One |
3-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 04/10 | Sarasota Paradise USA USL League One |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 26/09 | Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 20/09 | Richmond Kickers USA USL League One |
2-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 17/09 | AC Boise USA USL League One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 13/09 | Westchester SC USA USL League One |
4-2 | 5-4 | 4 | 7 | W |
AC Boise
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Chattanooga Red Wolves USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 6 | D |
| 02/11 | One Knoxville SC USA USL League One |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 25/10 | Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 18/10 | Antelope Valley Alta USA USL League One |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 11 | W |
| 10/10 | Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 03/10 | Greenville Triumph SC USA USL League One |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 27/09 | Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 21/09 | Spokane Velocity FC USA USL League One |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 17/09 | Charlotte Independence USA USL League One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 12/09 | New York Cosmos USA USL League One |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Charlotte Independence vs AC Boise?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Charlotte Independence win (38%). Probabilities: Charlotte Independence 38%, draw 25%, AC Boise 37%.
How many goals are expected in Charlotte Independence vs AC Boise?
The model expects 3.05 goals (Charlotte Independence 1.53 · AC Boise 1.51), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Charlotte Independence vs AC Boise?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.