Football · USA USL League One · 31/10, 00:30

Prediction: Forward Madison FC vs Spokane Velocity FC

Team pages: Forward Madison FC · Spokane Velocity FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.53Total

Forward Madison FC1.51

Spokane Velocity FC1.02

1X2

48% 27% 25%

Forward Madison FC Draw Spokane Velocity FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Forward Madison FC 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DWDLWLDLWD

Spokane Velocity FC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDWWDWLWDL

Head-to-head

Forward Madison FC 2–1–3 Spokane Velocity FC (6 last)

Forward Madison FC0-1Spokane Velocity FC
Spokane Velocity FC0-1Forward Madison FC
Forward Madison FC0-1Spokane Velocity FC
Spokane Velocity FC2-1Forward Madison FC
Forward Madison FC0-0Spokane Velocity FC
Forward Madison FC2-0Spokane Velocity FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Forward Madison FC 1513 · Spokane Velocity FC 1510

	Forward Madison FC	Draw	Spokane Velocity FC
Our model	48%	28%	24%
Market	49%	26%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.53 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Spokane Velocity FC: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Forward Madison FC	Spokane Velocity FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 0.7	1.7 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.5	0.7 / 2.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.7 / 0.1	4.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.50

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.00

Under 2.751.80

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 23:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.83▲	Pinn 1.93
X	3.60 → 3.50▼	Pinn 3.52
2	3.80 → 3.50▼	Pinn 3.74 ★

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 7.1%

Time*	1	X	2
15:18 +3’	1.73	3.60	3.80
00:07 +3’	1.67▼	3.75▲	4.00▲
20:29 +11’	1.83▲	3.60▼	3.40▼
23:09 +10’	1.83	3.50▼	3.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:19 +1’	1.61	3.83	4.50
16:05 +8’	1.67▲	3.85▲	4.43▼
16:27 +33’	1.66▼	3.86▲	4.45▲
20:33 +8’	1.91▲	3.46▼	3.67▼
22:53 +26’	1.93▲	3.52▲	3.74▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Forward Madison FC 2–1–3 Spokane Velocity FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/09/26 USA USL League One	Forward Madison FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Spokane Velocity FC
02/07/26 USA USL League One	Spokane Velocity FC	0-1 HT 0-1	Forward Madison FC
22/08/25 USA USL League One	Forward Madison FC	0-1 HT 0-1	Spokane Velocity FC
15/06/25 USA USL League One	Spokane Velocity FC	2-1 HT 1-0	Forward Madison FC
10/11/24 USA USL League One	Forward Madison FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Spokane Velocity FC
22/09/24 USA USL League One	Forward Madison FC	2-0 HT 1-0	Spokane Velocity FC

Standings · USA USL League One

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Charlotte Independence	32	20	6	6	74	46	66
2	Union Omaha	32	19	5	8	54	34	62
3	AC Boise	32	17	7	8	51	41	58
4	Forward Madison FC	32	16	8	8	54	30	56
5	Spokane Velocity FC	32	16	6	10	50	44	54
6	One Knoxville SC	32	15	9	8	52	36	54
7	Chattanooga Red Wolves	32	14	5	13	51	45	47
8	FC Naples	32	14	4	14	39	46	46
9	Fort Wayne FC	32	12	9	11	47	42	45
10	Westchester SC	32	11	7	14	55	51	40
11	Sarasota Paradise	32	11	7	14	49	51	40
12	Corpus Christi FC	32	9	10	13	36	51	37
13	Antelope Valley Alta	32	8	10	14	40	48	34
14	Portland Hearts of Pine	32	8	10	14	48	58	34
15	Greenville Triumph SC	32	8	6	18	37	60	30
16	New York Cosmos	32	7	6	19	40	66	27
17	Richmond Kickers	32	7	5	20	37	65	26

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Forward Madison FC	Spokane Velocity FC
Union Omaha	0-0 D	1-3 L
Portland Hearts of Pine	2-0 W	3-3 D
Chattanooga Red Wolves	0-1 L	1-0 W
One Knoxville SC	1-1 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Forward Madison FC

DWDLWLDLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Union Omaha USA USL League One	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
18/10	Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One	2-0	2-0	10	3	W
11/10	Westchester SC USA USL League One	0-2	2-3	3	5	L
04/10	Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One	0-0	0-0	12	4	D
27/09	Spokane Velocity FC USA USL League One	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
20/09	Antelope Valley Alta USA USL League One	1-0	3-0	6	12	W
17/09	Chattanooga Red Wolves USA USL League One	0-1	0-1	3	7	L
13/09	Sarasota Paradise USA USL League One	0-1	1-1	5	5	D
06/09	Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One	0-0	2-0	2	7	W
03/09	One Knoxville SC USA USL League One	0-0	1-1	4	6	D

Spokane Velocity FC

LDWWDWLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	FC Naples USA USL League One	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
22/10	New York Cosmos USA USL League One	0-1	3-3	3	5	D
18/10	Chattanooga Red Wolves USA USL League One	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
15/10	Greenville Triumph SC USA USL League One	1-2	3-4	2	3	L
11/10	One Knoxville SC USA USL League One	1-0	2-0	3	6	W
04/10	Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One	3-0	3-3	2	5	D
01/10	Chattanooga Red Wolves USA USL League One	0-0	1-0	0	5	W
27/09	Forward Madison FC USA USL League One	0-0	1-0	0	5	W
21/09	AC Boise USA USL League One	0-2	2-2	2	3	D
16/09	Union Omaha USA USL League One	0-2	1-3	3	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Forward Madison FC vs Spokane Velocity FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Forward Madison FC win (48%). Probabilities: Forward Madison FC 48%, draw 27%, Spokane Velocity FC 25%.

How many goals are expected in Forward Madison FC vs Spokane Velocity FC?

The model expects 2.53 goals (Forward Madison FC 1.51 · Spokane Velocity FC 1.02), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Forward Madison FC vs Spokane Velocity FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.